Horse Racing analyst Will Smith has had a good look at all this weekend's ante-post markets, and provides a 7/1 EW selection in the Grade 2 novices' chase at Newbury on Friday.
Date published: November 28, 2023
In this EFL Cup fourth-round clash, Manchester United and Newcastle United, two formidable English football powerhouses, are set to renew their rivalry at Old Trafford. Only one of last year’s EFL Cup finalists will proceed to the quarter-finals in the 2023-24 season, making this matchup a tantalising prospect.
| Man Utd vs Newcastle Betting Tips | ||
|---|---|---|
| Selection | Odds | Bookie |
| Draw | 5/2 |  |
| 1-1 | 11/2 | |
Erik ten Hag’s Manchester United dispatched Crystal Palace with ease, securing a spot in the last 16. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, typified by their lacklustre performance against arch-rivals Manchester City. The Norwegian sensation Erling Haaland orchestrated their demise with a brace and an assist for Phil Foden.
Pep Guardiola’s treble-winning Manchester City squad ruthlessly ended Man United’s victorious run, revealing underlying issues despite prior wins against Brentford, Copenhagen, and Sheffield United. Their 3-0 victory against Palace in round three was a rare bright spot, but inconsistencies plague them.
Newcastle United, on the other hand, have experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent matches. Their thrilling one-goal triumph over Manchester City ended the Citizens’ quadruple hopes, but subsequent results have been mixed. The Magpies recently suffered a 1-0 Champions League loss to Borussia Dortmund and two 2-2 draws with West Ham and Wolves.
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Man United, with six EFL Cup triumphs under their belt, have a rich history in this competition. They have advanced from each of their last five fourth-round ties and have not been eliminated at this stage since 2015. Despite a shaky start to the Premier League campaign, they remain a formidable force.
Newcastle, despite their inconsistent form, have excelled in EFL Cup fourth-round ties, prevailing in each of their last nine contests at this stage. Their recent win over Man City in this competition proves that they can challenge the best on their day.
Injuries could play a pivotal role in this encounter. Manchester United will miss the services of Luke Shaw, Amad Diallo, Tyrell Malacia, and Lisandro Martinez, and Jadon Sancho remains on the fringes. On the other hand, Casemiro and Aaron Wan-Bissaka, who were unavailable against Manchester City, could return.
Newcastle face their share of injury woes, with Harvey Barnes, Elliot Anderson, Jacob Murphy, Lewis Miley, and third-round matchwinner Alexander Isak unavailable. Sven Botman’s knee problem further compounds their defensive woes. Manager Eddie Howe may opt to trust Tino Livramento, Matt Targett, and Joe Willock to fill the void.
Manchester United Possible Starting Lineup:
Onana; Dalot, Varane, Maguire, Reguilon; Amrabat, Eriksen; Antony, Mount, Garnacho; Hojlund
Newcastle United Possible Starting Lineup:
Pope; Livramento, Schar, Lascelles, Targett; Willock, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Almiron, Wilson, Gordon
Given Man United’s attacking struggles and Newcastle’s recent victory over Manchester City, we predict a closely contested match ending in a 1-1 draw, with Newcastle United eventually prevailing in a penalty shootout. The Red Devils have an opportunity to maintain their EFL Cup defence, but the Magpies seem poised to upset the reigning champions.
Prediction: Man Utd 1-1 Newcastle
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Horse Racing analyst Will Smith has had a good look at all this weekend's ante-post markets, and provides a 7/1 EW selection in the Grade 2 novices' chase at Newbury on Friday.
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