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Ryanair Chase Tips

Thursday 13th March 14:50

Below are our tips for the Ryanair Chase taking place at 14:50 on Thursday 14th March at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival. Our tips are provided by our expert horse racing analyst Will Smith. Be sure to take a look at our other Cheltenham betting tips for more races.

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Ginny’s Destiny 12/112/1 Ante Post
EW
Ryanair Chase
Place BetPlace Bet

Date of Tips: 19/03/2024

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (12:00 19/03/2024) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

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2025 Ryanair Chase Preview

by Will Smith…

The instant post-Cheltenham Festival period is fully underway – combining the scouring of early markets for the 2025 Festival, aligned with extensive review of all the 2024 races, and the educated guesswork involved with pre-empting what route certain connections might go down for their star horses.

My first thought, and overwhelmingly so, was that I wanted to back and recommend Lossiemouth for the 2025 Champion Hurdle at 5/1 each-way. Her performance compared with State Man’s both visually and on the clock on Tuesday last week, marked her down as a significantly stronger prospect for the Day 1 feature in 12 months’ time.

Two not insignificant roadblocks stand in her way however – Constitution Hill and Ballyburn. The former could stay hurdling, could go chasing, or equally might not be the same horse again after the trials and tribulations of this campaign.

While Ballyburn looks a monster in every respect, and even though chasing would look the obvious first move, Willie Mullins hardly downplayed the notion that he could be the horse to emulate Dawn Run in winning both a Champion Hurdle and a Gold Cup.

Let’s say that Ballyburn is confirmed as going chasing next season, then anything north of 4/1 each-way about Lossiemouth for the 2025 Champion Hurdle, while being a shortish price to lock in 12 months out, would be an extremely tempting bet.

There was one other horse that stood out like a sore thumb for a particular race at the 2025 Cheltenham FestivalGinny’s Destiny at 12/1 each-way generally (14/1 in one place if attainable) for the 2025 Ryanair Chase.

Followers of this column will know I have been sweet on this horse throughout the current season, but for any future ante-post bets or musings, I have to be impartial and untainted by any pre-existing opinions.

However, Ginny’s Destiny is making it very hard to do that, with his extraordinary level of performance and improvement, which saw him run yet another clear career best when just being outstayed by a genuine 2025 Gold Cup contender Grey Dawning.

Harry Skelton’s ride on Grey Dawning was one of a number of inspired rides he executed last week, and by moving upsides Ginny’s Destiny, (who had already been hassled by Djelo for the first two-thirds of the race), it ensured that Harry Cobden could never get the breather in that he craved on Ginny’s Destiny.

The two had the race between themselves from a long way out, and the time, tempo and speed shown by Ginny’s Destiny at various points in the race, was an even greater show of his ever-increasing ability level.

Comparing Ginny’s Destiny with the 2024 Ryanair winner Protektorat just over an hour later on the same card is eye-opening. Firstly, it’s worth referencing that Protektorat ran ½f further, jumped one more fence and carried 3lbs more than Ginny’s Destiny, but these factors are marginal and way overwhelmed by the time comparison between the two.

From the point at which they went out on the final circuit, Ginny’s Destiny had built up a 5 second advantage on Protektorat by the time they reached the fourth last fence at the top of the hill. Having Djelo upsides ensured this strong tempo from Ginny’s Destiny, and then when Grey Dawning moved upsides, it initiated another increase in pace compared with Protektorat.

Ginny’s Destiny had moved around 7.5 seconds ahead of Protektorat by the 3rd last fence, and continued that up to just after the final fence, at which point the previous exertions understandably took a small toll. However, he still bravely chased Grey Dawning all the way up the run-in, and in doing so, only allowed Protektorat to get 1.5 seconds back on him up that final punishing climb to the line.

At this stage, I can only see 4 horses who might have the ability level and natural pace to potentially beat Ginny’s Destiny in the 2025 Ryanair Chase. Gaelic Warrior is one, but connections could easily angle him towards the Champion Chase, and the other three – Grey Dawning, Il Est Francais and Fact To File – all look as if connections are full speed ahead to the 2025 Gold Cup.

Nothing from the 2024 Ryanair Chase gives me any worry at all, and at 12/1 generally each-way for the 2025 Ryanair Chase, Ginny’s Destiny is the only ante-post bet for the 2025 Cheltenham Festival that I can see at this stage.

As a slight aside, the handicapper has somehow decided not to raise Ginny’s Destiny from the mark of 155 which he went into the Turners Novices’ Chase on, despite running the most impressive race on the clock, of all the novice chasers last week. If he is still on 155 early next season somehow, the Paddy Power Gold Cup in November would be at his mercy…

Ryanair Chase
DateTimeDistanceType
Thurs 13/03/202514:502m 5fChase

The Ryanair Chase is a Grade 1 steeplechase race that has become one of the most popular and prestigious events at the Cheltenham Festival. The race, which is run over a distance of 2 miles and 5 furlongs on the New Course, is open to horses aged five and older. It was introduced in 2005 and has since then attracted some of the best chasers in the business.

The Ryanair Chase is known for its fast pace and thrilling jumps, making it a crowd favourite. Over the years, it has produced some of the most exciting moments in the history of the festival. The race features 17 fences to be jumped and requires a horse with both speed and jumping ability.

Past winners of the Ryanair Chase include some of the most famous horses in the sport, including Un De Sceaux, Frodon, and Cue Card.

Previous Tips

2024 Ryanair Chase Tips [expired]

The Ryanair Chase this season could be one of the most open renewals for some time, and accordingly it could be a really meaty betting heat. A field of 13 have been confirmed with the supplementary entry Ga Law providing some extra spice to the race. El Fabiolo is one of those entries, so with all things considered it should be a field of 12 come the day.

There will definitely be plenty of bookmakers who offer 4 places for each-way bets following declarations, and without knowing definitely the weather or the ground, it will pay to exercise patience for this race. There are plenty of unknown variables still floating around.

It is a race where quite a large number of horses towards the head of the market would have a marked preference for the weather/ground to do one thing or the other. Banbridge and Envoi Allen probably want a heatwave, whereas Conflated, Capodanno, Fil Dor and perhaps one or two others would want the deluge to continue.

Conflated is very interesting if you can overlook the two U’s in his immediately recent form figures, as he has actually run excellent races over 3m before unseating late on, over a trip that just stretches him, against Galopin Des Champs et al. That could easily be the best form on offer, and he has shown a liking for this track before.

Ahoy Senor is also a fascinating contender dropping back to an intermediate trip, as you can certainly see an ultra-positive ride around this track, over this trip, really suiting this well documented springtime blossomer.

All told, it’s probably one of the races I’m most looking forward in the whole week, but does that mean I am confident of finding the winner and/or having a bet, at this stage…no!

2022 Ryanair Chase Tips [expired]

Ryanair Chase Ante-Post Tips - 2022 Cheltenham Festival - Will Smith

Ryanair Chase Ante-Post Tips – 2022 Cheltenham Festival – Will Smith

As we launch head long into 2022, the Cheltenham Festival looms into view. Despite being 10 weeks away still, it is now such a behemoth that it would be hard not to spy it on the horizon!

Bet365 and Betfred have certainly spied it, as they are the first firms to offer NRNB ( Non-Runner, No Bet ) on some of the races – and with the entries for the 3 big Grade 1 open company Chases having just closed, now is the time to ramp up the ante-post interest a little.

The Cheltenham Festival 2022 markets are littered with short-priced favourites, some justified, some not so. Allaho at a best priced 9/4 with Sky Bet, William Hill and Boylesports for the 2022 Ryanair Chase is one that I’m not entirely sure which of these two aforementioned categories is the more appropriate.

Banker or blowout, if you will. Maybe the giant Allaho has a hoof in both camps at the minute. His win in the 2021 renewal was something to behold – a pure blitzkrieg of powerful galloping that had all others flailing in his wake.

Put simply, if he turns up again on the third Thursday in March in the same form, then any win bet against him may be futile. But, if you chip a little deeper, then maybe we could find some each-way value.

Allaho did turn up last season off the back of a nice bank of chasing experience in 2019/20/21, with three novice chase runs in 2019/20 backed up by progressive runs that catapulted him to his Ryanair Chase demolition.

Such was the gruelling nature of his reappearance win in the John Durkan last month, it may well be that he goes fresh to Cheltenham this time around. Willie Mullins will surely have him as right as he can have him, but I would take that suggestion as perhaps a small admission that Allaho needs a bit longer to get over the John Durkan win.

So, given there are many horses entered in either the Champion Chase or the Gold Cup that also feature in the 33 for the 2022 Ryanair, now is the time to strike an each-way ante-post wager on Saint Calvados at 12/1 each-way with Bet365 for the Thursday showpiece, safe in the knowledge it comes with the NRNB concession.

Having joined Paul Nicholls in the off-season, Saint Calvados ran an extraordinary race on his debut for the yard in the recent King George VI Chase. Fresh off a wind operation, with the tongue-tie fitted, and with every bit of fizz crackling off him, Saint Calvados lunged at the first two fences as if he and they were on fire.

Gavin Sheehan did well to retain the partnership, and also did very well early on in the race to settle the horse back down – such that, as they swung down the back straight for the final time, there was no horse travelling better than Saint Calvados .

Cue a mid-race move to go from near last to first over the space of a couple of fences, which ultimately put paid to any chance of finishing in the frame, but suggested that Nicholls has happened upon a horse who is by no means a back number.

Given that Saint Calvados was a brilliant 2nd in the 2019 Ryanair Chase, when he split a peak form Min and a certain improving young chaser called A Plus Tard, and off the back of such a tantalising effort in the King George, we are faced with the very real prospect of Saint Calvados improving again for the master trainer.

If he does improve from now until March, which may well come through the prism of a run in the Ascot Chase in February, then we have a horse who can legitimately challenge Allaho – as Saint Calvados has the requisite speed, and if harnessed efficiently, he stays the 2m4½f trip very well too.

At 12/1 each-way with Bet365 , with that lovely NRNB clause, I wouldn’t mind betting that come the day, Saint Calvados is a 9/2 second favourite should Allaho be there.

As the season hots up, let’s get that Cheltenham Festival 2022 ante-post ball rolling a bit shall we?! Here’s to a fun-packed, action-filled few months…

2020 Ryanair Chase Tips [expired]

The Dublin racing festival takes centre stage on this biggest of big sporting weekends. There is so much to savour over the course of the two days, and there will be as many dreams furthered as there are scuppered.

Speaking of dreams – Henry De Bromhead and Rachael Blackmore will feel like they are living one out currently, such is the level of success they are having this season. Of course, this is no fluke, and testament to their relative abilities as trainer and jockey.

A Plus Tard gave them an outstanding start to last season’s Cheltenham Festival, by romping home in the Novices’ Handicap Chase on day one, and despite beating likely Champion Chase protagonist Chacun Pour Soi over 2m 1f at Leopardstown over Christmas, I feel (and connections more importantly feel,) that the Ryanair Chase is his race at this year’s festival.

A Plus Tard can currently be backed at 5/1 Non-Runner No Bet for the Ryanair Chase with Bet365 or Skybet. I believe this is a no-brainer kind of bet before he re-opposes Chacun Pour Soi et al later today.

Many people feel the Champion Chase should be his festival target, but when you consider he only got the better of a short of peak fitness Chacun Pour Soi over 2m1f on softish ground at Christmas, then the trip just shy of the bare 2m potentially on better ground in the Champion Chase might just see something do him for pace.

I feel Chacun Pour Soi could well turn the tables today, and if so, and as long as A Plus Tard runs with credit, then he could well be shorter than 5/1 for the Ryanair Chase. Barring Frodon and maybe Riders On the Storm, I can’t see too many worthy rivals in the market for that race who will actually run there.

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