WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and two each-way selections for the sponsored card at Fontwell Park on Wednesday 20th October
|Nordic Passage||10/1||Each Way
|Arctic Fox||6/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 17/07/2020
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (16:12 17/07/2020) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Without wishing to sound like a broken record, and given one of the horses I am going to recommend backing on Sunday, that may be a futile request – but we really do have another cracking weekend of racing ahead.
Irish Oaks, Super Sprint, John Smith’s Cup, amid a plethora of other top quality and competitive action. I’m finding it hard to land on anything with real conviction in the Irish Oaks and the Super Sprint at Newbury on Sunday, but as already advised earlier in the week, Fifth Position looks to have a lot to recommend him in the John Smith’s Cup at 2.30 at York on Saturday. You can get 9/1 with William Hill right now, and they have the appeal of 6 places each-way also.
He is drawn slightly wider than maybe ideal in stall 17, but there is pace all over the track and hopefully it is a truly enough run race, so that the wheat is sorted from the chaff. Dangers are Caradoc, Harrovian, and at bigger prices the likes of Euchen Glen, Anythingtoday and Archie Perkins could outrun their odds.
6.15pm Curragh Saturday
Elsewhere in terms of suggested bets, I like the look of two in the big field Scurry Stakes at 6.15 over at the Curragh, run over the slightly unusual distance of 6½ furlongs. David O’Meara won this race two years ago with Intisaab, and I think he can take the prize again with Gulliver, who at 10/1 each-way with sponsors Paddy Power, looks a great bet.
Two runs so far this campaign will have put him spot on for this, and over a track and distance that could suit him perfectly – witness his running on efforts in the Bold Lad Handicap over 6f at the Curragh last year, and his mighty effort in third in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot, and you’d be very hard pushed to suggest the nature of this race couldn’t see him produce a career best on turf.
The other horse worth backing is Johnny Levins’ Nordic Passage, who has struck a rich vein of form lately, and at 10/1 each-way with Paddy Power looks another in the race that is overpriced. A very cosy winner over 6 furlongs a week ago, he had loads in hand of a good field that day, several of whom re-oppose, and when he hit the front, he didn’t do much at all suggesting that an extra half furlong and into a slightly better race and he could step forward markedly again.
York 3.40 Saturday
Down at York, as well as having had a good look at the John Smith’s Cup, there is also a good bet later on the card – in the 1m4f handicap at 3.40. It is course specialist Arctic Fox, who at 6/1 with William Hill, can add another victory to his name on the Knavesmire. With a record of 2 from 2 here, and a run last time at Ripon suggested she was running right back to form, when caught in behind runners and having to switch to an unfavoured part of the track, she looks to be coming to hand nicely for Richard Fahey.
York 3.05 Sunday
Now to my cliff horse, and one that has claims to be perhaps the unluckiest horse in training this season. Dancin Inthestreet is a massive price at 14/1 each-way with Skybet, who offer a whopping 5 places too, to win this Group 3. She had horror runs through her first two assignments, and then in the valuable three-year-old sprint handicap at Newmarket last week, she absolutely pulverised her rivals on her side of the track, but couldn’t lay a glove on those that were drawn near side. The fact that the horse that chased her home on her side, Meraas, won a very competitive event at Hamilton in the week, and she had him 9 lengths back in the bunch who raced far side, suggests she ran a huge race.
You may point to the fact that she is the lowest rated runner of the entire 19 runner field, and suggest she may be outclassed. But if she had just an ounce of luck on any of those three starts, she would now be rated near to 100, if not higher, and probably a 6/1 shot for this race.