WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith previews the action on Monday 25th October, and has found 4 EW selections across three cards.
|Carlos Takam||35/1||To Win in Rounds 7-9
Joe Joyce v Carlos Takam
Date of Tips: 14/07/2021
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (09:33 14/07/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Joe Joyce v Carlos Takam is an interesting fight. Joyce goes into the fight ranked number 6 by the WBC, 2 by the WBO, and 10 by the IBF at heavyweight. He’s the the less experienced professional fighter out of the two, having had 33 fewer fights and made his debut in 2017, almost 12 years later than Takam, whose first professional fight was in 2005. He has fought 186 fewer professional rounds with 53 to Takam’s 239.
Joyce steps into the ring with an undefeated record of 12 wins, zero loses and 0 draws with 11 of those wins coming by the way of knockout, whereas Carlos Takam has a record of 39 wins, 5 loses, and 1 draw, with 28 of those by knockout.
The stats suggest Joyce has the advantage in power over Takam, with a 92% knock-out percentage over Takam’s 72%. Joe Joyce is younger by 5 years, at 35 years old and has a height advantage of 4 inches. Despite this, both fighters have equal reach. Both Joe Joyce & Carlos Takam fight out of an orthodox stance.
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Joyce (35), 6′ 6″ / 198 cm
Takam (40), 6′ 2″ / 187 cm
In terms of recent activity, Joe Joyce has been fighting more than Carlos Takam. Joyce last fought just over 7 months ago, while Carlos Takam’s last outing was over a year ago. Joyce’s last 5 fights have come over a period of 2 years, 4 months, and 20 days meaning that he has been fighting on average just over every 5 months. In those fights, he fought a total of 34 rounds with each lasting 6.8 rounds on average. Joyce remains undefeated as a professional having stopped 4 of his last 5 opponents.
In his last fight back in November 2020, he defeated Daniel Dubois by knockout in the 10th round in their CBC Commonwealth Heavyweight Championship fight in London and previous to that, he had won against Michael Wallisch in July 2020 by technical knockout, Bryant Jennings in July 2019 by unanimous decision and also got the better of Alexander Ustinov and Bermane Stiverne.
Takam has been fighting on average every 8 months over the past 3 1/2 years with an average of 9.6 rounds per fight and won 3 of his 5 fights during that period.
In his last fight, he defeated Jerry Forrest on 9th July 2020 by unanimous decision in their 10 round contest at MGM Grand, Las Vegas and previous to that, he had defeated the likes of Fabio Maldonado and Craig Lewis. However, he had suffered defeats to Dereck Chisora in 2018 and Anthony Joshua in 2017.
Bet365 price the fight to go the distance at 9/4 but the value could be with the more experienced fighter. At 35/1 to win in rounds 7-9 with Paddy Power, Takam would be worth a punt.