1.50 Newbury - Friday
Horse Racing analyst Will Smith has had a good look at all this weekend's ante-post markets, and provides a 7/1 EW selection in the Grade 2 novices' chase at Newbury on Friday.
The two underdogs of Group D go head to head on Saturday morning as Tunisia and Australia battle it out for a vital three points.
With France and Denmark also in Group D, this is the best chance both sides will have of picking up points at this stage of the tournament and a win is surely needed if one of the two is to progress.
Tunisia picked up a very respectable point in their goalless draw against Denmark earlier in the week and should be considered as one of the contenders to progress.
Australia were defeated 4-1 by World Cup holders France. A result that was somewhat expected. They now face another tough opposition and defeat would mean that they exist the competition at the group stage.
Date of Tips: 17/11/2022
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (18:23 17/11/2022) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Tunisia are one of the underrated teams in the tournament and could set themselves up with a good chance of progressing to the knockouts with a win on Saturday morning. That’s the result I’m expecting based on the opening fixtures of both sides.
Despite taking an unexpected early lead against France, Australia were ultimately outplayed. Tunisia may prove to be a slightly less threatening side but they did look very good against Denmark on Tuesday.
Tunisia are a ery tempting price of 6/5 for the win which makes a good single for the day in my opinion.
If Tunisia can keep a clean sheet against Denmark, I expect them to do the same on Saturday against Australia.
The correct score of 2-0 is priced at 9/1 which is very reasonable and my prediction for the match.
Australia did manage to get on the scoresheet against France and so it’s certainly not out of the question that they’ll do so again against Tunisia.
BTTS – Yes is priced at Evens whereas BTTS – No is 10/11. This isn’t a market I’m confident in for this game and so I won’t be backing either outcomes.
I’m willing to take a chance on an outsider in the first goalscorer market. Tunisia’s Ellyes Skhiri, who plays as a midfielder for Bundesliga club FC Köln, is 18/1 to find the net first. He’s only scored 3 times in 45 appearances for his country but found the net more than once during qualification for the World Cup and had a couple of attempts in their match against Denmark.
Draw/Tunisia has some appeal to me in the HT/FT market at 9/2. Both sides will be up for it and believe they can pick up three points. However, I think Tunisia will prove to be too strong in the later stages of the game.
If this game goes the way I expect, it could get rather heated. Therefore, Over 3.5 cards looks like a good bet to me.
Tunisia expected starting lineup:
Dahmen; Bronn, Meriah, Talbi; Drager, Skhiri, Laidouni, Abdi; Khazri, Jebali, Msakni
Australia expected starting lineup:
Ryan; Atkinson, Souttar, Rowles, Behich; Mooy; Leckie, Irvine, McGree, Goodwin; Duke