Date of Tips: 25/11/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:33 25/11/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Brentford FC
v Burnley FC 
Brentford Community Stadium
Premier League Matchday 13 
29-11-2025 15:00
Brentford Form
Burnley Form
Brentford and Burnley meet on Saturday 29th November at 15:00 BST at the Brentford Community Stadium, and this one already feels like a big Premier League moment for both sides. With the hosts pushing to steady their season and the visitors desperate for points, you get a fixture packed with storylines. So, if you’re sizing up a Brentford vs Burnley prediction, here’s what you should know heading into matchday.
Brentford boss Keith Andrews goes into this game missing Antoni Milambo, Josh Dasilva, and Fábio Carvalho, all ruled out through long-term injuries. Despite those setbacks, the Bees have looked dangerous at home, and their attacking output hasn’t dropped off. The standout name is clear: Igor Thiago, already on 9 league goals, and in the kind of form that can trouble any Premier League defence, let alone one that has struggled like Burnley’s.
Burnley manager Scott Parker doesn’t have quite the same injury list, but form is the real concern. His side have conceded heavily in recent outings, letting in 2 or more goals in three straight matches, and the defensive lapses keep piling up. Burnley have also failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home this season.
Both sides are expected to stick with familiar shapes, but Brentford’s cohesion and Burnley’s ongoing instability make the team news feel far more positive for the hosts.
Kelleher; Kayode, Collins, Van den Berg, Ajer; Henderson, Yarmolyuk; Ouattara, Damsgaard, Schade; Thiago.
Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Estève, Hartman; Florentino Luís, Ugochukwu; Tchaouna, Cullen, Anthony; Flemming.
If you’re judging this purely on home form, Brentford enter as the stronger side. They’ve played six home league games, winning four, drawing one, and losing only once. They’ve hit 12 goals at the Brentford Community Stadium and have scored in every match against teams below them in the table.
Burnley, on the other hand, sit 19th and have struggled badly on the road. They’ve already lost five away games, conceded 18, and found goals difficult to come by. Their record against teams above them is painful reading: 11 matches, 8 defeats, only 2 wins.
History leans slightly Burnley’s way, but the recent context is very different. Brentford look more stable, more fluid, and far more threatening in the final third.
Here’s what stands out when you look at the numbers and the patterns:
The home side feel like the logical play. Their home record is solid, and with Thiago in this scoring form, they have the firepower to take control.
Burnley might struggle, but they do tend to nick a goal. They’ve scored 9 away goals, and Brentford’s matches have produced 21 goals in their last six. You’d expect chances at both ends.
This fixture brings goals historically, and both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently.
Well, when you weigh everything up — recent form, home advantage, goal threat, and Burnley’s ongoing defensive issues — Brentford look well-placed to take control of the match. They create chances consistently at home, and with Thiago leading the line, you’d back them to break through more than once.
Burnley should still have moments. They don’t always fold, and their wide players can stretch games. But sustaining pressure, especially away from home, has been their biggest weakness.
So, the expectation here is straightforward: Brentford to dictate the tempo, Burnley to chase, and the hosts to finish with a comfortable margin.
Match Prediction: Brentford to win. Bet with bet365.
A realistic scoreline for this matchup looks like 3-1 Brentford. The Bees have the goals in them, Burnley’s defence has been leaking regularly, and the pattern of both scoring but Brentford winning fits the season so far.
Correct Score Prediction: Brentford 3-1 Burnley. Bet with bet365.
Everything points to a game with chances. Brentford have been involved in matches averaging 3.5 goals recently, and Burnley have conceded 22 goals against teams above them.
If you like a high-value angle, this isn’t a bad shout considering both teams’ wild defensive numbers.
Hard to justify. Nothing in the recent meetings or form suggests a low-scoring match.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
A simple but realistic combo:
It matches the numbers, the form, and how both teams tend to approach games.
Bet Builder Tip: Brentford to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, and Igor Thiago to Score Anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.
Brentford are favourites, especially at home, where their form and scoring record give them a big edge.
A likely outcome is 3-1 Brentford.
You’d expect so. Both sides have been involved in high-goal matches, and neither defence has looked secure.
Igor Thiago is the most in-form forward on the pitch and the standout candidate.
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