WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an each-way selection for the 2.15 at Naas on Sunday 17th October.
|Good Time Jonny||11/2||Each Way
|Mister Bells||11/2||Each Way
|Zain Claudette||11/2||Each Way
Date of Tips: 25/09/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:39 25/09/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
A hit and miss day yesterday at Listowel but with the weekend coming to a close, the action gets better and better on both sides of the Irish sea and I will be sampling both bits of action, with selections coming from both Listowel and from the excellent meeting at Newmarket. Backend Group 1s at Newmarket can sometimes be tricky to decipher, but I am going to take a good stab at them – while also keeping to the roots of the jumps coverage at Listowel.
Starting with the Harvest Festival, and the 2.15 race which is a 2m4f handicap hurdle. Those who have followed for a few weeks will have been devastated by the fall of Good Time Jonny last time out at Sligo, when seemingly cantering all over the field at three out. We had backed him at a decent price that day and he was backed off the boards. This could well be his opportunity for redemption, and he is certainly still well treated off a mark of 109. Peter Carberry takes the ride and you would assume this horse will be held onto before a late run. His jumping has left a bit to be desired at times, but if overcoming that – he will have a massive chance in this contest. At a best price of 11/2 with William Hill, who offer 5 places, he is an each way bet.
The 4.35 at Listowel is an amatuer riders handicap chase over 3m and sees the return of one of the great money spinners for this page this summer. Mister Bells has been a model of consistency this year, and despite the fact that he continues to edge up the weights – he should be able to give another good account of himself. His win last time out over 2m4f was an excellent effort, given that trip would likely be a little sharp for him, and he should be well suited by the step back up to 3m. Rob James takes the ride, and most importantly, takes a valuable seven pounds off his back in this contest. It is typically open for a race of this nature but at a price of 11/2 with Paddy Power, for 4 places, he is another each way shot.
The racing at Newmarket is equally fascinating and the 1.50 Royal Lodge Stakes over 1m is the first group action on the card. Masekela is the favourite in this race but once again, I think the market is slightly overlooking the chances of Royal Patronage, who couldn’t have done it more impressively in the Acomb last time out. He does have to prove that it was not a fluke and he is stepping up in trip – but he is the type of Mark Johnston horse that you always want on side rather than against you. With his point and shoot nature being very easy on the eye, and Jason Hart building up a good rapport with this horse – he might take some stopping. At a best price of 3/1 – he should go close.
The 2.25 at Newmarket is the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes over 6 furlongs and is a fascinating clash of some of the best 2YO fillies doing the rounds. Sacred Bridge comes over for Ger Lyons and has to be afforded the greatest amount of respect in this contest given she is unbeaten. However, the overpriced runner in this race is Zain Claudette for the Ismail Mohammed stable. Having won the Lowther at York last time out, she comes into this race with a record of 3 wins from 4 runs. She has progressed from each run and there is nothing yet to suggest that she could not take another step forward today into Group 1 class. At a price of 11/2 with William Hill, who offer 4 places – she is another each way bet.
The 3.00 is the Middle Park Stakes and I will be very much hoping that the stiff Newmarket finish can aid and benefit Dr Zempf – who has fallen short on the last two occasions despite running very well at the Curragh. Ger Lyons likes to think that all runners he brings over to England have massive chances and this horse is sure to take high rank after bringing some of the most solid form to the table. In an ideal world, one would be getting an each-way price for him but that’s not the case, and I trust him enough to get it right one day and potentially take out his first Group 1. At a best price of 9/2 generally, let’s hope he can have his day in the sun.