WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|France De Reve||10/1||Each Way
|Dee Star||5/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 28/08/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (09:33 28/08/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
It is often nice to leave a tricky day’s racing along as it can sometimes be the right thing to do. August has been a hard month in many different respects and the fact that I’m still here right at the conclusion of the month with my head above water is something of great satisfaction to me. There are always going to be difficult times, but you just have to put your head down and make sure you try to find the odd winner to keep the show going. It looks like a difficult weekend of action and tough from a punting perspective, but after a long look – I have found a couple of selections from Cartmel.
Starting off with the 3.25, which is a 2m6f mares handicap hurdle and has only attracted a field of six to the post. Despite the racing being short in quantity, it looks very competitive for this level with plenty of these horses in good form and coming on the back of a win or placed efforts. I am going to take a risk on one horse and hope that Ben Haslam, who usually has a very good record at this track, can give France De Reve the magic touch for today’s outing, with the big grey mare looking like she might soon threaten off this mark. She has dropped 18 pounds since joining this yard and looked to be in with every chance when all but coming down at three out last time out. She ended up well beaten after the chance had been gone, but has gone down the weights once again. She is certainly a mare that can compete off a mark of 100, and I’m hoping that today will be the day. At a price of 10/1 with Paddy Power each way, I’ll take that chance.
The 5.15 race looks like a brilliant old fashioned race at Cartmel. A staying chase over 3m1f with 18 fences ahead of the eight runner field. This will make for good viewing and I’m hoping that course specialist., and veteran, Dee Star can roll back the years and win again over his favourite course and distance. He has run two sound races this summer on the same course, and even though he was a long way behind the winner last time out, who opposes today, he has a big swing at the weights to try get back into contention. Dee Star is usually a very consistent jumper and William Shanahan has had a breakthrough summer riding for Gary Hanmer this year. At an even price of 5/1 with the majority of bookmakers for 3 places, it looks like a good each way bet.
The 6.20 race is the final race on the card, and is a conditional jockeys handicap hurdle over 2m1f and is possibly the most competitive race on the card. It would be remiss of me not to have a strong look at any Irish raiders in these sorts of races, and as a result – I am going to take a chance on Ellaat for the Noel Kelly Team. Noel Kelly often targets these northern meetings in Britain and this horse looks like the type that might be able to make his presence felt in this sort of contest, rather than in a handicap hurdle at home. Ellaat has been really disappointing over hurdles thus far, but he won on the flat two starts back when well backed, and it might be interesting what the market makes of this horse. At a current price of 15/2 with Paddy Power, I’ll be taking a chance each way.