Iceland vs Kosovo Prediction Betting Tips & Preview
Kim Muir Chase Odds Selection Odds Johnnywho 4/1 Sa Majeste 7/1 Walking On Air 8/1 Midnight Our Fred…
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Bookie | Selection | Best Odds | Market | Bet |
---|---|---|---|---|
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Nine Graces | 14/1 | EW 5 Places Kim Muir Chase |
Place Bet |
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Yeah Man | 16/1 | EW 5 Places Kim Muir Chase |
Place Bet |
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Walking On Air | 100/30 | Win Kim Muir Chase |
Place Bet |
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Sa Majeste | 8/1 | Win Kim Muir Chase |
Place Bet |
Date of Tips: 12/03/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (19:00 12/03/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
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The market has made far too much of some of the obvious profiles in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase at 5.20, as the likes of Walking On Air, Midnight Our Fred, Johnnywho and Sa Majeste are all too short now.
There are reasons to suggest all will run well, but at the prices there are two horses who are flying massively under the radar for me.
Firstly, at 14/1 each-way generally for 5 places, Nine Graces is a 1-star * bet to continue the excellent week for Barry Connell. William Munny ran a cracker on Tuesday and Marine Nationale was the first leg of an emotional double on Wednesday for the two horses that Michael O’Sullivan rode to victory two years ago.
Nine Graces has been sharply progressive this season, stepping forward with each run and crucially with each step up in trip that she has faced. When winning the Amateur National at Punchestown in January, she was put away for this, and with regular pilot Finny Maguire doing the steering, that previous knowledge of the horse in a race like this is vital.
Also, at 16/1 each-way generally there are at least a few points of generosity added on to the price of Yeah Man, by the fact that he unseated Sean Flanagan in the Grand National Trial at Haydock last time.
Yeah Man was travelling extremely strongly that day, appreciating the better ground and for all that it might be a touch softer here, it will still be better than the heavy ground at Gowran Park the time before, when he ran a screamer despite several factors going wrong.
Both horses are notably overpriced for me and really should be nearer to the 8/1 or 9/1 mark. Who knows which way the Cheltenham markets will go, particularly for the closing race of the day, but at 14/1 and 16/1 respectively, Nine Graces and Yeah Man are definite 1-star * bets.
There’s no getting away from Johnnywho looking like he’s been aimed and saved for this race, but it still remains true that he’s only ever won fresh from 3-figure day breaks and so I’m happy to oppose him in here but accept I could be wrong.
WALKING ON AIR has been very well backed and it’s easy to see why having falling at the final flight last time out when stepping back up in trip for the first time for this new yard, and he probably would have won. He has been raised for that fall, but just 4lbs which leaves him 8lbs lower than he started this season over fences. He ran well here in 2023 in the Pertemps final and it would look very likely that he’s been brought back to somewhere close to that form as he posted just a 2lb lower RPR in that latest run. He’s 9lbs lower than that mark in the Pertemps so he looks a very likely winner of this race.
SA MAJESTE would be another who has probably been lined up for this and while he flopped when well fancied at The Festival last season, he was bad in the run after too so there’s was likely to have been something amiss. 2 wins from 4 starts over fences this season and while Derek O’Conner has opted to ride Johnnywho, I think Patrick Mullins want to land this race and there’s no better helping hand than Willie Mullins who speaks highly of this horse’s chance. I do wonder if the ground is not quite testing enough for him, but that plays into the strengths of my other selection so I’m happy playing the pair against the field.
WALKING ON AIR – 1 STAR WIN @ 100/30 (Bet365)
SA MAJESTE – 0.5 STAR WIN @ 8/1 (Generally)
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Selection | Odds |
---|---|
Johnnywho | 4/1 |
Sa Majeste | 7/1 |
Walking On Air | 8/1 |
Midnight Our Fred | 8/1 |
Mint Boy | 10/1 |
Nine Graces | 14/1 |
Yeah Man | 16/1 |
Aworkinprogress | 16/1 |
Daily Present | 16/1 |
Git Maker | 16/1 |
Westerninthepark | 20/1 |
Cleatus Poolaw | 20/1 |
Gringo D'Aubrelle | 20/1 |
Wiseguy | 25/1 |
Fantastic Lady | 25/1 |
Music Of Tara | 25/1 |
Sainte Dona | 25/1 |
Sine Nomine | 25/1 |
Dom Of Mary | 33/1 |
Gelino Bello | 33/1 |
Iris Emery | 33/1 |
Shakem Up'arry | 33/1 |
Weveallbeencaught | 33/1 |
Jasmin De Cotte | 40/1 |
Manothepeople | 40/1 |
Now Where Or When | 40/1 |
Pats Fancy | 40/1 |
Back On The Lash | 50/1 |
Flash Collonges | 50/1 |
Galop De Chasse | 50/1 |
Grozni | 50/1 |
Where It All Began | 50/1 |
Zertakt | 50/1 |
Fortescue | 66/1 |
Kim Muir Challenge Cup | |||
---|---|---|---|
Date | Time | Distance | Type |
Thurs 13/03/2025 | 17:20 | 3m 2f | Chase |
The Kim Muir Challenge Cup is one of the most unique races at the Cheltenham Festival. It is a Grade 3 race run over a distance of 3 miles and 2 furlongs on the New Course and is open to amateur riders. The race features 20 fences to be jumped and is always a thrilling spectacle. Previous winners include Cause of Causes, Missed Approach, and The Package.
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Previous Tips
2023 Tips [expired]
Returning from a long layoff, Royal Thief made the perfect return to action when scoring at Punchestown in a race confined to amateurs. The Gigginstown owned gelding has gone up in the handicap but will be able to cope with the rise I’m sure. He has clearly been targeted at this race and his amateur jockey Mr J W Hendrick is about to experience one of the most memorable days of his life.
>Mr Incredible, Beauport, Stumptown and Angels Dawn should all be included in any forecast and tricast perms you may conjure up to land a nice dividend.
2021 Tips [expired]
Mr Mister, the American rock band, were in their pomp at far too early a stage in my life for me to recall them and their music personally, but I do have an affinity for their hit song ‘Broken Wings.’ Many of you will feel similar, as it has been featured in many movies, TV shows and elsewhere.
You may wonder why I have begun as if writing for the NME – well it is because the two horses I am going to recommend backing for the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase, run as the last race at 5.30 on the Thursday of the Cheltenham Festival, both have the prefix ‘Mister’ in them, and if landing the exacta on the day, I shall certainly be exclaiming ‘Mister Mister!’
Hopefully, ‘broken wings’ won’t be how you would be describing your punting come this late stage on the penultimate day of the Festival, and if either of these land the Kim Muir, you can approach Gold Cup day in a manner that lets you ‘learn to fly again, and live so free.’
Sorry, enough music puns. You may by now have figured out which two I am recommending backing in the Kim Muir – Mister Fogpatches and Mister Coffey.
Long time ante-post favourite Frontal Assault has been handed the ceiling mark of 145, which will relieve punters on him already.
But is he really worthy of that rating, and is his form as strong as others in the race? I’d suggest perhaps not, but of course, prevalent will be the Gordon Elliott factor, as time and time again, he has peaked horses at this meeting, irrespective of handicap marks.
Mister Fogpatches represents Pat Fahy, who I’m hoping is on for a notable Cheltenham Festival double, after recommending his Drop The Anchor to land the Coral Cup. There is a chance that Mister Fogpatches takes up his entry in the Ultima, but surely the 3m2f of the New Course would be much more suitable.
He could also wait for the Scottish National, a race he was third in last year, which is why backing him at 14/1 each-way for the Kim Muir with Sky Bet or Betfred, who both offer 5 places and NRNB, is advisable.
There is a strong argument to suggest that Mister Fogpatches has improved this season – 3rd in the Cork Grand National, 3rd in the Troytown, 2nd at Cheltenham over this exact C&D to a running loose Commodore who was at the peak of his powers, and then 3rd in the Thyestes at the end of January.
All of that is quite some seasonal CV, and it was his Thyestes run, on ground softer than ideal, in the hottest handicap chase of the season, and while racing on an unfavoured part of the track for a large chunk of the race, that makes me think he is peaking.
At 14/1 each-way with Sky Bet or Betfred now, for 5 places and with NRNB, if he were to line up he surely would be shorter on the day.
Jockeyship is all important in the Kim Muir of course, as it is exclusively for amateur jockeys, and Pat Fahy has enlisted the likes of Patrick Mullins, Derek O’Connor, Finian Maguire, Tom Hamilton and Maxime O’Sullivan in Ireland this season – hopefully one of these leading amateurs will be lined up.
Mister Coffey is a horse that many will crab with the ‘fruitcake’ label, as he has looked to have certain foibles, but what is not in question for me is just how talented he is.
At 16/1 each-way with William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook and Betfred, Mister Coffey is also worth backing now for 5 places and NRNB – he may not be much shorter on the day, but if I was pricing it up, assuming no major defections, he would be single figures for sure.
It is an extreme step up in trip, but on the occasions Mister Coffey has tried 2m4f – at Aintree over hurdles last April, at Kempton at Christmas, and then in the Grade 1 Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase at Sandown Park behind the brilliant L’Homme Presse – he has hit the line with plenty of gusto.
Consider his form from that Scilly Isles, he ran on past the mid-150’s rated Pic D’Orhy (who has since won a Grade 2 at Kempton Park.)
Plus, using the section of the race from the last fence in the back straight (where races often develop) – on that card, Mister Coffey was 2 seconds quicker than the winner of the 3m handicap chase, fought out between horses rated around 140. He was also virtually identical on the clock from that point to Dolos, the mid 140’s-rated winner of the 2m handicap chase on the card.
Not only that, but looking at his run at Kempton Park on Boxing Day when contesting the 2m4½f novices’ handicap chase, despite racing wide and close to a strong pace (evidenced as Jacamar came from off that pace to win,) Mister Coffey ran the final circuit of the race in a time 3.4 seconds quicker than the winner of the King George, Tornado Flyer.
Granted, they went quick in the King George, and over further, but it still gives you a good idea of the talent that Mister Coffey possesses – and all the while he’s been doing so at a trip potentially shy of his best, and the wrong way round.
16/1 each-way about him could be a steal if he puts it all together!