Date of Tips: 07/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:42 07/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Date: Friday, 10 October 2025
Kick-off time: 19:45
Venue: Windsor Park, Belfast
Windsor Park sees Northern Ireland host Slovakia in the World Cup 2026 qualifiers. The atmosphere’s going to be electric — and honestly, this one feels like it could go either way. Northern Ireland need a strong performance to get their campaign back on track, while Slovakia are quietly confident after climbing to the top of Group A.
So, will the Green and White Army rise to the occasion, or will Slovakia keep their momentum rolling? Let’s dive in.
Northern Ireland have had a bit of a rollercoaster run lately. They’ve picked up just two wins from their last six games, and that 3-1 loss to Germany last time out definitely hurt. Isaac Price gave them a spark with a solid goal, but Germany were simply too clinical.
You can see where the problems lie — the defence hasn’t been its usual tight unit. Northern Ireland have conceded in five of their last six matches, letting in 12 goals. That’s not ideal when you’re facing a team like Slovakia who love to sit deep and counter.
But here’s the thing — Windsor Park can be a fortress. The crowd gets right behind them, and that home energy always seems to lift their game. The return of key players like Daniel Ballard, Paul Smyth, and Brodie Spencer could make a real difference. Manager Michael O’Neill will definitely be banking on that boost.
Slovakia, meanwhile, are coming off two clean wins — a convincing 2-0 over Germany and a gritty 1-0 away victory in Luxembourg. Francesco Calzona’s side have been quietly efficient, not flashy, just smart. They don’t score loads, but they know how to close games out.
Fun fact: across Slovakia’s last six matches, there’s been an average of just 1.67 goals per game. Not exactly fireworks, but it shows how organised they are.
Northern Ireland Team News
Some good news for the home side — Ballard, Smyth, and Spencer are all back from injury, which strengthens the spine of the team. Unfortunately, Pierce Charles and Jordan Thompson are still out, so the midfield depth is a little thin. Expect Isaac Price to keep his place after that tidy finish against Germany. Up top, Dion Charles will likely lead the line, supported by Smyth and Shea Charles.
Slovakia Team News
Slovakia have no major injury worries this time, which is rare during a tight qualifying run. Ondrej Duda, who missed a game recently, is fit again and ready to go. Expect Calzona to stick with the same disciplined setup — compact midfield, patient build-up, and looking to hit on the break through Lukas Haraslin and Tomáš Suslov.
Northern Ireland (4-3-3): Peacock-Farrell; Spencer, Ballard, Evans, Lewis; Price, Saville, McCann; Smyth, Charles, Whyte
Slovakia (4-2-3-1): Dubravka; Pekarík, Škriniar, Hancko, Haraslín; Kucka, Lobotka; Suslov, Duda, Benes; Boženík
Slovakia’s defence is rock solid, but Northern Ireland at home are a different beast.
The visitors are top of the group for a reason — they’ve kept clean sheets in their last two qualifiers and haven’t conceded in over 180 minutes of play. But when you look at Northern Ireland’s energy under the Windsor Park lights, it’s hard to see them not finding at least one goal.
A few betting angles worth a look:
I’ll be honest — it’s hard to separate these two. Slovakia might have the better recent form, but Northern Ireland’s home record gives them every chance.
The key battle will be in midfield. If Lobotka gets time on the ball, Slovakia will control the tempo. But if Price and Saville can disrupt that rhythm, Northern Ireland could swing momentum their way.
Expect Slovakia to sit back early, absorb pressure, and look for a late sucker punch. Northern Ireland, on the other hand, will press high and feed off the crowd.
Match Prediction: Draw. Bet with bet365.
You won’t believe this, but four of Northern Ireland’s last eight home qualifiers have ended in draws — and three of those were 1-1. That feels about right again.
Correct Score Prediction: Northern Ireland 1-1 Slovakia. Bet with bet365.
If you’re looking at the numbers, this one points under. Slovakia’s games rarely go above two goals, and Northern Ireland have been inconsistent in attack. Over 2.5 might tempt you, but the smarter play is Under 2.5 Goals.
Over/Under Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Here’s a Northern Ireland vs Slovakia Bet Builder that makes sense:
That combo paints the perfect picture for how I see the game going — cagey, close, and settled by fine margins.
Bet Builder Tip: Draw, Under 4.5 Goals, and Isaac Price to Score Anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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It’s a tough one to call, but a draw looks most likely given Slovakia’s defence and Northern Ireland’s home form.
We’re going for a 1-1 draw — both sides solid, both likely to nick a goal.
The match takes place at Windsor Park in Belfast.
Isaac Price for Northern Ireland and Ondrej Duda for Slovakia — both capable of turning the game on its head.