WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|Art Power||8/1||Ante Post
Haydock Park 15.30 - Sat 4th Sep
|Emaraaty Ana||25/1||Ante Post
Haydock Park 15.30 - Sat 4th Sep
Date of Tips: 31/08/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (12:11 31/08/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
I’m a great believer that many things are cyclical – fashion, haircuts, music, Tim Easterby Group 1 sprinting purple patches… There are some things which will never be far from coming back around.
Winter Power blasting home in the Nunthorpe two weeks ago could be the wave that blasts through the floodgates, re-embarking on a golden era for the Great Habton handler’s sprinters. Harking back to the early days of the ‘noughties’, when Pipalong, Somnus and Fayr Jag were mopping up Group 1 races for the yard.
Much like London buses, (or maybe the 843 – Malton to York,) no sooner has Tim Easterby bagged the Nunthorpe, his first Group 1 since Somnus won the Prix de la Foret in 2004 (the season after he won the Sprint Cup), than he could add the Betfair Sprint Cup at Haydock Park at 3.30 on Saturday, with the underrated Art Power.
His form figures in Group 1’s read 64434, and the naysayers would point to this being categorical proof that he isn’t up to Group 1 class.
But, viewing it simplistically, the margin of defeat each time is generally decreasing – 6l, 2½l, 1l, 1¾l, 1¾l – and there is a way of interpreting the speedy son of Dark Angel’s form, which suggests he is a slowly developing but improving young sprinter.
Without doubt Art Power’s four-year-old form is shaping up to be better than when pitched into three red-hot Group 1’s as a three-year-old, and the reason we can back him at 8/1 each-way with Sky Bet for Saturday’s Betfair Haydock Sprint Cup is due to the presence of July Cup winner Starman amongst the opposition.
While Art Power’s tame effort at Goodwood latterly is also a reason for price inflation, but that run was wholly forgivable from a terrible draw, on a track that is drastically unsuitable for his bounce-and-go unrelenting style.
I’d much prefer to focus on Art Power’s runs in the Diamond Jubilee and the July Cup this season, when given a bold and positive rides by Silvestre De Sousa, Art Power led home smaller groups on unfavoured sections of the track on both occasions.
They were mighty runs, and given he has less than 2 lengths to make up on 5/4 favourite Starman on Saturday from their July Cup face-off, the prospect of the 6f at Haydock (with a forecast tailwind) suiting Art Power down to the ground, means he can get much, much closer.
All things being equal, I expect Art Power and Silvestre De Sousa to prove very hard to catch. There is a theory that soft ground is important to Art Power, and thus the drying forecast would be a worry, but I don’t subscribe to that, as his best career run came in the July Cup at Newmarket on good-to-firm ground. Plus, many of sire Dark Angel’s progeny are fast ground lovers.
Continuing on the Tim Easterby theme, and harking back to the blistering win of Winter Power in the Nunthorpe, it has gone hugely unnoticed how impressive a run it was from Emaraaty Ana in second.
Two weeks on, and with the boosted confidence of a smart win at Hamilton the time before, I can’t see any reason why Emaraaty Ana is available at 25/1 each-way with Betfred or Sky Bet.
If you take Winter Power out of the Nunthorpe, what price would you envisage a horse who snugly beat Dragon Symbol and Suesa being two weeks later, in a potentially more suitable race? Single figures would be the correct assumption surely, so 25/1 about Kevin Ryan’s talented Emaraaty Ana is an each-way gift not to be missed.
The market leader, Starman, obviously needs to be afforded sizable respect, and I’m not recommending Art Power and Emaraaty Ana due to a lack of confidence in Starman. He could easily prove too good.
But these Group 1 sprints are decided on small margins, and at 8/1 and 25/1 respectively, Art Power and Emaraaty Ana have nowhere near as much to find as the market thinks.