WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith previews the action on Monday 25th October, and has found 4 EW selections across three cards.
|Call the Fairies||12/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 05/07/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (19:35 05/07/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
It was great to get back to a winning day on Saturday at Bellewstown, where the evening card worked out very favourably for us. With winners at 8/1 and 10/3, alongside a 7/1 place, I hope that some were able to avail of some nice prices and procure a few winners. After a few days to refresh I am looking forward to getting my teeth into the card at Roscommon tomorrow in the hope of finding another few winners. You will realise that a lot of my selections come from Irish National Hunt racing, which is what I prefer to specialise the most in, so hopefully it can prove to be successful to stick to what I know best!
I’ll be starting off with the 5.25 race, a 2m5f novice hurdle. Those that have followed my selections over the last month and a bit will know that I rarely like taking prices that seem too short. However, I am not adverse to backing them and I think that value can be found at any sort of price, regardless. I am a massive fan of the Joseph O’Brien trained, Banbridge, who is a fairly prohibitive price in this. However, his price is there for a reason after a bumper success and very facile maiden hurdle success last time out. The step up in trip half a mile could well get some more improvement out of him as he ran very respectable in some Point to Points last year. At a general price of 6/4, I am hoping that he can give us a winning start to the evening.
My second selection of the day comes in the 6.25, a 2m maiden hurdle. This looks like an interesting race on paper and sees a horse that I put up last week (declared a Non-Runner at Tipperary) hopefully run, and get the job done. The horse in question is Hallowed Star, for the Shark Hanlon team, with Jody McGarvey taking the ride. This horse won his bumper in the most impressive fashion at Tipperary a year ago by 9 lengths, which gave him lofty reports from his trainer. He has perhaps underachieved since then, but there has been more than enough promise to suggest that he should be winning a maiden hurdle such as this. I am intrigued to see Good Time Jonny out for Tony Martin, but I sense we may well see the best of him in handicaps in due course. Hallowed Star is a best price of 9/4 with Paddy Power, which I think is a very backable price and one that I’m interested in taking.
My final selection from tomorrow’s card comes in the 6.55 race, which is a handicap hurdle for horses rated 80-102. As is often the case with races at this level, they can be unpredictable and sometimes strange results can happen. Instead of siding with the favourite, Stealthy Tom, I have decided to dive down the list and into the juicy prices. I have landed on Call the Fairies, who I believe is overpriced in relation to her chance in this race. In late summer last year, she posted two very solid efforts to come 2nd in back to back maiden hurdles, while she also started her summer campaign this year with an encouraging third at Downpatrick. That prompted her to be favourite on her next start at Clonmel, where she was brought down at the 2nd. That can obviously be forgiven, although she seems to have been forgotten about in tomorrow’s market. At a price of 12/1 with 4 places available with Paddy Power – I am quietly confident of a good run.