Date of Tips: 02/12/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (14:32 02/12/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Atalanta BC
v Chelsea FC 
Gewiss Stadium
UEFA Champions League LEAGUE_STAGE
09-12-2025 20:00
Atalanta Form
Chelsea Form
Atalanta and Chelsea meet on 9th December at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo, and the pressure will be mounting heading into this match. Both sides sit on 10 points, both are pushing hard for a Champions League top-eight finish, and both know a win edges them closer to an automatic spot in the round of 16. So the Atalanta vs Chelsea prediction really becomes about which team handles the moment better. There’s no historical edge to lean on either, as this is their first ever competitive meeting. That means form, momentum, and pure nerve will decide where this matchup swings.
Atalanta come into the game with Mitchel Bakker ruled out due to a knee injury. There is some good news, though: Giorgio Scalvini could return after recovering from a thigh problem, and his presence would definitely steady the back line.
Chelsea are also dealing with mixed updates. Levi Colwill is out, while Romeo Lavia remains a doubt as he continues to build fitness. The big talking point, however, is the possible return of Cole Palmer, who has been edging closer to full involvement. Enzo Maresca hinted at progress, saying the midfielder is already back on the pitch and touching the ball, which suggests he could feature.
Those potential returns matter because both sides have had issues with consistency, especially in away and home performances respectively. You can expect these decisions to shape the tactical flow.
Carnesecchi; Kossounou, Hien, Djimsiti; Bellanova, de Roon, Éderson, Zappacosta; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Scamacca
Sanchez; Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella; James, Caicedo, Fernández; Estevão, Garnacho, Neto
(With possible involvement from Palmer depending on fitness)
Atalanta have struggled to turn Bergamo into a fortress in this competition, winning only two of their last seven home Champions League games. Chelsea, meanwhile, haven’t won any of their last seven away matches in the tournament. That stat alone makes this clash feel unpredictable.
Atalanta average 1.2 goals scored per match in the Champions League so far. Chelsea have averaged 2.4, which shows the Blues carry the sharper attacking edge, even if that hasn’t always converted into wins on the road.
If you’re weighing the betting angles, you’ll want to think about consistency, defensive records, and which forward players turn up under pressure.
This is the kind of matchup where momentum meets vulnerability. Atalanta’s defensive record has been solid—joint fourth-best in the competition so far—yet they haven’t always controlled matches at home. Chelsea are free-scoring when they click, but their away form remains the big concern.
So here’s what I think: this one feels like it could turn into a tactical tug-of-war. Atalanta will look to Scamacca and Lookman to stretch Chelsea’s back line. Chelsea will rely on midfield control from Caicedo and Fernández and the spark of young talents like Estevão and Garnacho.
Given all that, the most realistic prediction leans toward a tight, competitive contest with neither side fully taking control.
Match Prediction: Draw. Bet with bet365.
With both sides averaging around one goal conceded per game, you’re probably looking at a balanced scoreline. Chelsea’s stronger attack might push the game slightly higher in tempo, but Atalanta’s organisation at home can’t be ignored.
Correct score lean:
1–1 feels like the most natural outcome.
Correct Score Prediction: Atalanta 1-1 Chelsea. Bet with bet365.
Atalanta have seen over 2.5 goals in three matches this Champions League campaign. Chelsea have gone over that mark four times. Both teams tend to play open football, and neither looks completely secure at the back.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
A sensible combination based on trends:
Bet Builder Tip: Both teams to score, over 2.5 goals, and Estevão to score anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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With both sides evenly matched and inconsistent in key areas, a draw feels the most realistic outcome.
At the New Balance Arena in Bergamo, Italy.
Atalanta are missing Mitchel Bakker, while Chelsea are without Levi Colwill. Fitness doubts remain over Romeo Lavia, and Cole Palmer could return.
A tight 1–1 draw looks the most balanced call.