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The 2020 Ebor Festival takes place at York Racecourse between Wednesday 19th and Saturday 22nd August. Below, you’ll find our Ebor betting tips provided by racing expert Will Smith.
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Note: Any odds featured on this page were correct at time of publishing (11:32am 06/06/2020) and are subject to change.
Trueshan – 25/1 EW (generally)
The four main themes I deem vital to ante-post betting are such: the horse should be likely to be targeted at said race, be usually non-ground dependant, likely to be a shorter price come the day, and lastly and perhaps most importantly, have a good chance in that race!
Also, timing can play a huge part in getting it right (or wrong for that matter), and now is the time to have two bets for the Ebor Handicap at York in late summer. It is such a valuable and prestigious race now, that any horse with a rating of 100+ and able to stay well will probably have half an eye on that race.
The first selection has a 2 from 2 record over the course and distance, and on contrasting surfaces too. Hamish is available at 16/1 with Bet365 and Skybet, and looks a very likely contender. Both his wins have been franked, were run in good times, and his overall profile suggests there could be more to come as a four-year-old.
He signed off 2019 with a neck defeat to Alan King’s Trueshan on heavy ground at Newbury. The pair pulled a long way clear of their two rivals, and I’m hoping the two are able to replicate the result on the Knavesmire in late August this year.
Trueshan is available at 25/1 generally and looks the slightly better bet of the pair, despite being a bigger price. He shot through the ranks last season, and won the best three-year-old handicap of the season at Newmarket in a very quick time, before going on to triumph against William Haggas’ Hamish at Newbury.
He too seems to be classy enough that ground won’t bother him, and the only negative would be that he hasn’t experienced York just yet, but Alan King has had many horses run well in Ebors gone by, and will be working back religiously from that date in late August.
That he runs on Sunday at Newmarket in the Listed Buckhound Stakes, means now might be the time to wade in, as a good run would see his price contract. Making my timing reference above all the more relevant. I can’t imagine for a second that he would fully fit just yet, and wouldn’t be disappointed if he wasn’t in the first three or four tomorrow.
Goshen will be popular with many, but needs to absolutely perfectly handled between now and August, in order to get him to the race in a necessary combination of peak fitness and freshness, while also going up somewhere in the region of a stone and a half in the weights. If Gary Moore pulls that off, I’ll tip my cap to him.