Date of Tips: 04/12/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (10:46 04/12/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Newcastle United FC
v Burnley FC 
St James' Park
Premier League Matchday 15 
06-12-2025 15:00
Newcastle Form
Burnley Form
Newcastle United welcome Burnley to St James’ Park on Saturday afternoon in a matchup that arrives at a crucial moment for both sides. On paper, it looks one-sided: Newcastle are unbeaten in four at home, while Burnley travel north trying to stop a run of five straight league defeats. So, let’s dive into the Newcastle United vs Burnley prediction to see whether this really is as straightforward as it seems.
Eddie Howe comes into this one still juggling a challenging injury list. Kieran Trippier (hamstring), William Osula (ankle) and Harrison Ashby (thigh) remain unavailable. A handful of players are touch-and-go, including Yoane Wissa (knee), Emil Krafth (knee), Sven Botman (back) and Nick Pope (knock). Even with these absences, Newcastle have shown they can still dominate games, as seen in their 2-2 draw with Tottenham where they controlled large spells and created plenty.
Burnley’s problems are just as significant. Scott Parker is without Zeki Amdouni (knee), Jordan Beyer (knee), Connor Roberts (knee) and Bashir Humphreys (muscular). That’s a big chunk of defensive and midfield depth gone, which only adds to Burnley’s struggle to stop the goals flowing. They’ve now conceded in six straight games, and the defensive frailties remain a real concern going into a trip to one of the toughest grounds in the league.
Ramsdale; Livramento, Thiaw, Burn, Hall; Miley, Tonali, Joelinton; Murphy, Woltemade, Barnes.
Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman; Mejbri, Cullen, Florentino; Tchaouna, Flemming, Foster.
If you’re weighing up the angles here, the form guide points heavily toward Newcastle. They’ve won six of their last seven home matches, and even when they don’t win, they look dangerous. Burnley, meanwhile, have lost five straight and remain stuck in the bottom three.
Here’s what stands out:
Burnley do still play proactive football and create opportunities, but converting those chances — and keeping them out — has been their biggest obstacle.
Newcastle should control this game from the start. Their midfield options — even with injuries — give them more balance and power than Burnley can currently match. Howe has been rotating sensibly, and with the Champions League on the horizon, he’ll want a comfortable, drama-free win.
Burnley showed flashes against Crystal Palace and were arguably unlucky to lose, but their repeated defensive lapses make it hard to trust them against a team that attacks with runners from all angles. Burnley may have moments, but Newcastle simply look sharper, more confident, and far more imposing at home.
Prediction: Newcastle win with room to spare.
Match Prediction: Newcastle to win. Bet with bet365.
If Burnley don’t tighten up defensively, this could turn into a long afternoon for them.
Correct Score Prediction: Newcastle 3-0 Burnley. Bet with bet365.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
A likely bet builder outcome:
Bet Builder Tip: Newcastle to win to nil and Nick Woltemade anytime scorer. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Newcastle are strong favourites thanks to their home form and Burnley’s ongoing slump.
The game takes place at St James’ Park, Newcastle’s iconic home ground.
Kick-off is 3:00pm on Saturday, December 6.
Yes — both sides have several defensive and midfield absentees that could shape the tactical approach.
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