WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Limerick on Thursday 26th May.
|Le Breuil||10/110/1||Ante Post
William Hill Becher Handicap Chase – 1.30
|Place BetPlace Bet|
Date of Tips: 30/11/2020
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:46 30/11/2020) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
An early Christmas treat for jumps racing fans lies in store this weekend, as we get a glimpse of those famous Grand National fences for the first time in 12 long months. Yes, I know we had a virtual look back in April, as Potters Corner just chinned the gallant Walk In The Mill in the Virtual Grand National, but there is surely no substitute for the real thing.
Walk In The Mill will be back to defend his crown this Saturday at Aintree at 1.30pm, having won the last two renewals of the William Hill Becher Chase of course. Last year’s runner-up and subsequent Classic Chase winner at Warwick, Kimberlite Candy, will also be back for more. A dust up between the two on the run-in is quite possible yet again, as they clearly love the place. However, they are both higher in the handicap, notably Kimberlite Candy (who also hasn’t had a prep run), and could be vulnerable to something a little better treated.
I’m not normally a weights and measure man, but there is a horse who ran a huge race on his first experience of the National fences in last year’s Becher Chase, and who now meets Walk In The Mill and Kimberlite Candy on 17lbs and 25lbs better terms, respectively. There are much more important factors that can influence a horse race, but when you take this weight differential into consideration as well, it makes for a telling case.
Le Breuil winged every fence last year, and rates as a very good each-way proposition at 10/1 with sponsors William Hill for the Becher Chase at Aintree at 1.30pm on Saturday, before the entry confirmations close at 12 noon on Monday. Most of the other market principals will be confirmed so hopefully if you miss that window of opportunity, there will still be 8/1+ on offer for the rest of the week.
In addition to the massive pull in the weight with last year’s 1-2, Le Breuil undoubtedly comes into this year’s race in better heart as well, giving further hope that he can make up the 20 lengths that he was beaten last year. Having won the gruelling National Hunt Chase in March 2019, and then pulled up on his seasonal debut going into last year’s Becher Chase, that Le Breuil should show so much spark and fluency over the fences was highly notable.
Having had the benefit of a quieter spring and summer, a better preparation all round, and a nice pipe opener up at Kelso, Le Breuil is surely in a better place to tackle this year’s race, and he looks a really good bet at 10/1 each-way with William Hill.
Presumably trainer Ben Pauling and connections will have designs on the Grand National next April too, and when you consider that the bottom weight in the last four editions of the great race were 145, 143, 142 and 142 – then a nice knock on effect of a good showing on Saturday would raise Le Breuil’s handicap mark from the current 141, to a level that would get him a run in the big one next April.