Date of Tips: 05/01/2026
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (16:04 05/01/2026) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Newcastle United FC
v AFC Bournemouth 
St James' Park
FA Cup ROUND_3 
10-01-2026 15:00
Newcastle Form
Bournemouth Form
FA Cup third round. A cold January afternoon at St James’ Park. Newcastle welcome Bournemouth on Saturday 10th, with kick-off at 3pm. This Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction digs into team news, likely lineups, and how these two match up to find the smartest betting angles.
Let’s start with Newcastle. Eddie Howe is still the man in charge, still trying to balance league form with cup ambition.
Newcastle have a few injuries to juggle. Anthony Elanga is dealing with a knock and isn’t expected back until mid-January. Daniel Burn is sidelined with a rib injury, which hurts both defensively and at set pieces. Emil Krafth remains out with a knee issue, while William Osula is also unavailable after an ankle problem. Jamaal Lascelles is doubtful with a muscle injury, which means defensive rotation could be limited.
Bruno Guimarães, now firmly in his prime and one of the Premier League’s most influential midfielders, should start. He’s usually Newcastle’s main penalty taker when on the pitch. Free-kicks tend to be shared between him and Kieran Trippier, although Trippier may start on the bench here.
Bournemouth arrive with their own concerns. Ryan Christie has a knock but could return in time, while Tyler Adams remains out until late February. Adams’ absence is big. He brings bite and leadership to Bournemouth’s midfield. Ben Doak, Matai Akinmboni, and Veljko Milosavljevic are also sidelined, leaving the squad a bit stretched.
Penalty duties responsibility has been spread around more this season. Set-pieces often come from Marcus Tavernier or David Brooks, depending on who’s starting.
Newcastle look set to line up with Nick Pope in goal. The back line could feature Schär and Thiaw centrally, with Lewis Hall offering balance from full-back. In midfield, expect Guimarães, Tonali, and Joelinton. That trio gives you everything: control, aggression, and forward runs. Out wide, Murphy and Gordon provide pace, with Wissa leading the line.
Bournemouth should go with Petrovic in goal. The defence may include Senesi and Hill at centre-back, supported by Jimenez and Truffert. Midfield duties fall to Scott and Tavernier, while Brooks, Kluivert, and Semenyo support Evanilson up front.
This matchup always feels tighter than expected. Newcastle’s home form gives them confidence, but Bournemouth don’t sit back quietly. They press and they counter. Recent meetings back that up. Lots of goals and momentum swings with plenty of late drama.
Newcastle will want control. Bournemouth will want speed. It’s that simple. If Newcastle dominate midfield, they should come out on top. If Bournemouth find space early, it becomes nervy for the home side very quickly.
This is where things get interesting. Cup games bring rotation, intensity, and unpredictable moments. Newcastle’s crowd will push them forward, but Bournemouth’s recent form shows they can score against anyone.
Looking at how these sides play, goals at both ends wouldn’t shock anyone. Newcastle rarely shut teams out, while Bournemouth don’t struggle to create chances. For broader ideas, check out some of Todays football tips.
You’d expect Newcastle to edge this at home. Better squad depth and familiar surroundings. Slightly more control in midfield, but it won’t be comfortable.
Newcastle should find a way through, especially late on when fitness and subs matter more. Just don’t expect a quiet afternoon.
Match Prediction: Newcastle to win. Bet with bet365.
Predicting a cup scoreline is brave, but a narrow home win feels right. Something like 2-1 fits the flow of both teams. Newcastle applying pressure, Bournemouth responding, and the game staying alive until the final whistle.
Correct Score Pick: Newcastle 2-1 Bournemouth.
Correct Score Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Bournemouth. Bet with bet365.
This doesn’t scream low-scoring. Both sides play forward and leave space. Over goals makes more sense than under, especially with neither defence fully settled. Early goals could open this up fast.
Over 2.5 Goals feels the most likely outcome.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Home win. Both teams to score. Over a moderate goal line. That kind of combination matches how these games usually unfold without going wild.
Bet Builder Tip: Newcastle to win, both teams to score – yes, and Bruno Guimarães to score anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.
Newcastle are slight favourites at home, but Bournemouth are capable of pushing them all the way.
Kick-off is at 3:00pm UK time on Saturday, January 10th, 2026.
The match takes place at St James’ Park in Newcastle.
This fixture is part of the FA Cup third round.
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