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WBO heavyweight world champion Daniel Dubois (23-3, 22 KOs) defends his crown against the man he took it from, Fabio Wardley (20-1-1, 19 KOs), in a huge rematch at The O2 in London on Saturday 17 October, live on DAZN Pay-Per-View.
The first fight in May at Manchester’s Co-op Live was one of the most dramatic heavyweight title fights in years. Wardley went in as the WBO champion and dropped Dubois early, then floored him again in the third round.
Many fighters would have folded from there. Dubois didn’t. He got up, regained control behind his jab and heavy right hand, and broke Wardley down before stopping him in the 11th round to become a two-time heavyweight world champion.
That night was the first defeat of Wardley’s professional career. The Ipswich man had come from white-collar boxing with no amateur pedigree and built a reputation as one of the most dangerous punchers in the division. Now he gets the chance to prove the result was a one-off and take his belt back.
Dubois, 29, from Greenwich, goes in as the clear favourite at 2/7 with bet365, with Wardley priced at 5/2 to regain the title. The rematch was long expected after their first meeting, and it returns a big world heavyweight title fight to London.
So will it be revenge, or will it be a repeat?
Wardley is a fearless, aggressive puncher who has stopped 19 of his 20 opponents. He doesn’t need many clean shots to change a fight, and his two knockdowns in the first meeting proved he can hurt Dubois. At 4/1 to floor him twice again, bookmakers aren’t ruling out a repeat.
Wardley’s problem is his tendency to load up on punches, leaving himself exposed. As the first fight progressed, his work rate dropped and he absorbed increasing punishment as Dubois walked him down.
Dubois answered questions about his resilience in that fight, recovering from two knockdowns to take control. His excellent jab, powerful right hand and size advantage proved decisive as the rounds went by.
The key will be surviving Wardley’s early aggression. If Dubois keeps his guard tight and establishes his jab, he should take over as the fight progresses.
Bookmakers expect another stoppage, with Dubois 8/15 to win by KO, TKO or disqualification and Wardley 7/2. A Dubois points win is 9/2, while the fight going the full 12 rounds is 3/1.
Dubois is 10/3 to win in rounds 7-9 and 15/4 in rounds 4-6, while a repeat of his 11th-round stoppage is 16/1.
I expect Wardley to start quickly and enjoy some early success, but Dubois now knows he can withstand his power. That confidence should help him settle sooner, take control in the middle rounds and wear Wardley down for another stoppage, potentially earlier this time.
Wardley always has a puncher’s chance, but I’m backing the champion to repeat the result and settle this rivalry for good.
Prediction: Dubois to win at 2/7
Extra Tip: Dubois to win by KO, TKO or disqualification at 8/15
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie will publish boxing tips whenever they find value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
![]() | Betfred | Visit |
![]() | Bet365 | Visit |
![]() | Betfair | Visit |