A Palace win by one or two goals looks the most realistic scenario.
Date of Tips: 01/12/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (13:12 01/12/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Burnley FC
v Crystal Palace FC 
Turf Moor
Premier League Matchday 14 
03-12-2025 19:30
Burnley Form
Crystal Palace Form
Burnley and Crystal Palace meet on Wednesday, 3 December 2025, at 7:30pm under the lights at Turf Moor. It’s a matchup between a side desperate to stop the slide and another looking to bounce straight back from a rare stumble. So, if you’re weighing up a Burnley vs Crystal Palace prediction, there’s plenty to dig into here. Burnley’s confidence has taken a hit after a bruising run of form, while Palace arrive with one of the league’s strongest away records and a clear sense of identity under Oliver Glasner.
Burnley head into this one still struggling with familiar injury issues. Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni remain unavailable, and with Scott Parker searching for solutions, you can expect tweaks in midfield and the attacking line. Hannibal Mejbri may drop out after being substituted at Brentford, opening the door for Lesley Ugochukwu to add some bite in the middle. Zian Flemming continues to be their main spark, carrying the bulk of Burnley’s goal threat so far.
Crystal Palace, meanwhile, face a reshuffle of their own. Ismaila Sarr’s ankle injury rules him out for the next few matches, and he was seen leaving Selhurst Park on crutches. Eddie Nketiah is the obvious candidate to step in, partnering or supporting Jean-Philippe Mateta, who’s been in lethal form this season. Cheick Doucoure, Caleb Kporha and Chadi Riad remain sidelined, but Glasner will again lean on his established defensive trio of Marc Guehi, Maxence Lacroix and Chris Richards.
Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman; Cullen, Florentino; Tchaouna, Ugochukwu, Anthony; Flemming
Henderson; Lacroix, Guehi, Richards; Munoz, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell; Nketiah, Mateta, Pino
Well, here’s where things get interesting. Burnley have lost four straight league games, and all against London opposition. They’ve failed to score in their last two at Turf Moor, and despite some improved spells, they still struggle to convert sustained pressure into goals. Their home tally of five goals all season tells its own story.
Crystal Palace, in contrast, have looked composed, organised and clinical away from home. They’ve won their last two league games on the road, both with clean sheets, and they’ve scored at least twice in nearly every victory this season. Even in defeat to Manchester United, Mateta showed he’s still full of confidence, and Palace’s structure rarely wavers.
So if you’re weighing potential angles, here’s what stands out:
Those patterns don’t guarantee anything, but they do paint a clear picture heading into this one.
Here’s what I think: this feels like a tough night for Burnley. Parker’s side work hard, but their defensive lapses and limited output in the final third keep punishing them. Palace are structured, well-drilled, and sharp in transition. Even without Sarr, they carry plenty of threat through Mateta, Pino and Nketiah.
Burnley have the home crowd behind them, and they’ve shown flashes of resilience, but Crystal Palace’s away form and recent dominance in this fixture tilt the balance their way.
Match Prediction: Crystal Palace to win. Bet with bet365.
With Palace’s knack for bagging two goals in their wins and Burnley’s habit of conceding them, a margin like 2-1 or 2-0 feels realistic. Burnley can make spells competitive, especially if Flemming or Anthony find gaps, but Palace’s control usually shines through when games tighten up.
Correct Score Prediction: Burnley 0-2 Crystal Palace. Bet with bet365.
Recent meetings lean heavily toward one-sided scorelines, with only one team scoring in seven of the last ten clashes. Palace’s defensive record on the road is outstanding, and Burnley’s attack has faltered at home.
Key takeaways:
Over/Under Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
A sensible combination based on current trends:
This aligns with nearly all of Palace’s wins this season and with Burnley’s struggles.
Bet Builder Tip: Crystal Palace to win, under 3.5 goals, Jean-Philippe Mateta to score. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Crystal Palace come in stronger. Their away form, defensive solidity and attacking edge make them favourites.
Jean-Philippe Mateta is in excellent scoring form, while Zian Flemming is Burnley’s brightest attacking outlet.
They can, but recent trends suggest it won’t be easy. Palace’s defensive unit has been one of the league’s most reliable on the road.
A Palace win by one or two goals looks the most realistic scenario.
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