WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Tipperary today.
After four days of racing, the final day of Royal Ascot 2020 is upon us and WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith, who has been providing tips and insight into various races throughout the festival, is back again with more selections.
You can read Will’s Royal Ascot Saturday tips for the Queen Mary Stakes, Coventry Stakes, Coronation Stakes and Wokingham Stakes below or watch the video for more information and reasoning behind the picks.
Mamba Wamba – 40/1 EW (William Hill)
Wings Of A Dove – 66/1 EW (William Hill)
Final day of what has been a fascinating and high-quality Royal meeting, that has certainly been lit up by some stellar performances on the track. I was desperate to suggest backing Aplomb in the first race on the card, the Consolation Wokingham, but at the general odds of 4/1, I can’t get away with it in such a competitive heat.
So, it is to the Queen Mary that I turn for the first selections of the last day, and it is two huge priced outsiders that I think are worth backing, admittedly to relatively small stakes. More Beautiful looks a worthy favourite for Aidan O’Brien, but looked very much ready for her first day at school when winning on debut at Naas, and is too short for me.
There are plenty of fillies who have also looked well up to the mark on debuts, and I wonder if this race could be ripe for something that could just improve markedly for their first run.
Mamba Wamba, at 40/1 with William Hill who offer four places each-way, could easily improve a huge amount for her first racecourse experience. She hit the line very strongly behind Pelekai at Newcastle, when second that day, and she could just be a bit of springer here. In the same ownership as Muker, who ran a stormer for former jockey Phil Makin on Wednesday, Mamba Wamba could provide another former jockey-turned-trainer Adrian Nicholls with a huge Royal Ascot run.
Also, Wings Of A Dove is worth a small each-way investment at a whopping 66/1 with William Hill. She was right in their pitching with the likes of Sacred, Happy Romance and Sardinia Sunset – two of whom are single figure prices here – when she hit the dip at Newmarket, changed her lead leg, and just faded in the last half furlong. Trained by Royal Ascot-winning trainer Richard Spencer, she is interesting.
Dark Lion – 9/1 EW (Paddy Power)
Having recommended a Roger Varian two-year-old having her second racecourse start after an eye-catching debut in the shape of Setarhe on Friday, I am alive to the dangers of being once bitten, twice shy.
But I do feel Dark Lion, at 9/1 with Paddy Power, could just prove to be the best of these colts in time, and hopefully he has got rid of any greenness during his debut run at Newmarket. Well touted before that run, he was away slowly and took a while to gather stride, but once he did, he was making up ground nicely before becoming unbalanced in the dip. Ascot will suit him much more than the undulations of Newmarket, and he can take a large step forward.
The two market principles have looked good in winning their sole starts, Admiral Nelson and Qaader, but they could be vulnerable to something that improves. I’m hoping Dark Lion can provide Roger Varian with yet another winner in what has been a good week for the stable.
This looks a really competitive renewal of this Group 1 affair, but perhaps not the best, in terms of quality, that we have ever seen. It features a few horses beaten in the English and Irish 1000 Guineas, who are on retrieval missions, a fascinating Jessie Harrington-trained filly in the shape of Alpine Star (who bids to steady her three-year-old filly ship), and an American-trained raider in the shape of Graham Motion’s Sharing.
But it is a filly trained by John Gosden, who can clearly do little wrong with any horse, but most pertinently three-year-old fillies, that I feel we should be siding with. Run Wild, at 9/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral, who offer a nice safety net of three places in this seven-runner field, is clearly on a sharp upward curve now she has had another winter and spring on her back.
She lived up to her name when she blitzed the others in the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket two weeks ago. Not far off the best two-year-old female milers last season, she has clearly filled her frame and is now a force to be reckoned with. Her Pretty Polly win was in a sensational time, and I’d have her nearer favouritism here.
Summerghand – 8/1 EW (Paddy Power)
David O’Meara is a dab hand when it comes to these big field sprint handicaps, and regularly picks up a couple of valuable events each season. He relies on three darts in this event, but it is his Summerghand that I feel represents the best chance, and at 8/1 with Paddy Power, he looks a pretty safe each-way bet.
A regular in such events, and an experienced campaigner when it comes to Ascot straight course handicaps, one day everything will drop right for Summerghand. With the assistance of James Doyle, who is riding out of his skin at present, and with the benefit of a notebook entry-inducing run on reappearance at Newmarket, this could be the day.
Held up for a late run away from the main action in a decent Newmarket sprint handicap won by Tinto, who runs here also, that he flew late to finish second made me think he may just have come back this season as a slightly improved horse. I really quite like his claims.