Date of Tips: 10/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:28 10/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Date: Sunday, October 13, 2025
Kick-off: 19:45 (UK time)
Venue: Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
The World Cup 2026 qualifiers are heating up, and this one could be bigger than people think. Poland are still chasing that automatic ticket to North America, while Lithuania are just playing for pride — but don’t let that fool you. This could get lively.
Poland sit just behind the Netherlands in Group G, three games left, everything to play for. Lithuania? They’re out of the running, but they’ve shown enough fight lately to make things awkward. Remember that 3-2 thriller against the Dutch? Yeah, they made them sweat.
So, what can we expect in Kaunas on Sunday? Let’s dig in.
Poland are back on track after a wobbly start to their qualifying campaign. A new boss, a fresh vibe, and some old-school leadership from Robert Lewandowski have changed the mood completely. Since Jan Urban took charge, they’ve looked sharper, tougher, and more together.
Urban — a former Poland striker from the 1986 World Cup days — seems to have reconnected the team. That 1-1 draw away to the Netherlands and a 3-1 win over Finland weren’t flukes. Poland are grinding results again, and you can feel it.
As for the lineup, it’s business as usual for Lewandowski up front. The man has 86 goals in 160 caps — ridiculous numbers, right? Piotr Zieliński, who bagged the winner against New Zealand in a friendly last week, will pull the strings from midfield.
A few absentees though. Nicola Zalewski’s hamstring injury means he’s missing, so we could see Jakub Kamiński or Michal Skóraś slot in on the left. On the right, expect Matty Cash bombing forward with Sebastian Szymański beside him.
Possible Poland lineup:
Skorupski; Cash, Wiśniewski, Bednarek, Kiwior; Szymański, Zieliński, Slisz, Kamiński; Świderski, Lewandowski.
Now, Lithuania. You’ve got to feel for them. They keep getting so close to upsets, but just can’t quite see it through. Last time out, they led Finland 1-0 thanks to Pijus Širvys, only to lose 2-1. And that comeback against the Netherlands? Heroic, but still a 3-2 defeat.
Coach Edgaras Jankauskas — a Lithuanian legend himself — has been trying to build belief in this young squad. They’re short on experience but long on heart. The issue? They’ve only picked up three points so far, and sit second-bottom in Group G.
Jankauskas has to make at least one change, with Artur Dolznikov suspended. Veteran forward Fedor Černych is expected to start and could make history with his 101st cap — not bad for a player who’s seen it all.
Possible Lithuania lineup:
Gertmonas; Širvys, Upstas, Girdvainis, Armalas, Lasickas; Širgedas, Vorobjovas, Gineitis, Černych; Paulauskas.
You’d think this fixture has been one-way traffic — and, well, it kind of has. The last meeting ended 1-0 to Poland, thanks to a late Lewandowski strike. That made it six wins out of their last seven against Lithuania.
Lithuania haven’t beaten Poland since 2003. Can you imagine the celebrations if they managed it now? But based on form, it’s a tough ask.
Lithuania (all competitions): D D L D L L
Poland (all competitions): W W L D W W
Lithuania have scored in just one of their last four games. Poland, on the other hand, have tightened up defensively — only four goals conceded in their last six matches.
So, yeah, there’s a bit of a gap here.
I’m expecting Lithuania to give everything early on. They always start brave, pressing high, getting the crowd going. But once Poland settle, it’s hard to see anything other than an away win.
A few angles worth looking at:
You won’t believe this, but Poland have scored just 10 goals in five qualifiers — efficient but not explosive. Lithuania have conceded 12 in the same stretch. So, you can see how this one’s shaping up.
Poland have rediscovered that winning habit. Urban’s side are compact, patient, and know how to get the job done. Lithuania will try to stay organised, maybe nick something on the counter, but over 90 minutes, Poland’s quality and experience should shine through.
Match Prediction: Poland to win. Bet with bet365.
You can see where this is going, right? Lithuania will hang in there for a while, but Poland have too much firepower. Therefore, our Lithuania vs Poland score prediction is 2-0 to the away side.
Correct Score Prediction: Lithuania 0-2 Poland. Bet with bet365.
Poland don’t tend to blow teams away. Five of their last six wins have come by one or two goals. So the sensible call is under 2.5 goals.
Over/Under Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Here’s a simple combo that fits the game:
That’s your steady Sunday night special — solid, logical, and totally how this one looks on paper.
Bet Builder Tip: Poland to win, Under 2.5 goals, and Robert Lewandowski anytime scorer. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.
Poland are heavy favourites. They’ve got more experience, more quality, and much better form.
A safe bet? 0-2 to Poland. They’ll control the game without going overboard.
At the Darius and Girėnas Stadium in Kaunas, Lithuania.
Robert Lewandowski for Poland — obviously. And keep an eye on Gvidas Gineitis for Lithuania, he’s been their standout performer.
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