Date of Tips: 13/04/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (07:46 13/04/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
The flat season kicks up a gear today with the wraps being taken off the Rowley Course at Newmarket, for the first of what is usually among the most informative three days of the season.
As ever, Mark Johnston has started the season in rip-roaring form, and it is with an inmate of his who has already showed himself to be in career-best form this term, that I side with for today’s daily selection.
In the ‘Price Promise at Bet365 Handicap’ at 3.55 at Newmarket today, Eton College is available at 7/1 with BetVictor and Unibet, who are four places for each-way bets, while also available at 6/1 with Sky Bet, who are offering a huge five places in this 13-runner race.
It really is a question of what floats your boat the most here, but I would always side with the extra place term, as in the long run it works out much more in your favour to have that extra inch of safety net. Even if it means sacrificing a point from the win part of the bet.
Ten days ago, Eton College won a hot looking 7f handicap at Musselburgh, in quite extraordinary fashion, over one of the most draw/pace defined distances on any track in this great land. The 7f trip at Musselburgh has a very strong tendency to favour those drawn low and who are able to get on the early speed.
Eton College had neither on his side ten days ago, as he was slowly away from stall 7, but tagged on to the bunch after not too long, and then once the field had swung for home into the straight, he made relentless progress through a field of progressive handicappers as if they were standing still.
Horses just don’t do that at Musselburgh if they aren’t in ridiculously good form or in a grade significantly lower than they should be. Which bodes well for Eton College today, as he is upped in grade for the 3.55 at Newmarket, but can handle it with ease if in the same form as his Musselburgh romp.
Since being gelded, Eton College is now 2 from 2 in turf 7f handicaps, and at 6/1 with five places each-way from Sky Bet, he rates an excellent bet to continue his stable’s good form.
The only nagging worry is that Newmarket can also be quite draw/pace bias defined also, but Eton College has displayed the early speed to race prominently in the past, and hopefully can do so again from stall 5. I would have preferred a slightly higher draw, but I think that is factored in to the price.