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Mexican-American-Puerto Rican boxer Antonio Vargas (19-1-1, 11 KOs) defends his WBA World bantamweight title to unbeaten challenger Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez (23-0, 16 KOs) at the Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, America, on June 13, live on DAZN.
Bam is a two-weight world champion, having reigned at flyweight and super-flyweight. If he is able to win in his bantamweight debut, then he will become a triple champion at just 26-years-old.
The young Texan first became world champion in 2022 by defeating Carlos Cuadras on points to claim the vacant WBC World super-flyweight title. Then he became a two-weight world champ by dropping down to flyweight to scoop up the vacant WBO belt. He unified straight after with that stunning ninth-round victory over the elusive Sunny Edwards, relieving the Brit of his IBF strap. That knockout kickstarted a run of five successive KO wins.
Bam is actually a three-time world champion having gone back up to super-fly to win back his WBC belt from Juan Francisco Estrada in 2024. Then he unified for a second time in 2025, winning both his unifications via 10th round KO.
That’s the reason he is ranked third in The Ring Magazine’s pound-for-pound world rankings.
The 29-year-old defending WBA World bantamweight champion, Antonio Vargas, has voiced just how hard he has trained for this fight, knowing full well what he is up against.
The 2016 Olympian was dropped heavily in his last fight with Daigo Higa, which ended in a draw after he managed to score a knockdown in return.
Soon after, he was elevated from Interim to WBA World bantamweight champion after the reigning titlist Seiya Tsutsumi was sidelined with an injury.
He has lost just once in his pro career, a long time ago in his 11th fight in 2019. He stopped 22-0 Winston Guerrero in December 2024 to win the WBA Interim belt, which he managed to keep after his stalemate with the aforementioned Japanese boxer, Higa, which was scored 113-113 on all three cards.
Having never won a world title in the ring, Vargas may have bitten off more than he can chew against a formidable opponent who has won his last nine world championship fights in a row.
I’m sure that Vargas will be as fully prepared as possible and will bring the best version of himself to this fight, but Bam’s skillset is just on another level and there’s no preparation that can cope with that.
Bam’s last five fights have all ended via KO, so I expect the same ending here. I can see Bam getting in close and landing some sweet shots from awkward angles. If he is able to get in under Vargas’ elbows and land in the right spot then he could end this fight very early. However, his average for recent KOs is in rounds 7-8, so I am picking him to become a three-weight world champion in the second half of the contest.
Prediction: Rodriguez to win by KO/TKO
Extra Tip: Rodriguez to win by KO/TKO rounds 7-12
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
![]() | Betfred | Visit |
![]() | Bet365 | Visit |
![]() | Betfair | Visit |