WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Roscommon on Tuesday 28th June.
|Delta Work||8/18/1||Ante Post
|Place BetPlace Bet|
Date of Tips: 23/12/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:33 23/12/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
The feature race on the third day of the Leopardstown Christmas Festival is the Savills Chase, which has a long, illustrious roll of honor over the last number of years. Last season it provided us with one of the finishes of the season as A Plus Tard got up in the dying strides to deny Kemboy and Melon. All three of those protagonists look set to come back to the party this year, but in truth the race looks to be in the grasp of the favourite, A Plus Tard.
A Plus Tard has been a thoroughly progressive rival over the last number of years and his second in the Gold Cup last season culminated a fine season for the up and coming chaser. He won this race before going to Cheltenham fresh, where he was only narrowly denied by his stablemate, Minella Indo. He returned this season in the Betfair Chase and despite plenty looking to take him on due to his record when fresh, A Plus Tard passes the test with flying colours, demolishing the field in impressive fashion. However, despite his winning margin, 3m Grade 1 races around Haydock always can take the edge off a horse, and I would certainly prefer letting him win at odds on in this feature race rather than thrusting in to back him myself.
So therefore I have been looking for an angle into this race and I think it comes in the shape of Delta Work, and a lot of this decision is down to the good news of seeing Jack Kennedy declared back in the saddle for the 26th. Kennedy gets on a charm with this horse and tends to get the best out of him, including a good fourth on reappearance at Down Royal in the Ladbrokes Champion Chase. Delta Work also tends to save his best work for Leopardstown, where he has a record of 3 wins from 5 starts over this course and distance, with all those runs coming in competitive Grade 1 races. Taking this into account, his price seems juicy.
This time last year, Delta Work went off second favourite for this race behind Minella Indo, when departing the scene early under Sean Flanagan. Given he is fundamentally a good jumper, Delta Work can be prone to some untidy mistakes and on this occasion, it cost him all chances. He has won this race before, back in 2019 when beating Monalee, and that time around he backed it up by winning the Irish Gold Cup only a month later. Those two performances were his highest RPRs recorded, and he should have good possibilities of returning to form around this track.
Considering he is usually a difficult horse to get fit, I thought there was a lot to like about his reappearance run at Down Royal, and I am going to be taking a view that he might be able to reverse form with the second on that occasion, Galvin. This course and distance promises to suit a lot better than the Down Royal race and I think he will end up being the main challenger to the favourite. The favourite, A Plus Tard, will be hard to beat and if running to form, may well win the race. However, this would not be the first time a 3m Chaser was not able to back up a scintillating victory, and I am hoping that Delta Work will be the one swooping on the breadcrumbs if that’s so. At a price of 8/1 with William Hill and Ladbrokes, he seems a very fair each way price.