WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an each-way selection for the 2.15 at Naas on Sunday 17th October.
|Pike County||11/2||Each Way
|Russian Diamond||14/1||Each Way
Date of Tips: 03/10/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:05 03/10/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
As often you will see on a day like today, racing will turn its head to the Prix De L’Arc De Triomphe with expectant eyes. While the feature race this year looks like an absolute cracker, and I have selected two horses for the races in my ante-post selections, the rest of the card looks unbelievably tricky. With the ground worsening over there from minute to minute, it really is a card that I would sway away from. Away from the palaver in Paris, I will be grinding away at the excellent national hunt racing that takes place in both Ireland and the UK today.
The 2.05 at Tipperary is where the action starts for us this afternoon and this 2m handicap hurdle sees some well handicapped types running against some horses who have racked up good summer sequences. I’ll be siding with the well handicapped Pike County, who was awfully unlucky to not have won a big handicap hurdle at this stage. He fell when coming to win at Navan a year ago, before a close fourth next time out. He hasn’t been seen since Christmas, but his record fresh is not bad and he should be well tuned to run well. He is certainly feasibly handicapped to win in this sphere. At a price of 11/2 with Paddy Power, I’ll be backing each way.
The 3.45 race is a fantastic renewal of the Grade 3 Novice Chase over 2m4f. Perhaps I’m starting to follow off a cliff but I think the fact that they have pitched Russian Diamond into the mix here, would be a fair indicator of the regard they hold this horse in. Over fences so far, it has yet to click and he is still somehow a maiden. His jumping has let him down on more than one occasion and he was outstayed last time out when running a decent race over 2m7f. He is back to a more suitable trip and if his jumping can hold up in this sort of contest, he would have to have a chance. At a price of 14/1 with Bet365, even if there are only 2 places, I’ll take a small chance each way.
Over at Killarney, it’s the 4.40 race which is the race of most appeal, with this 2m7f beginners chase looking like an open contest on paper. I am hoping that the step back up in trip will suit the Dermot McLoughlin trained, Wa Wa, to great effect and he might well take a lot of the beating in this contest. Having been trained by David Christie, this horse let his supporters down last time out when well fancied to get the job done with his second start over fences. His first start had been a lot better, when going very close over today’s trip and that causes me to have great optimism about today. Bryan Cooper takes over in the saddle, and he has been in superb form recently. At a best price of 3/1 with Paddy Power, he should be going close.
And that finally brings us to Kelso, where the last selection from today comes from and it’s in the featured Simply Ned Handicap Chase at 3.40, which has brought a small but very select field to the party over 2m1f. I can’t get away from top weight and Irish Raider, Ballyoisin in this race. Having had nearly two years off the track, Ballyoisin has returned in fine form with a comprehensive win over Exit Poll, with the form being boosted and then a gallant second to Easy Game. That second was over 2m4f and he will be more at home over this trip and on this good ground. He is quite a thrill to ride I suspect and he is a point and shoot merchant out in front, and he may get plenty of these in trouble early in the race. At a best price of 5/2 with Bet365, I am hoping that Ballyoisin can roll back the years.