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So, Aintree seems to the only UK jumps meeting on Saturday which isn’t subject to an early morning inspection, but don’t let that fool you as heavy showers through the morning will mean the ground is nothing but heavy for the Becher Chase card.
It feels by far and away the most attractive in terms of betting propositions for me, and with 4 races coming under consideration with Saturday selections, I’ll keep each one relatively brief.
First up is the rearranged Boylesports Houghton Mares’ Listed Chase at Aintree at 12.55 run over 2m4f, and it features last season’s 3-4 from the Mares’ Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, Pink Legend and Zambella – who have both shown a tendency to need their runs on seasonal debut, and Pink Legend might not ideally like very soft ground.
So, with La Renommee preferring a sounder surface also, and Burrows Diamond needing every yard of 3m or more, it could pay to chance the outsider of the whole field Sacre Coeur at 14/1 each-way with William Hill or 888Sport.
Sacre Coeur is hard fit after three runs this autumn, loves jumping, and despite not encountering it many times, I think soft or heavy ground could actually really suit her. She shouldn’t be anywhere near as big as 14/1 each-way with William Hill or 888Sport.
The Boylesports Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase at 1.30 is perhaps not as competitive as it may seem on first glance, and Joe Tizzard’s War Lord has a lovely opportunity to continue his revival, after a massive run in the Haldon Gold Cup on seasonal reappearance.
At a general 5/1 each-way, War Lord was a decent runner-up in a Grade 1 novice chase over the same trip and track, and loved heavy conditions over hurdles. Freshened up since the Haldon Gold Cup, he can appreciate the step up in trip on softer ground, and follow his stablemate Elixir De Nutz, who also won on his next start following the Exeter race.
The feature betting race of the day is the Boylesports Becher Handicap Chase at 2.05 over the National fences at Aintree, and the race is shaped significantly by the presence of the classy top weight Coko Beach.
Not only does Coko Beach shape the weights, and ensure some of his rivals race from ‘out of the handicap,’ I strongly believe he can shape the race itself when tapes go up. His last two runs have been career bests to my mind, and he simply galloped them silly to win the Troytown Chase at Navan last time.
Coko Beach has a Grade 1 entry in the Savills Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas, and if the ground came up heavy there, he wouldn’t be without a chance. It’s worth remembering he is still only an 8-year-old, and has jumped round in the last two editions of the Grand National, hardly touching a twig of birch on the way round.
He didn’t fully stay the Grand National trip and never will, so Gordon Elliott and Gigginstown are wisely having a go at an £85k to the winner race with a horse who is flying at the moment, and so taking the 12/1 each-way with Bet365 for 4 places about Coko Beach makes a lot appeal to me.
Lastly, and not least, is the Boylesports Extra Place Races Handicap Hurdle closing the Aintree card at 3.15, and I’m very sweet on the claims of Sonigino at 4/1 each-way generally for 4 places. Sonigino has had two starts this season, both on testing ground, that previously Paul Nicholls had suggested he doesn’t enjoy.
But, I think Sonigino has actually relished it at Chepstow on seasonal reappearance, and then he ran a stormer in 4th in the Greatwood Hurdle, when he was the only one of the first handful home who raced wide throughout, and he hit the line stronger than anything, suggesting this step up in trip will very much suit.
The other one to back is the talented Benson at 8/1 each-way with Bet365 for 4 places, as he was a close second in the race last year, will love the ground, and ran an excellent pipe opener this season at Carlisle over fences. Back over hurdles, and with everything else in his favour, Benson is a decent second option in the race.
1.50 Sandown – Colonel Harry (WIN)
Understandably punters out there will be piling in JPR One on Saturday to make amends for his last fence fall at Cheltenham last time out, but a bigger danger could come from Jamie Snowden’s Colonel Harry in this Grade 1 Henry VIII Novices’ Chase.
A regular in Grade Two’s over hurdles, his switch to the bigger fences at Chepstow went completely to plan when he left the well touted Tahmuras trailing home the last of three.
Many are saying the favourite underperformed that day but essentially it was Colonel Harry who jumped his two rivals into the ground to eventually score by two and a half lengths. There was no fluke about it.
Odds of 4/1 about Colonel Harry look pretty reasonable to me and I can see another front running performance coming from Jamie Snowden’s six-year-old.
Of the others, JPR One is the most obvious pick to fill the runner-up spot in this 2 mile contest.
3.35 Sandown – Broken Halo (NB)
The 3m 4f London National brings Sandown’s star-studded Saturday card to a conclusion and Paul Nicholls’ course specialist Broken Halo can record his third win in four visits to the Esher racecourse.
Winner of the Royal Artillery Gold Cup last February, the eight-year-old then returned to take the Grand Military Gold Cup in a notable double.
The end of season bet365 Gold Cup was a step too far for the right-year-old and he never figured in that Sandown finale, but he’ll be fresh today and if Lorcan Williams can get him popping away nicely at the start of this marathon trip, he might just leave the others trailing in his wake.
Those looking for an each-way alternative or another horse to include in their forecast should cast one eye over Cyclop who has become somewhat of a standing dish in these regional “Nationals”.
2.05 Aintree – Dorking Cock (E/W Longshot)
Nine-year-old Dorking Cock won four times when trained in the UK by Tom Lacey and has added another three victories since switching to the County Antrim-based Stuart Crawford.
The latest of those victories came at Navan in November and it is really interesting to see him now contesting the Becher Chase at Aintree.
Beaten by a neck by the top Hunter Chaser Vaucelet at Downpatrick last Boxing Day, a reproduction of that run could well see Dorking Cock go really close in this 3m2f contest over the National fences.
Running off just 10st 2lbs at the bottom of the handicap, the booking of the in-form Irish jockey JJ Slevin is a major plus too.
If you’re after a slightly safer punting option then I wouldn’t put you off having a flutter on Percussion who has become quite a fan of running and performing well at Aintree.
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On this page, you’ll find top racing tips from our expert horse racing analysts, Will Smith and Steve Mullington as well as selections from some of the leading national newspaper tipsters.
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