Croatia vs Italy Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview – Euro 2024

European giants Croatia and Italy will face off in their third and final Group B match at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, on the 24th of June, at 8pm (GMT). Croatia, under the guidance of Zlatko Dalic has shown defensive resilience with a dynamic midfield, consisting of creative genius Luka Modric, as well as Marcelo Brozovic and Mateo Kovacic. This midfield trio is key to Dalic’s defensive strategy with an ability to quickly transition into attack, feeding the ball to the likes of Andrej Kramaric and Bruno Petkovic who have both been instrumental in scoring goals. On the other side, Italy, under coach Luciano Spalletti boasts a technically gifted squad with the relentless Nicolo Barella and the versatile Sandro Tonali in midfield, adept at controlling the pace of the game, while Federico Chiesa and Domenico Berardi pose a constant attacking threat. They also have a solid defence with world-class centre-back Alessandro Bastoni and Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal, making it difficult for even the best attackers to penetrate. Both teams possess the tactical ability to challenge each other, making this an exciting fixture. Keep reading as we delve deeper into how this game might play out. We’ll also provide our top betting tips for this interesting matchup.

Croatia vs Italy Betting Tips

A “Draw No Bet” on Italy could provide value given Italy’s recent form under Spalletti. Barella and Tonali will have a challenge against Croatia’s midfield lineup, however, Spalletti’s attacking duo, Chiesa and Berardi should be able to break down Croatia’s defence to find scoring opportunities. While Croatia poses a significant challenge, particularly in their defensive foundation, Italy’s attacking prowess and newly adapted pressing style of play might give them the slight advantage, making a “Draw No Bet” a safe option. 

Croatia vs Italy Match Prediction

Given Croatia’s disciplined structure and Italy’s pressing style backed up by a top-tier defence, it’s likely they will neutralise each other’s attempts. Croatia’s compact defence makes it difficult for Italy to find opportunities, while Italy’s midfield can quickly shut down Croatia’s counterattacks. Both teams have shown resilience, highlighted by Croatia’s loss to Wales followed by consecutive wins, and Italy’s draw against North Macedonia before beating them 5-2. With both sides possessing a blend of talent and determination, a draw seems a plausible outcome in what we expect will be a tightly contested match.

Croatia vs Italy Correct Score Tips & Prediction

Given the equal threats of both sides, coupled with the fact they might adopt a cautious approach due to the high stakes and calibre of each opposition, a scoreline of 1-1 seems a viable prediction. Croatia’s midfield trio, Luka Modric, Marcelo Brozovic, and Mateo Kovacic, should be able to unlock Italy’s defence and find a goal over the course of 90 minutes. The same goes for Italy’s formidable attacking threats, equally poised to find the net during the game. However, both teams defensive solidity makes a high-scoring affair unlikely, which is why we recommend a wager on 1-1. 

Croatia vs Italy Over & Under Betting Tips

Croatia relies on a disciplined backline anchored by Josko Gvardiol, while the midfield also provides defensive cover, so it’s unlikely Italy will have many scoring opportunities. Likewise, Italy’s defence and midfield acumen also possess the ability to stifle Croatia’s attacks. Both sides boast quality goalkeepers Dominik Livakovic and Gianluigi Donnarumma, further minimising the chances of a high scoring game. Therefore, we say this match will see under 2.5 goals.