WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an each-way selection for the 2.15 at Naas on Sunday 17th October.
|Fruit N Nut||7/4||Win
Date of Tips: 29/09/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:23 29/09/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
As much as I love this time of the year, it is often a hard month or two from a punting perspective. I find flat racing puzzling enough before entering into the backend flat form, while a lot of the jump racing is being run between summer form and winter form. These are hard conundrums to get to the bottom of, and this is the first month for this site that I have struggled to gain any sort of consistency or momentum.
We head to Bangor for the majority of today’s selections and some of those conundrums come to a head in the races that I have been looking at. Starting off with the opener, which is a 2m4f novice hurdle and sees a couple of previous winners vying for their place at the top of the market. On this occasion I will be siding with Glorious Spirit, who brings an upwardly mobile curve to her recent form and could well bag a hat-trick in this contest. Having won her bumper earlier in the summer, she made a seamless transition to hurdles when winning at Sedgefield easily. Brian Hughes has built up a decent affiliation with this horse and she looks like he could be the type to keep getting better and better with experience. At a best price 15/4 with Paddy Power, I’m hoping she can put her best foot forward.
The 2.10 race is a 2 mile maiden hurdle and sees what I hope to be one of the brighter novice hurdle prospects in Northern England make his first start over timber. Fruit N Nut was a lovely type last year in winning two bumpers for these connections before finishing mid division in the big bumper at Aintree. He looked like a type that would have a good future over obstacles and his PtP form from Ireland is already stacking up. I would not usually be plunging in at short prices but I am just so hopeful of this horse being a cut above, that I’m willing to take that risk. The only potential side note is that we have yet to see this horse on good ground, but provided he handles it okay – I hope he can do the business. A best price of 7/4 with Bet365 seems fair.
The 3.40 race is a 2m4f Handicap Chase for horses rated 0-110 and this open looking contest could go to any of the nine runners declared. That being said, I am going to take a chance on last year’s winner, Vocaliser – who may well be approaching a winning mark. Having won three on the spin when joining Olly Murphy last summer, he was hiked up the weights and it proved to be very hard for him to be competitive. However, he is now back down to 109, which is his last winning mark and Lewis Stones takes a further six pounds off his back. He is best price of 6/1 with Bet365 – which is a fair each way price.
My one dalliance into the flat action from Bellewstown today comes in the concluding 5.40 race, which is a 1m4f maiden. Looking away from the top of the market, I am mostly intrigued by recent bumper scorer, Acleanpairofhooves, who is surely overpriced in this race. He has improved steadily with each run in bumpers, culminating in a win last time out at Kilbeggan, and he should be able to procure more wins in her career under the shrewd handling of Bill Farrell. At a general price of 11/1, he is a fair each way price.