Rugby Union

South Africa v British and Irish Lions Second Test – Predictions & Preview

Saturday 31st July 17:00

WhichBookie Rugby Union analyst Craig provides a preview along with his betting tips for the upcoming second test match between South Africa v British & Irish Lions match taking place this Saturday.

Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
No Try Scorers 20/1 Tryscorer
South Africa v British & Irish Lions
Place Bet

Date of Tips: 28/07/2021

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:50 28/07/2021) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

South Africa v British and Irish Lions Second Test

  • Date: Saturday 31st July
  • Time: 17:00 (UK)

After last week’s monumental battle of attrition which saw the Lions win the first test by 22-17, the anticipation has been building nicely over the last few days. A wounded Springbok side is often at its most dangerous. No strangers to adversity or criticism, South Africa know how to pack a punch and raise the physicality when their backs are against the wall. The level of brutality expected from the home side this Saturday may be the most bruising encounter we have seen since the second test 12 years ago. In that match, several Lions players including the likes of Gethin Jenkins, Adam Jones and Jamie Roberts left the field injured after clashes with the formidable Springbok pack of 2009. 

A fairly even contest at scrum time despite the Cape Town pitch cutting up and being a particularly slippery surface for the front rows, will be crucial again. Both teams need a solid set-piece to provide a platform for the inevitable kick and chase game; the respective backlines will no doubt adopt again this time around. The aerial battle was not as fierce as we had expected last week but it will be a different story on this occasion as South Africa will revert to type and bombard the Lions at every opportunity. Bet365 has the home side to win the second test at 11/10, a draw between the two sets of gladiators at 20/1, and the tourists to be victorious, priced at 5/6.

William Hill
British & Irish Lions To Win 2nd Test v South Africa - 30/1
Enhanced Odds
British & Irish Lions To Win 2nd Test v South Africa - 30/1
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18+. Play Safe. New customers using EPL30. Mobile only. Applies to bets placed from 09:00 on 27th July 2021 until 20:00 on 11th July 2021. Max £1 bet at 30/1. Returns paid as 3 x £10 free bets (30 day expiry). Player & currency restrictions & terms apply.

Team News

SOUTH AFRICA 

  1. Willie le Roux (Toyota Verblitz) – 63 caps, 60 pts (12t)
  2. Cheslin Kolbe (Toulouse) – 15 caps, 40 pts (8t)
  3. Lukhanyo Am (Cell C Sharks) – 16 caps, 15 pts (3t)
  4. Damian de Allende (Munster) – 48 caps, 30 pts (6t)
  5. Makazole Mapimpi (Cell C Sharks) – 15 caps, 70 pts (14t)
  6. Handré Pollard (vice-captain, Montpellier) – 50 caps, 477pts (6t, 78c, 93p, 4d)
  7. Faf de Klerk (Sale Sharks) – 31 caps, 25 pts (5t)
  8. Jasper Wiese (Leicester Tigers) – 1 cap, 0 pts
  9. Pieter-Steph du Toit (DHL Stormers) – 57 caps, 25 pts (5t)
  10. Siya Kolisi (captain, Cell C Sharks) – 52 caps, 30 pts (6t)
  11. Franco Mostert (Honda Heat) – 41 caps, 5pts (1t)
  12. Eben Etzebeth (Toulon) – 87 caps, 15 pts (3t)
  13. Frans Malherbe (DHL Stormers) – 40 caps, 5pts (1t)
  14. Bongi Mbonambi (DHL Stormers) – 38 caps, 40 pts (8t)
  15. Steven Kitshoff (DHL Stormers) – 49 caps, 5pts (1t)

Replacements:

  1. Malcolm Marx (Kubota Spears) – 35 caps, 30 pts (6t)
  2. Trevor Nyakane (Vodacom Bulls) – 44 caps, 5 pts (1t)
  3. Vincent Koch (Saracens) – 21 caps, 0 pts
  4. Lood de Jager (Sale Sharks) – 46 caps, 25 pts (5t)
  5. Marco van Staden (Vodacom Bulls) – 3 caps, 0 pts
  6. Kwagga Smith (Yamaha Júbilo) – 8 caps, 5 pts (1t)
  7. Herschel Jantjies (DHL Stormers) – 12 caps, 25 pts (5t)
  8. Damian Willemse (DHL Stormers) – 8 caps, 5pts (1t)

THE BRITISH & IRISH LIONS

  1. Stuart Hogg (Exeter Chiefs, Scotland) #783
  2. Anthony Watson (Bath Rugby, England) #816
  3. Chris Harris (Gloucester Rugby, Scotland) #844
  4. Robbie Henshaw (Leinster Rugby, Ireland) #824
  5. Duhan van der Merwe (Worcester Warriors, Scotland) #841
  6. Dan Biggar (Northampton Saints, Wales) #821
  7. Conor Murray (Munster Rugby, Ireland) #790
  8. Mako Vunipola (Saracens, England) #787
  9. Luke Cowan-Dickie (Exeter Chiefs, England) #851
  10. Tadhg Furlong (Leinster Rugby, Ireland) #818
  11. Maro Itoje (Saracens, England) #825
  12. Alun Wyn Jones – captain (Ospreys, Wales) #761
  13. Courtney Lawes (Northampton Saints, England) #826
  14. Tom Curry (Sale Sharks, England) #853
  15. Jack Conan (Leinster Rugby, Ireland) #839

Replacements:

  1. Ken Oens (Scarlets, Wales) #829
  2. Rory Sutherland (Worcester Warriors, Scotland) #840
  3. Kyle Sinckler (Bristol Bears, England) #814
  4. Tadhg Beirne (Munster Rugby, Ireland) #838
  5. Taulupe Faletau (Bath Rugby, Wales) #779
  6. Ali Price (Glasgow Warriors, Scotland) #843
  7. Owen Farrell (Saracens, England) #780
  8. Elliot Daly (Saracens, England) #822

Previous Meets and Results

Before last week’s defeat to Lions, the Springboks had won all of their previous five games but only the match against Georgia has been played recently. That victory is the only time that South Africa has played an international since the Rugby World Cup in Japan back in 2019, although most of their starting line-up featured against the B. I Lions for South Africa ‘A’ just 10 days before the first test in Cape Town.

  1. South Africa 40-9 Georgia (W)
  2. England 12-32 South Africa (W)
  3. Wales 16-19 South Africa (W)
  4. Japan 3-26 South Africa (W)
  5. South Africa 66-7 Canada (W)

The Lion’s only slip-up was the fixture against South Africa ‘A’ which was deemed the unofficial fourth test match by the media due to the strength selected by Rassie Erasmus. Before that, the tourists had been blowing away all the provincial sides with marginal resistance from the local South African teams. Their five tour matches up until last week’s first test far have ended like this; 

  1. Stormers 3-49 British and Irish Lions (W)
  2. South Africa A 17-13 British and Irish Lions (L)
  3. Sharks 31-71 British and Irish Lions (W)
  4. Sharks 7-54 British and Irish Lions (W)
  5. Lions 14-56 British and Irish Lions (W)

In terms of the most recent test matches head-to-head, the last two tours have both finished 2-1 in the test series. In 1997, The Lions won the first two before the Springboks were victorious in the third and final test. Most recently in 2009, it was South Africa who completed a series victory, also with a 2-1 scoreline in the 3-test series. The Springboks built up an unassailable 2-0 lead by winning the first two tests matches before The Lions went home with a victory in the third and final test. 

South Africa v British & Irish Lions Prediction

The Lions have the quality and the belief and despite their momentum after last week’s win, you should put your money on a Springbok victory on this occasion. It will be another close encounter where errors and lack of discipline will be punished by the boot and maybe a counter-attacking try which was threatened in the first match. The Lions by 1-5 points is 9/2 with PaddyPower and the Springboks by the same scoreline is also 9/2 with Skybet. There will be nothing between them again and if South Africa can fix their second-half collapse and build a 60 or 80 minute performance rather than just a 40 like the first test, the home side should edge it, just. 

Discipline and goal-kicking could be crucial on the day so whoever can keep the penalty count down will gain a massive advantage. You can have a flutter on the match being decided with the boot alone and there being no tries at all with Boylesports at 20/1. Given the solo try last week and both coaches looking to tighten up areas of concern upon review, this might be a great option to take a punt on.

You can back last week’s man of the match Maro Itoje to be the first try-scorer with Boylesports at 40-1 and for any last-minute drama, Luke Cowan-Dickie who got the only try last week is priced at 14-1 by Boylesports to score the final try of the game.

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