There is no way to dress up how the selections have been running over the last week or so. The answer is quite resounding, poorly. I can only apologise for this and it certainly is not through a lack of effort or research that this little run of form has transpired early in this month. I will be working hard to resurrect myself into some good form and hopefully enter a bit of better form as we approach the Royal Ascot meeting halfway through the month.
However, today’s action sees us turn to Roscommon, for a tricky midweek fixture full of competitive handicaps, interesting novice hurdles and the feature Connact National.
The feature looks a typically hard race to get to the bottom of, with punters latching onto the well handicapped Jerandme for Noel Meade and Eoin Walsh. Having been a remarkably consistent dual purpose performer over the last few seasons, he returned to form when a good fourth in a better race at Punchestown behind Brahma Bull. As much as his chance is obvious in a race like this, he certainly hasn’t been missed in this market for this handicap.
If I was swaying one way in the Connacht National, it would be towards Dromore Lad, who has had no end of experience in these staying events and won another regional national earlier in the season down at Cork. He returned to form the last day when fourth in the Mayo National and at 14/1, could be worth an each way bet.
However, I will be giving you a Trixie for this afternoon, with three horses that I like in their respective race. They are not the biggest prices I will ever put up, but between the three one could procure a decent multiple option.
I’m starting off in the novice hurdle on the card, a competitive five runner race at 3.00. I am a massive fan of Enniskerry (NAP), who runs here for Barry Connell and Mark Bolger. Enniskerry is a horse of considerable ability and that was shown in his back to back seconds against Letsbeclearaboutit to start his career. After those two very promising efforts, he disappointed in a bumper and was found lame after a shocking run on hurdle debut. He came back to himself last time out, when thumping his rivals unceremoniously at Downpatrick by 12 lengths. That wasn’t the strongest event, but he seemingly only has Runrized to beat here, and considering his fragility in the past, I am willing to oppose him. Enniskerry at 7/4 generally seems more than fair.
Leg two takes place just over an hour later in the Castlerea Novice Chase at 4.10. I’ll be siding with Willie Mullins this time around with Antey, who overall brings the best form to the table in this good standard Novice. Having taken more than a while to get off the mark over fences, Antey got the job done at prohibitive odds last time out at Limerick. That will surely boost his confidence and he has the natural speed to take this step back to 2m in stride. He has had more than a few jumping errors in the past, which is frustrating considering he is basically a very good jumper. His 2 length second to Cedarwood Road a few starts back rates as considerably the highest form in this race and even though Bold Enough could well take some stopping, Antey at the bigger price of 2/1 with William Hill, makes a lot more sense.
The final leg comes in the concluding bumper at 5.20, and I am more than willing to take a chance on a much better effort this time round from Willie the Coo for Willie and Patrick Mullins. Having been sent off favourite for a Punchestown Festival bumper, Willie the Coo let the occasion get to him before weakening into a disappointing seventh. He should be much better than that and the vibes were that he may well be usual. He meets his Punchestown conqueror, Carrarea, again here – but he is worth taking on at the price of 11/10. Instead the 11/4 available generally for Willie the Coo looks more than reasonable.
I will be backing these three horses as singles and also advising a 1 Pt Trixie Bet on the three. Fingers Crossed for a change of luck, and hopefully Enniskerry performs the way I know he could.