Date of Tips: 14/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (14:46 14/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Burnley FC
v Leeds United FC 
Turf Moor
Premier League Matchday 8 
18-10-2025 14:00
Burnley Form
Leeds United Form
Date: Saturday, 18 October 2025
Kick-off time: 15:00 (UK)
Venue: Turf Moor
Another big Saturday afternoon in the Premier League — and this one’s got “survival scrap” written all over it. Burnley host Leeds United at Turf Moor, and both sides know just how crucial this game is.
The Clarets haven’t had the smoothest start back in the top flight, but Turf Moor has given them a bit of hope. Leeds, meanwhile, have looked lively at times but still can’t quite find that consistency away from home. So, who’s walking away with the points this weekend? Let’s break it down.
Burnley are still chasing their first win in a few weeks, but they’ll fancy their chances at home. Turf Moor needs to become a fortress again if they’re going to stay up.
There’s some mixed news on the injury front. Jaidon Anthony faces a late fitness test after taking a knock, but it looks like he’ll be ready to play — which is massive, because he’s Burnley’s top scorer with four league goals. Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, and Zeki Amdouni are still ruled out, while Lyle Foster remains a doubt after his knock on international duty.
At least Burnley’s defensive numbers at home are solid — just two goals conceded in three games. Burnley’s side might not be flashy, but they’re organised and tough to break down in Lancashire.
As for Leeds, Wilfried Gnonto and Daniel James are both sidelined, which leaves Leeds short of width and pace. Harry Gray is also unlikely to recover in time.
Leeds’ away form is another concern — two losses from three trips so far. They can look sharp going forward, but they’ve lacked that killer edge away from Elland Road.
Burnley: Trafford; Vitinho, O’Shea, Al-Dakhil, Taylor; Cullen, Berge; Benson, Brownhill, Anthony; Foster.
Leeds United: Meslier; Spence, Rodon, Struijk, Firpo; Gray, Kamara; Summerville, Rutter, Sinisterra; Piroe.
I think this one’s going to be close. Really close. Burnley might not be scoring buckets of goals, but they’re a different team at Turf Moor — compact, aggressive, and confident. Leeds, on the other hand, play great football in spells but don’t always make it count.
If you’re looking for betting angles:
Leeds might dominate possession, but Burnley’s counter-punching style suits this matchup perfectly.
Turf Moor is one of those places where even good teams struggle to settle. Burnley feed off that home energy, and you can sense the crowd will be up for this. Leeds will have their moments, especially through Rutter and Summerville, but Burnley’s defensive grit could just see them through.
Match Prediction: Burnley to win. Bet with bet365.
If you’re after a scoreline pick, I’m leaning toward 2-1 Burnley. It feels right for the kind of tight, scrappy game this is shaping up to be. Leeds will probably grab one — they’ve got enough attacking quality for that — but Burnley at home just edge it.
Correct Score Prediction: Burnley 2–1 Leeds United. Bet with bet365.
Now, let’s talk goals. Burnley’s matches at Turf Moor haven’t exactly been thrillers — just four goals total in three home games. Leeds away, though, tend to open up a bit more.
Over 2.5 goals feels like the safe play, but if you prefer something tighter, Under 3.5 is still a solid shout. I wouldn’t be surprised if one goal decides it.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Here’s a Burnley vs Leeds Bet Builder combo I like for Saturday afternoon:
That’s your Turf Moor special — and it lines up perfectly with how these two usually play. Burnley tough at home, Leeds risky away, and chances at both ends.
Bet Builder Tip: Burnley to Win, BTTS Yes, Jaidon Anthony Anytime Scorer. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Burnley’s home form gives them the edge. Leeds are inconsistent away, and Turf Moor’s atmosphere can make all the difference.
I’m going with Burnley 2–1 Leeds United. Tight game, but the Clarets’ home crowd should push them over the line.
The game is at Turf Moor — Burnley’s home ground.
Jaidon Anthony for Burnley — he’s in great form. For Leeds, Georginio Rutter and Crysencio Summerville are always dangerous.
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