WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
Date of Tips: 01/08/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:14 01/08/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
After a good week, erring on the side of caution is certainly the order of today, and I only have bets in one race on the final day of the Galway Festival – division one of the Fr. Breen Memorial Handicap at 4.50, run over 1m 6f.
You would hope that the extended distance of this race will allow those drawn wide to bide their time and plot a necessary path, and in the case of the main pick, that is very much relevant.
Razdan is drawn out in the car park in stall 20, and as such, could lay claims to being one of the unluckiest horses in training, given how his last three runs before today have also panned out.
At 17/2 each-way with Paddy Power for 5 places, he is just a juicy enough price to side with him today. Twice a fast-finishing eye-catcher already at the Galway Festival this week, both times in a significantly higher grade than he takes on today, it is relevant to say that I have no idea what Razdan’s best trip is.
But what I can say with some degree of authority is that he is way better than his current rating suggests, and given his pedigree is chock-full of middle-distance quality, (particularly on the dam side,) then I can’t let him go unbacked at 17/2 each-way with Paddy Power.
The other over-priced horse in the race is (surprise, surprise) another one to feature prominently earlier in the week at Ballybrit.
Insane Bolt was a good fourth over hurdles on Thursday on his second start for new trainer Peter Fahey, and given his stable debut was a very creditable effort when not given a hard time on the deeper ground on the inside at Limerick, then Insane Bolt can easily be backed at 20/1 each-way with Paddy Power also.
As yet untested at staying trips on the flat, it is notable that Insane Bolt’s best performances for previous yards have come over 2m2f+ over hurdles, giving you real hope that he can improve on his current flat form for a new yard. Especially as Insane Bolt has started out for Peter Fahey in good form, and he also has a lovely draw in stall 3 to go forward from.
Galway and Goodwood have exclusively occupied my thoughts this week, but I’ve got a Sunday treat for you all, with an additional selection today from the Thirsk.
It is an extra place race, the William Hill Pick Your Places Handicap at 3.25, and Cassy O at 12/1 with SkyBet for 6 places each-way is a decent bet.
Take out two poor runs at York, which for some reason is a track some horses just don’t take to, and Cassy O has not stopped progressing since entering handicap company last season.
A course and distance winner, and versatile regards ground, Cassy O should get a nice pace to aim at courtesy of Muntadab and stablemate True Blue Moon going on, and at 12/1 is worth chancing each-way to resume his progression.