Cheltenham

Gold Cup

Friday 18th March 15:05

Here are our Cheltenham Gold Cup ante-post tips from WhichBookie expert horse racing analysts. Be sure to check out our full Cheltenham ante-post tips list for more red hot tips.

Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Minella Indo 10/110/1 Ante Post
E/W
Cheltenham Gold Cup
Place BetPlace Bet
Al Boum Photo 16/116/1 Ante Post
E/W
Cheltenham Gold Cup
Place BetPlace Bet

Date of Tips: 31/12/2020

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (14:00 31/12/2020) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.



Cheltenham Gold Cup Ante-Post Tips - 2022 Cheltenham Festival - Andrew Blair White

Cheltenham Gold Cup Ante-Post Tips – 2022 Cheltenham Festival – Andrew Blair White


In a week that threw up plenty of clues going forward for the rest of the National Hunt season, it looks to me like a lot of the Cheltenham Festival markets are beginning to take shape. That is an exciting time for us ante-post punters, who might be looking to try and procure any type of value for the horses we like going forward to March. However, the one market that is subject to a lot more questions than answers at the moment is the Gold Cup, with plenty of likely options blotting their copy book in the King George and Savills Chase. With this in mind, and with the current prices available, there are two horses that are worth backing at their current prices. 

The first horse requires trust and hope that the blot on St Stephen’s Day has not taken too much out of the horse long term. However, we were all scratching our head this time last year about Minella Indo, having been underwhelming in his first few starts of the season. He subsequently went back to Leopardstown for the Irish Gold Cup, where he disappointed again before winning the Blue Riband event at the Cheltenham Festival. It takes no scientist to conclude that this horse is a spring horse and his performances at Cheltenham have always far usurped anything that he has achieved throughout the course of a season. 

Having made a more than satisfactory comeback in the Ladbrokes Champion Chase at Down Royal, he put in a listless display at Kempton a few days ago, prompting him to be pulled up. He was reported ‘shook’ by the trainer upon arrival back home and the hope is there are no lasting effects on this horse. That might be the risk with backing this horse currently for the race, but should he get to Cheltenham in one piece, it would be of no surprise to see this horse get back to the form he has shown at three festivals on the trot. Also, the likelihood of potentially getting Jack Kennedy back on him for the Gold Cup looks more and more likely, with Blackmore likely to opt for A Plus Tard and Elliot unlikely to run anything other than Galvin (Davy Russell’s mount) in the race. The stars may yet align for this horse and I think it is a gross overreaction to push this horse out to 10/1. However, the likes of Ladbrokes, Bet365 and Boylesports all go 10/1 for Minella Indo to win the Gold Cup, and that looks an appetizing each way price.

Sentiment can always be a stumbling block for punters, and I can sometimes be found wanting to delve back to winners of the past. However, when the price is right and the horse might be right, it has to be given due consideration. Given the likelihood of his price contracting and again for citing the reasons above with many of the high profile names blotting the copybook – there is another lurker in this market who is running in the next day or two. 

We often can get ahead of ourselves when bigging up young talent within the sport, claiming the next young novice to be one of the future greats, and at times breezing over the greats that are currently with us. There is a two time Gold Cup winner in this market, and he’s currently 16/1. Al Boum Photo may not be unbeatable, in fact last year’s run would indicate that he may well be vulnerable to an improver, but he is certainly no slouch. In a season of such uncertainty in this market, he may just be the rock we need. 

Willie Mullins alluded to the fact that he may have been a bit undercooked going into last year’s Gold Cup, when running an honorable third on his quest for his three time win in the race. He had taken in his usual route of Tramore onto Cheltenham and it had not quite got him there cherry ripe when he needed it most. The ground has prevented him from getting that extra race in again this year thus far, but he heads to his normal destination of Tramore on New Year’s Day and he probably has more on his hands there than he has on previous occasions. In fact, I think Mullins has stacked the race with some of his decent Grade 3 / Listed horses to make sure the race is competitive enough to make him race and improve. 

With Ante-Post betting, there are always risks involved and with this horse, the engine might not be quite what it was and we will soon find that out around Tramore in a few days, where his price could change one way or the other. I am backing that he might win again at Tramore, and as a result, contract in price for the Gold Cup. He might not be invincible, but he may well be stubborn and solid. At a price of 16/1 with William Hill and Unibet – he is worth an each way bet for the 2022 Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Previous Tips

2021 Gold Cup Tips [expired]

Cheltenham Tips by Day
Day 1 Tips
Tips for Tuesday 15th March
Day 2 Tips
Tips for Wednesday 16th March
Day 3 Tips
Tips for Thursday 17th March
Day 4 Tips
Tips for Friday 18th March

2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips



Betting Tips - CHELTENHAM 2021 - Gold Cup

Betting Tips – CHELTENHAM 2021 – Gold Cup


Minella Indo – 10/1 EW (Betfair / 888Sport / William Hill / Bet365)

It’s hard to believe it is not even November, and yet I believe we may have seen the 2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup winner out already. If not the winner, then a knocking each-way bet that is surely only going to shorten from the current odds anyhow.

Minella Indo at a general 10/1 each-way represents a great bet in my eyes, given the visual impression of what he did at Wexford on his seasonal debut. To my untrained eye, he looked a little on the tubby side down at the start, or at least a horse that carries a fair bit of condition. The manner in which he travelled and jumped suggested he was very much in love with the game, and potentially a stronger, more mature horse this season.

Back Minella Indo in the 2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup with Betfair!
VISIT BETFAIR

Henry De Bromhead mapped out a light but select campaign for Minella Indo last season, which was aimed around peaking for the RSA Chase at the Festival. Peak he did, and in bowling along at the front in a protracted battle with old rival Allaho, he left his chin vulnerable to a Barry Geraghty-inspired sucker punch on Champ – who came from, if not out of the clouds certainly on the edge of them, to run Minella Indo down in the last 50 yards.

It was a cruel blow, and if you watch carefully you can visually see Rachael Blackmore’s mount pick up again close home, as Champ scoots past. Clearly there was more in the locker for Minella Indo, he just didn’t have time to show it. The nature of a Cheltenham Gold Cup, with it’s unrelenting pace and test of jumping, could be exactly what Minella Indo needs. Remember, he ran away with an Albert Bartlett after just two hurdle starts as a maiden. If that doesn’t scream ability and relentless stamina, then I’m not sure what does.

So, to see him travel and jump like he did at Wexford to brush aside a race-fit 2020 Kim Muir winner, in the shape of Milan Native, was much more than you would have been expecting. Henry De Bromhead has stated that he will be busier this time around, presumably with the two Leopardstown Grade 1’s at Christmas and the Dublin Racing Festival in February on his agenda. Surely that experience will stand Minella Indo in good stead, as don’t forget he has still only had 9 races under rules.

Obviously dual winner Al Boum Photo commands plenty of respect, and there is some 6/1 around about him, which given his likely preparation of a New Year’s Day jaunt around Tramore again, and that he was sent off 100/30 on the back of that last season, there could be a bit of juice in that 6/1.

Further down, and one that stands out at the prices is Delta Work, who was uncharacteristically off his game jumping-wise when fifth in the 2020 renewal, but that he was only beaten just over 6 lengths confirms that he has a mighty engine. A Pertemps Final winner and a close third in an RSA, he will be reunited with Jack Kennedy at Down Royal this weekend. But he has generally needed his first run of the season, and could easily be well beaten before stepping forward massively at Leopardstown at Christmas.

25/1 is available about Delta Work, but given his profile you could get bigger after his run at Down Royal this weekend, so I’m going to steer clear from recommending him just yet. That honour firmly lands with the improving beast that is Minella Indo, who as stated, at the general 10/1 represents a great each-way bet after his Wexford re-appearance.


The following content was added at 12:00 on Friday 12th March 2021…

In a somewhat vain attempt at bringing this week-long series of daily extra ante-post selections to a dramatic conclusion, I have saved the best for last.

Not the best price, or the shrewdest selection by any means, but the best race, the one race that everyone associated to jumps racing would dearly love to win – the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

A week today will be Gold Cup day, and we will have feasted our eyes and ears on three days of scintillating action in the Cotswolds, and hopefully everything will have passed smoothly and some heart-warming and goodwill-inspiring stories will have played out on that hallowed turf.

One piece of ante-post business that was struck before the turn of the year was on Minella Indo for the Gold Cup, advised at 10/1. Perhaps not the best ever struck, as you can currently get 14/1 with William Hill about Henry De Bromhead’s charge. But the logical thinking behind it is still relevant, as I believe last year’s RSA Chase is a key piece of form.

Champ was the victor that day, and now sits at perch of 5/1 best price. So, given that Minella Indo went through that race like the best horse in it at the trip, and had to beat off Allaho (who could boost the form in the Ryanair Chase the day before), before having his pocket picked somewhat by Champ and Barry Geraghty – then the 14/1 about Minella Indo still seems tempting. I wouldn’t put anyone off.

There are two or three other relevant pieces of form, and perhaps chief among them are the last two renewals of the race. Thus, you can in no way discount dual-winner Al Boum Photo, and whatever way I play the race I will be having a saver on him to get my stake back on any other bets.

The Ryanair Chase last season and the recent Savills Chase are the other two pieces of strong form to factor in to calculations, and they feature the same horse – A Plus Tard. A previous Cheltenham Festival winner, courtesy of his novices’ handicap chase romp, he was half a stride out of his comfort zone the whole way round in last year’s Ryanair behind Min. Watch the final 100 yards or so of that race again, and you can visibly see A Plus Tard put his head down and go again, suggesting the notion that he had plenty left in the tank.

Back A Plus Tard in the 2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup with Bet365!
VISIT BET365

On his first try at 3m left-handed, he was a dramatic, last-gasp, strong-staying winner of the Savills Chase at Christmas, confirming that stamina is very much an attribute he possesses in abundance.

To chin Kemboy around Leopardstown in that manner takes some doing, and as Kemboy won the subsequent Irish Gold Cup easily, it boosted the merits of A Plus Tard’s performance previously.

At 6/1 each-way with Bet365, who are ‘Non-Runner, No Bet’, I can see him going off shorter, especially if Henry De Bromhead and Rachael Blackmore have a good week. Indeed, Rachael has chosen to ride A Plus Tard ahead of Minella Indo, so who am I to argue that she will be getting on the wrong one?

Put your faith in her, and put your faith in A Plus Tard to win the biggest race of them all, at 6/1 with Bet365.

2020 Gold Cup Tips [expired]

2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips

Kemboy – 13/2 William Hill (or 6/1 Bet365 NRNB)

Now might well be a good time to get involved in the Gold Cup market, as over the next two weekends there are two significant signposts on the road to ultimate Cheltenham glory.

The Cotswold Chase features the return of Santini, who was so lackadaisical in his seasonal reappearance at Sandown, that he all but erased the memory of his smashing RSA Chase second last year. That of course came on the back of a very interrupted preparation, and if there is a horse from last year’s novice chasers to rise to the top, then perhaps Nicky Henderson’s big brute of a horse is it. A good run will see his price surely clipped, but there are nagging doubts.

One place behind Santini in that RSA was Delta Work, who has since won the Grade One Savills Chase at Leopardstown – but it is the fourth home in that race that I think is the ante-post bet for the Gold Cup right now – and that is last year’s Aintree Bowl and Punchestown Gold Cup winner Kemboy.

At 13/2 now, should he go and win the Irish Gold Cup at the Dublin Racing Festival next weekend, then he will be challenging stablemate and last year’s Gold Cup winner Al Boum Photo for favouritism.

Unseated at the very first fence in the 2019 Gold Cup, Kemboy was sent off 8/1 that day – the shortest-priced of Willie Mullins runners and four points shorter than the winner Al Boum Photo. He then went to beat Al Boum Photo at Punchestown in ready fashion.

Some may see his reappearance fourth as slightly disappointing, but many of Mullins’ higher profile horses have been needing their first starts, as a change of tack seems to have been employed in an effort to keep them fresher for longer into the season.

Another potential doubt is that he is as yet unproven over the extra distance of the Gold Cup, compared with the bare 3m over which he has done his winning. However, in last year’s Savills Chase, Aintree Bowl and Punchestown Gold Cup he has been running away from the opposition – including Al Boum Photo.

While, as a six-year-old, he was pitched into one of the most attritional Irish Grand Nationals ever run over 3m 5f in heavy ground – I’d say his connections weren’t doubting of his stamina…

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