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Horse Racing

Ffos Las – Wednesday 5th January

Wednesday 5th January 13:45

WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Ffos Las on Wednesday 5th January.

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Eamon an Cnoic 16/116/1 Each Way
1.45 Ffos Las
Place BetPlace Bet
Red Lion Lad 11/211/2 Each Way - 4 Places
3.25 Ffos Las
Place BetPlace Bet

Date of Tips: 05/01/2022

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:41 05/01/2022) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

The last couple of days have offered precious little in terms of betting opportunity and it’s always prudent to air on the side of caution at this time of the year, with the ground paying for the chances of many different horses. After a day off observing Hereford yesterday, I found two horses with respectable enough chances at Ffos Las today, where the ground is very heavy and will take a lot of getting. With this in mind, you should be trying to favour those horses that have form in these conditions and are likely to appreciate an attritional finish. 

The 1.45 race looks like an interesting heat and this 2 mile handicap hurdle has frustratingly been narrowed down to the seven runners after a non-runner this morning. For us each way punters, this is disappointing as it only leaves us with the two places to play with. However, there may still be a horse that is well overpriced in this line-up given his aptitude for these conditions. Eamon an Cnoic is that horse, who had some good form in heavy ground 2 mile handicap hurdles last year and returns to this grade off a sliding mark. He won at Sandown in testing going last year, which was sandwiched in between two solid efforts at Chepstow in second behind well handicapped sorts. 

This contest doesn’t look quite as tricky as that and also the main protagonists at the top of the market have patchy form on this type of ground. Wicked West performed admirably last time out on this ground but had been kept to good ground exclusively before that, while Natural History’s two heavy defeats last season were blamed on the ground. On the other hand, Eamon an Cnoic relishes this sort of terrain and I’m hoping he might be able to bowl along in front on this occasion and take some pegging back. He has the ability to get involved off a mark of 120 and could be overpriced. At a price of 16/1 generally, for 2 places, he is worth an each way bet

The second selection comes from the same trainer as the first and I’m hopeful of a David Pipe double at the West Wales venue. The race in question is the 3.25 race, which is a 3m handicap chase for horses rated between 0-110. The horse in question is Red Lion Lad, who has been a disappointing horse for connections given his profile coming from PtP racing in Ireland. He was bought for decent money by his current connections but has failed to live up to that billing in his four starts under rules so far. However, there is room for optimism that this step up in trip, in combination with this step down in class, could prove to be the unlocking of a good performance. 

His Uttoxeter reappearance run, which was his first run over fences under rules, was not devoid of some promise and he has been given a proper chance by the assessor – who has knocked him down 5 pounds for that effort. Perhaps I am going down a rabbit hole with this horse, but I struggle to believe that there won’t be a level of racing that this horse is very competitive at. This doesn’t look like the strongest race in the world and could fall apart pretty quickly on this type of ground. If getting into a rhythm, Red Lion Lad could well be the best handicapped horse in the race. At a price of 11/2 with SkyBet, who are offering 4 places, he is another each way bet.

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