WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|A Case of You||15/2||Each Way
|Dympnas Well||5/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 08/08/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:09 08/08/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
It was not the day I was hoping for yesterday and led to what has been a very hit and miss start to the month of August. From for the four selections, there were two very close calls with both Eclair de Beaufeu and Cycladic, but the other two horses failed to raise any sort of gallop., which was very disappointing. Again, we have a nice balance of action between the Curragh and Downpatrick today – and I’m hoping that I can find a few horses to run well.
Starting off with the Curragh, and there 3.05 race, which is the Group 3 Phoenix Sprint Stakes. Those that know me well will know that I have always been a massive fan of A Case of You, for Ado McGuinness. This horse was one that I wanted to follow this year, after some impressive juvenile performances for John McConnell – and he has been in and out this year. There have been two very solid winning efforts, alongside two poor efforts – but there were excuses for both of them. He returns to calmer waters today and is more ground versatile than some of these. He is currently a best price of 15/2 with William Hill, and even though it’s only the 2 places, I’ll be backing him each way.
Moving onto the feature race of the card, the 4.10 Phoenix Stakes over 6 furlongs for Juveniles. This race shows the form of the Railway Stakes come back to the party and it will be interesting to see whether that form upholds or not between the three market principles. Perhaps surprisingly, I am going to back that it does not uphold. Many made Castle Star out to be an unlucky loser in that Railway Stakes, but having watched it back many times, I feel it was Dr Zempf that came out the worst for interference and he was back gaining at the line when they finished. He is worth a try in this race to perhaps upset the first two and at the prices, where Dr Zempf is 3/1, I think he is worth the risk.
The 4.40 race is the last place I’ll be looking on the Curragh card and this wide open 1m handicap could go to any amount of the challengers. That being said, I backed Juyush for WhichBookie the last time he ran, and I, like many, were very intrigued by the run and ride given to him. It certainly made it look like there might be bigger options down the line, and I was surprised to not see him line up at Galway last week. He returns to this handicap, which is open and competitive but still has a chance of being involved. He is currently 14/1 with William Hill, which has 5 places available, and I’ll be backing him each way.
The only selection from Downpatrick comes in the 2.40 race, which is an open handicap hurdle over 2m3f. There will be no surprises to see the destination of this selection, with Dympnas Well looking like an ideal type to go close in this race, after she has had some excellent form so far this summer. She got off the mark at Tramore two starts back, and went on to finish sixth at Wexford next time out, which can be upgraded given she had no run on the inside. She is currently 5/1 with Labrokes, with 4 places available, and I’ll back her each way.