Date of Tips: 17/11/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (13:43 17/11/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Burnley FC
v Chelsea FC 
Turf Moor
Premier League Matchday 12 
22-11-2025 12:30
Burnley Form
Chelsea Form
Date: 22/11/2025
Kick-Off: 12:30 pm
Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley
So, we’ve got an early Saturday clash on our hands as Burnley host Chelsea at Turf Moor, and here’s what I think… this Burnley vs Chelsea prediction really feels shaped by momentum. Chelsea arrive in a confident spell, and Burnley… well, they’re still searching for stability. With the lunchtime atmosphere, a packed crowd, and two managers who desperately need points for very different reasons, this one should get lively fast.
Burnley come into this match sitting 17th, and the story of their season so far is simple: too easy to score against. Scott Parker’s side have already conceded 22 goals in just 11 matches, a huge contrast to last season’s defensive strength in the Championship. Recent form hasn’t helped either — four defeats in their last six league games and no clean sheet in their three matches leading up to the international break. Their most recent setbacks against Arsenal and West Ham have tightened the pressure a bit more.
Chelsea, meanwhile, look like they’re finally finding their rhythm under Enzo Maresca. They arrive unbeaten in four in all competitions, with three wins and a draw, including Premier League victories against Wolves and Spurs. Even more encouraging for them: they’ve taken maximum points from their last two league away games.
Neither side’s injuries or absences were listed in your info, so we’ll roll with only what’s provided.
Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Estève, Hartman; Cullen (c), Morris Luís; Tchaouna, Ugochukwu, Anthony; Flemming
Substitutes: Weiß, Bruun Larsen, Foster, Edwards, Ekdal, Pires Silva, Broja, Mejbri, Laurent
Sanchez; Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro, Garnacho; Delap
Substitutes: Jorgensen, James, Acheampong, Tosin, Hato, Andrey Santos, Gittens, Estevao Willian, Marc Guiu
Well, when you look at how both sides have been playing, you don’t have to overthink it. Burnley are struggling defensively, and Chelsea come in with far more confidence, tempo, and attacking clarity.
Here’s what jumps out to you:
If you’re leaning anywhere, it’s toward Chelsea taking control of this one, especially with Burnley’s defensive issues.
Chelsea look sharper, more settled, and simply better equipped to impose themselves. Burnley can certainly create moments — especially at Turf Moor — but their defensive vulnerability keeps holding them back. If this match follows the patterns you’ve seen recently, Chelsea should edge it with more quality in the final third.
Match Prediction: Chelsea to win. Bet with bet365.
A margin like this reflects Chelsea’s attacking form and Burnley’s defensive struggles. Burnley might nick a goal, but keeping Chelsea out for long spells feels unlikely.
Correct Score Prediction: Burnley 1–3 Chelsea. Bet with bet365.
Looking at both teams’ recent scoring trends:
So, you’d expect goals here. Over 2.5 goals feels like the natural starting point.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
You could build something simple around:
The ingredients are all in the form guide you’ve got: strong Chelsea results, high goal counts, and Burnley’s habit of conceding but also occasionally finding the net.
Bet Builder Tip: Chelsea to win, over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Based on the form you’ve got, Chelsea look more likely to take all three points.
Recent trends suggest yes — both teams have been involved in games packed with goals.
They can, especially at home, but they’ll need to defend far better than they have recently.
A 1–3 Chelsea win fits the pattern of both teams’ form.
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