WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an each-way selection for the 2.15 at Naas on Sunday 17th October.
Date of Tips: 07/10/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (16:36 07/10/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
I’m going to stop short of openly salivating about the next two days’ cards at Chepstow on Friday and Saturday, but only just. The only think that could scupper what looks a brilliant opening weekend of jumps action could be non-runners owing to drying conditions at Chepstow.
With the meteorological scene set pretty fair overnight, it is with fair confidence that I can suggest a couple of bets for Friday, safe in the knowledge that ground conditions should be pretty much as described – ‘good’ at Chepstow, and ‘soft’ at York.
Chepstow has to be first cab off the rank, and plenty of races with a watching brief for later in the season. Most notably the Persian War Novices’ Hurdle and the 4-Y-O Handicap Hurdle that follows it on the card, as they look well up-to-standard renewals.
But the bet on the card for me, comes in the Professor Caroline Tisdall Supports Heroic Jumpers Veterans’ Handicap Chase at 2.10, and true to the race name, owner Caroline Tisdall tries to win the prize for the second year running with her eminently likeable Vieux Lion Rouge.
But he is racing on ground livelier than ideal, and off the back of an inflated handicap mark compared with last season, plus he is another year older.
It is with this veritable ageist comment in mind, that I’ll state that 10-year-olds have a predictably good record in Veterans’ Chases, as they are often still fleet enough of youthful foot, and also possess plenty of the necessary grizzled experience that can sometimes see the older horses prosper.
So, it is a horse who was 3rd to last season’s Denman Chase winner Secret Investor in a race at this meeting that I turn to, and who is a 10-year-old.
Some Chaos is available at 8/1 each-way with Boylesports, has had a wind operation since a disappointing season last term, and hails from the very much in-form Michael Scudamore yard.
Plus, he will very much enjoy the sound surface, on which he is a 5-time winner and his October record sees him only out of the frame once in 4 starts.
In a race, where plenty would have preferred softer ground and/or will be obviously better as the season progresses, Some Chaos is one horse who will be fit and ready, and at 10/1 with Paddy Power or Betfair Sportsbook, he is worth siding with each-way.
At York on Friday, there is also a bet to be had, and it comes for a trainer who in years to come, might consider Ravenscraig Castle to be the type of horse that fills the not insignificant gap left by stable stalwart and the recently retired Nakeeta.
In the Casumo Dare To Be Different Handicap at 3.50, Ravenscraig Castle is a horse I have a lot of time for and believe can continue to improve.
At 7/1 each-way for four places with William Hill, Betfred and BetVictor, Ravenscraig Castle was very much inconvenienced by the dawdle of a race at Musselburgh last time, and back to the scene of his ½ length 3rd in the Melrose Handicap over course and distance, he’ll relish a well-run race in the soft conditions.