WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith provides a preview and an ante-post each-way selection for the Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday 25th September.
|Connor Benn||18/1||To Win in Round 9
Conor Benn v Adrian Granados
Date of Tips: 28/07/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (09:16 28/07/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Another fascinating night of boxing awaits us with Eddie Hearn once again putting on some enthralling contests to thrill the fans in Essex. Conor Benn v Adrian Granados is a great match-up with some intriguing statistical analysis for betting fans. Conor Benn, 24, will enter the Matchroom ring with an undefeated record of 18 wins, zero loses and 0 draws,12 of those wins coming by the way of knockout. Having had 14 fewer fights, and made his debut in 2016, Benn has fought 126 fewer professional rounds, 68 to Granados’ accumulation of 194 since the American burst onto the scene in 2008.
In comparison, Granados, seven years Benn’s senior at 31 years old has 21 wins, 8 loses and 3 draws, with 15 of those wins by knockout. The stats suggest the taller, more experienced Granados has a slight advantage in power over Benn, with a 71% knock-out percentage over Benn’s 67% but Benn enters the contest ranked number 9 by the WBA, 10 by the WBC, and 13 by the IBF at welterweight. Bet365 is currently offering Benn to win for 1/16, a draw at 25/1, and a surprise Granados victory for 8/1.
Benn (24), 5′ 8″ / 173 cm
Granados (31), 5′ 9″ / 175 cm
Benn remains undefeated as a professional, stopping 3 of his last 5 opponents. His last five fights are as follows;
Adrian Granados has stopped 2 of his last 5 opponents but lost his previous two fights. His last five fights are as follows;
In terms of recent activity, Conor Benn has been fighting on a more consistent basis than Adrian Granados. Benn last fought 3 months and 8 days ago, while Granados’ last outing was 1 year, 8 months, and 22 days ago. Benn’s last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 2 months, and 28 days, meaning he has been fighting on average every 5 months and 13 days. In comparison, Granados has only been boxing every 7 months and 13 days because his last five fights were spread over 3 years, 1 month, and 2 days. In those fights, Benn fought a total of 25 rounds, meaning that they have lasted 5 rounds on average whereas, in his respective last five bouts, Granado’s average is 6.6 rounds having boxed a combined 33 rounds.
Everything points to a Connor Benn victory, the son of the ‘Dark Destroyer’ Nigel Benn is the favourite to beat Granados and he should do so comfortably. Adrian Granados has the credentials to pull off the upset and has the capabilities and athletic prowess to cause problems. Adrian Granados by KO, TKO, or disqualification is currently 14/1 with Betvictor and Granados to win by decision or technical decision is priced at 22/1 by Betfair. That being said, with all things being equal, Benn’s explosive power and lightning-quick footwork should be enough to get him through this contest with his arm raised at the end.
Granados has fought on the big stage on numerous occasions, going the distance with former two-time welterweight champion Shawn Porter and multi-division world champion Adrien Broner. ‘Tigre’ simply cannot be taken lightly despite fighting one of the most celebrated young fighters in his own backyard. Benn’s stock rose dramatically after his fight with veteran Samuel Vargas, it took the 24-year-old one minute and 28 seconds to wipe out the tough Canadian in a really impressive display.
The odds offer a good return for Granados to hold the undefeated Benn to a tie with Bet365 offering as much as 25/1 for a draw or technical draw. The smart money is on a Connor Benn victory though with Paddypower having Benn by KO, TKO, or disqualification at (4/11) whilst a triumph via by decision or technical decision is currently set by Paddy Power at 12/5. There are some decent odds floating around for pinpointing a particular round for Benn to close the fight out, the best of these is with 10Bet at 18/1 for Benn to end it in Round 9.