Date of Tips: 20/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (11:14 20/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Chelsea FC
v Sunderland AFC
Stamford Bridge
Premier League Matchday 9
25-10-2025 14:00
Chelsea Form
Sunderland Form
Date: Saturday, 25 October 2025
Kick-off time: 15:00 (UK)
Venue: Stamford Bridge
Another Saturday afternoon Premier League clash, and this one’s got a bit of intrigue about it. Chelsea welcome Sunderland to the Bridge, and while on paper it looks like a straightforward home win, football rarely plays by the script, right?
Chelsea have been solid at home lately – eight wins in their last ten matches at Stamford Bridge. Sunderland, on the other hand, have struggled to travel well, with just four wins from their last ten away days. So, straight away, you get the feeling this one’s tilted blue. But the Premier League loves a curveball. Could Sunderland spring one here? Let’s take a closer look.
Chelsea’s squad is looking in decent shape heading into this one. Moisés Caicedo is expected to start in midfield and he’s been quietly brilliant lately, breaking up play and linking everything together. Cole Palmer and Raheem Sterling should both feature out wide, with Nicolas Jackson likely leading the line again. Enzo Fernández has shaken off a minor knock and should slot right back in.
Defensively, Chelsea have tightened up. Two clean sheets in their last four home games tells you they’re settling at the back, with Levi Colwill and Axel Disasi growing into a decent partnership.
Sunderland have a few headaches, though. Their main man up top, Jack Clarke, has been nursing a slight hamstring problem — though reports say he’s pushing to be fit. Jobe Bellingham has been one of their bright sparks this season and should start in midfield, while Pierre Ekwah offers a bit of steel. At the back, Danny Batth returns from suspension, which is a big boost.
So yeah, Chelsea look more balanced, but Sunderland have a few players who can cause damage if given half a chance.
Chelsea: Petrovic; Gusto, Disasi, Colwill, Chilwell; Caicedo, Fernández; Palmer, Gallagher, Sterling; Jackson.
Sunderland: Patterson; Hume, Batth, Ballard, Cirkin; Neil, Ekwah; Roberts, Bellingham, Clarke; Rusyn.
Chelsea have been efficient but not explosive lately. They’ve kept it tidy — scored in 17 straight league games, sure — but they’re not smashing teams 4–0 every week. Sunderland tend to sit deep away from home, make it frustrating, and hope to nick something late on.
So, I’m leaning towards Under 2.5 Goals. The numbers back it up:
Add that up, and you’ve got the recipe for a tight one.
My pick: Chelsea to win, and under 2.5 goals.
If you fancy a goal scorer, Moisés Caicedo anytime looks interesting. He’s been getting further forward lately, and Sunderland’s midfield sometimes leaves space around the edge of the box.
Other smart bets to look at:
Here’s how I see it playing out. Chelsea will dominate possession, especially early on. They’ll probe, pass, and look for openings down the flanks. Sunderland will stay compact, maybe press occasionally, but mostly try to hit on the counter through Clarke or Roberts.
I can imagine Sunderland making life awkward — a few dangerous moments, maybe a big save from Petrovic — but Chelsea’s quality should show over 90 minutes. The Blues have been solid in these kinds of matches, especially at home.
Match Prediction: Chelsea to win. Bet with bet365.
Alright, let’s talk exact scores. If you’re one of those people who likes to nail the correct score bet, here’s where things get interesting.
Given how Chelsea have been playing — solid at the back, a little cautious going forward — it’s hard to see a big scoreline. Sunderland aren’t easy to blow away, either. They’ll sit back, defend narrow, and look to frustrate.
So, I’m going Chelsea 2–1 Sunderland. Here’s why:
If you want a safer angle, Chelsea 1–0 is another realistic shout, especially if Sunderland struggle to create. But if the Blues grab one early, 2–1 feels more like it.
Correct Score Prediction: Chelsea 2–1 Sunderland
Alternative Play: Chelsea 1–0 Sunderland
Correct Score Prediction: Chelsea 2–1 Sunderland. Bet with bet365.
You won’t believe this, but both teams have been trending low on goals for months. Across their last combined 20 games (home and away), only seven have gone over 2.5. So the safer money’s on the Under.
But if you like a bit of risk, you could back 3+ goals. After all, Chelsea have scored in 17 consecutive Premier League games. So maybe we get a surprise.
Over/Under Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
If you’re thinking of a Bet Builder for Saturday, here’s one that makes sense:
That combo fits how I see this game going — controlled Chelsea performance, steady tempo, and a few set-pieces thrown in.
Bet Builder Tip: Chelsea to win, Under 3.5 Goals, and Moisés Caicedo Anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Chelsea are favourites — their home record and current form make them hard to bet against.
My prediction: Chelsea 2–1 Sunderland.
Probably not. BTTS – No looks more likely, given both sides’ defensive stats.
Yes — Over 7.5 corners looks solid, and Chelsea tend to pick up a few yellows in physical games like this.