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Jack Catterall to Win on Points

Jack Catterall vs Regis Prograis

8/13

Jack Catterall vs Regis Prograis Prediction & Preview

Chorley’s Jack Catterall (29-1, 13KO) and American Regis Prograis (29-2, 24KO) will become the first boxers in history to headline the brand-new Co-op LIVE Arena in Manchester, this Saturday, October 26.

The world-ranked super-lightweights will clash live on DAZN, just a couple months later than scheduled after their August date was pushed back due to Catterall suffering an injury.

31-year-old ‘El Gato’ Catterall will take the home advantage and can box in a number of ways – at range and in close. He’s still riding on a crest of a wave following three straight wins, including revenge over Josh Taylor.

Despite recently sending Jorge Linares into retirement, Prograis is going to be one of Jack’s hardest opponents yet, but JC has been operating at this level for a while now and there shouldn’t be any surprises for him when he gets in there.

Trained by Jamie Moore, Jack has already acknowledged that ‘Rougarou’ is a dangerous former world champion with a lot of knockouts, but claims he didn’t look his best in the last two performances.

The visitor from New Orleans is 35-years-old now and hasn’t fought all year. His last fight was against Devin Haney in December 2023 where he was dropped by a right hand in round three, stunned by the same shot in the sixth, unable to win a single round, ultimately losing 107-120 on all three scorecards.

However, Prograis is an explosive fighter, with speed and skill, and a rhythmic fluency. In his last few fights, he has changed his style to boxing on the outside and picking his punches with more thought and precision. Against Haney, this wasn’t the best game plan, as Devin is a counter-punching out-boxer with a bigger reach than Regis.

He likes to be on the front foot, which will suit Catterall, who is great at backing up and boxing at range.

JC has an underrated IQ, can read fights really well and is good at dictating the pace and distance of fights. He flicks out that southpaw jab from an awkward level, sometimes stepping into it to add weight and strength. He’s good at backing up with his quick feet and sound judgement of range, and he’s completely comfortable fighting fire with fire.

So if Regis wants to trade in close, there will always be an immediate response from Catterall, and a likely ensuing firefight.

This matchup has a lot at stake despite there being no titles on the line. WBC and WBO #2 Catterall wants a world title shot in 2025, and he knows that a win over WBA, IBF, WBO #7 Regis Prograis will lead to that next, so he can’t afford any slip-ups against this risky ex-word champ.

Jack Catterall vs Regis Prograis Prediction

In my view, Catterall is unbeaten, because I believe, along with many others, that he did more than enough to defeat Josh Taylor in their 2022 first fight. Taylor disagrees and believes he won both fights, but I had JC winning both times.

I still regard Prograis as one of the best super-lightweights in the world, but he has changed lately, slowed down a little in his mid-thirties, and I think his style is going to suit Catterall down to the ground.

If it all goes perfectly, then ‘El Gato’ should be able to box Prograis from distance, hitting him with that tricky low lead right often enough to keep racking up the rounds in his favour. Whenever Regis tries to engage him, JC will always be ready to let his hands go explosively in return.

I predict Catterall to win on points in a close fight that he is always ahead and on top in.

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Free Boxing Betting Tips

Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.

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Yes. All tips remain live here on WhichBookie. You can view all past boxing tips here on this page.

Which Bookie Should I Place The Tips With?

If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.

What Stakes Should I Use?

We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.

How Regularly Are Boxing Tips Published?

WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.

Can You Watch Boxing Online?

Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.

How To Bet On Boxing

There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.

Outright / To Win Fight

As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.

Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.

If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.

Fight Outcome / Method of Victory

This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:

• By KO (knockout), TKO (tecnhical knockout) or DQ (opponent disqualified).
• By Decision (on points) or Technical Decision.

So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.

Round Betting

The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.

Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.

So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.

To Go The Distance

This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.

It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:

• Are the fighters evenly matched?
• Do they have a reputation for durability and rarely having been stopped in the past?
• If there is a favourite, is he/she an aggressive boxer or does he/she prefer to wear their opponent down?
• How many of their previous fights have gone the distance?

The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.

Total Rounds Over/Under

This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.

For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:

• If you think the fight will last for 3 rounds or less, you would bet on Under.
• If you think it will last for 4 rounds or more, you would be on Over.

You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.

Where To Get The Best Odds On Boxing

As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.

We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.

As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.

Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.

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