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Horse Racing

Boxing Day 2021

Sunday 26th December 11:52

WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a full rundown of his Boxing Day thoughts and each-way selections, including an 18/1 shot.

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Morozov Cocktail 13/2 each-way (5 places)
Wetherby 11.52
Place Bet
Eveque 10/1 each-way (5 places)
Wetherby 11.52
Place Bet
Trusty Scout 4/1 each-way (2 places)
Market Rasen
Place Bet
Sayar 18/1 each-way ( 3 places)
Market Rasen 14.50
Place Bet
Road Warrior 9/2 each-way (3 places)
Sedgefield 14.35
Place Bet
Fiamette 9/1 each-way (4 places)
Fontwell Park 15.27
Place Bet

Date of Tips: 25/12/2021

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (20:38 25/12/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

Merry Christmas to you all! I hope you all had a lovely pre-cursor to the proper stuff getting underway on Boxing Day!

Most eyes will be on Kempton Park, Leopardstown and Limerick for that is where the Grade 1 actions takes place, and of course the main morsel to be enjoyed is the King George VI Chase at 3.05.

Unfortunately for ante-post backers, we’ve done our money on Shan Blue and Espoir De Romay, and I fear it is just too tricky to call to suggest investing any more.

Perhaps the solution to the King George puzzle is staring us right in the face with the two-time winner Clan Des Obeaux. But he will have to dig deeper than he’s ever dug before to win the race for the third time – the main challenge could come from Asterion Forlonge (granted a clear round) or his stablemate Tornado Flyer, who looks wildly overpriced to me on his Ryanair run. At 28/1, he could run a career best and still just finish out the frame, such is the depth of it.

The selections for Boxing Day all come from some of the supporting meetings, but if you’re solely a connoisseur of the bigger races, if there were bets to be had at Kempton Park, I would suggest Jacamar in the 1.20 and Marie’s Rock to benefit from a step up in trip in the 3.40.

While at Wetherby, in the Rowland Meyrick at 2.10, Lake View Lad could easily go very close at 11/1.

However, the first bets come at Wetherby also, in the opening William Hill Super Odds Novices’ Handicap Chase at 11.52. Morozov Cocktail ran very well on his chase and seasonal debut over course and distance three weeks ago, in a much better race.

He jumped well for the most part in rear, and at various points, mainly down the back straight, he raced on the inside (which is often unfavoured), whereas those that finished in the first 3 were all wider than most.

Morozov Cocktail can benefit from the run, the reapplied cheekpieces, softer ground, and easier opposition, and so must be backed at 13/2 each-way with Bet365 for 5 places.

It is worth having two stabs at the race however, as there is another horse that caught my eye on his last run – Eveque, who at 10/1 each-way generally for 5 places also, rates as a genuine danger to Morozov Cocktail.

Quietly ridden over 2m4f at Hexham last time, Eveque ran on strongly when the race had already got away from him. The step up to 3m will suit for sure.

Early birds are the order of the day it seems, as the next selection comes just three minutes after the off-time of the opening Wetherby race – the Chestnut Homes Selling Handicap Hurdle at 11.55 at Market Rasen.

As the name would suggest, it’s far from the best race of the day, but features one of two three-year-olds that I fancy to run well in all-age handicaps on Boxing Day. The feature of this angle, is that the younger generation receive a huge chunk of weight from their elders.

Trusty Scout, after two more than creditable runs in decent juvenile hurdles, is now available to win this selling handicap at 4/1, and can capitalise on the vast drop in class, off a very generous starting mark.

At 4/1 generally each-way, Trusty Scout significantly outperformed his final position at Leicester last time, as he was kept to the deeper stuff on the inner hurdles track at that venue.

Much later on the card at Market Rasen, there is another horse who ran well on the chewed-up stuff on the inner at Leicester last time, and at 18/1 each-way with Bet365, Sayar can outrun those large odds in the Rand Farm Park Families Together Handicap Hurdle at 2.50.

A decent type on his day, Sayar could be the second bet of Boxing Day that is sparked up by returning cheekpieces, and given his trainer Nick Kent is local to the track, it could easily have been the plan all along to run at this meeting on this day.

15 minutes earlier, there is a course specialist to side with in the Welcome Back To Sedgefield Sue Vickers Handicap Chase at 2.35. Road Warrior was a useful third over course and distance behind the smart Sounds Russian and the subsequent handicap winner Bavington Bob.

I thought Road Warrior should probably be favourite, and so he must be worth backing at 9/2 each-way with Betfred, who offer 3 places on the 7-runner race.

The final bet comes in the Free Replays On attheraces.com Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle at Fontwell Park at 3.27, and it is the second of the three-year-olds I’ll be backing in handicaps on Boxing Day.

Fiamette has also been let in particularly lightly for his first forays into handicap life, and looks a sound each-way bet at 9/1 with Bet365, SkyBet and BetVictor, who all offer 4 places. Fiamette chased three runaway horses for a large section of the journey last time, but the work he put in to close on them late in the race suggested he was worth a go over this longer trip.

Fingers crossed there’s a winner or two among these, and however you play it on Boxing Day, make sure you enjoy all this wonderful sport has to offer.

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