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Horse Racing

Royal Ascot Saturday 19th June

Saturday 19th June 15:05

WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and each-way selections for day five of Royal Ascot on Saturday 19th June.

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Khartoum 7/1 Each-Way
Royal Ascot 3.05pm
Place Bet
Vadream 20/1 Each-Way
Royal Ascot 3.05pm
Place Bet
Khartoum/Vadream n/a Reverse Exacta
Royal Ascot 3.05pm
Place Bet

Date of Tips: 19/06/2021

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (07:55 19/06/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

Despite yesterday’s fourth day of the Royal meeting surviving many last-minute deliberations and inspections, we were still treated to some spectacular racing.

The likes of Sandrine, Alenquer, Alcohol Free and Quickthorn are horses that we are going to hear much more about. While we also had the drama of the final furlong jostling and demotion of Dragon Symbol, below the ‘rightful’ winner in Campanelle. What a star she is, as a now two-time Royal Ascot winner.

On to the last day, and on yesterday’s evidence, the stands side on the straight course was yet again where the main action unfolded, and so I’ll keep that in the forefront of calculations throughout today.

The opener, the Chesham Stakes looks at the mercy of the Aidan O’Brien-trained Point Lonsdale – but who’d have thought that O’Brien would only have one winner at the meeting up until now, and that was very much a golden opportunity for Love – so perhaps best not to steam in at the likely odds. Archie Watson’s Sweeping will win some nice races, but I wouldn’t sure about the ground for him.

The main betting race of the day for me is the Jersey Stakes at 3.05pm, and it is with that eye on the stands side very much central to my methodology.

This time I am siding with a Ballydoyle representative, (don’t’ forget Lope Y Fernandez and Roman Empire did us favours by landing their respective races without the favourite,) so at 7/1 each-way with William Hill, who offer 5 places in the Jersey Stakes, Khartoum is the main fancy.

Being drawn in stall 18 means that ideally Ryan Moore can track the pace on Khartoum, set by the likes of Mehmento (stall 13) and Naval Crown (stall 15), and then unleash his challenge down a lovely gaping hole that will emerge on the stands rail…what could possibly go wrong!

I do feel it is also worth backing the Charlie Fellowes-trained filly Vadream, at 22/1 each-way with Paddy Power and Betfair Sportsbook, as they too pay out on 5 places.

Her Newbury reappearance third was eye-catching at the time, but given the subsequent exploits of the winner Alcohol Free and the fourth home that day, Primo Bacio, I’d say at 20/1 Vadream has been markedly overlooked.

In addition to that, Vadream’s run in the 1,000 Guineas was significantly better than it looked as well, as she was inconvenienced by early track position and not handling the dip. Despite all this, again she wasn’t beaten far.

I’d say, some day soon, we are going to see Vadream unleash a striking performance, and the Ascot straight track combined with a Jamie Spencer ride could provide the code to unlocking it.

I can see Jamie Spencer slowly tacking across from stall 12 to somewhere near the stands rail, before chasing Ryan Moore through on Khartoum, and those two fighting out the finish. There you go, there’s your Jersey Stakes reverse forecast/exacta bet too! Khartoum and Vadream to come to the fore.

Stopping short of recommending anything else took a lot of restraint, but if as could be the case, and the stands side is significantly favoured, then Ventura Rebel at 25/1 in the Diamond Jubilee at 3.40pm and Ropey Guest at 22/1 in the Wokingham Stakes at 5.00pm would be definite each-way bets for me.

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