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Frosinone
TorinoThirteen goals in three games. Let that sink in for a moment. Frosinone, the side that most people had pencilled in for an immediate return to Serie B back in August, have turned into the most entertaining team in Italy right now. Twenty two league goals at this stage of the season is a new benchmark for any promoted club in Serie A history, and when you watch them play, it does not feel like a fluke. It feels like a team that genuinely believes in what they are doing.
Torino arrive at Stadio Stirpe in decent enough shape themselves, though the manner of their midweek collapse will sting. Leading Como until the 81st minute and then shipping three goals to lose 3-1 is exactly the kind of result that tests whether a team’s momentum is real or just a run of soft fixtures. Ignazio Abate will want a response, but Sunday’s opponents are going to make that very difficult.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Stirpe, Frosinone’s compact and increasingly electric home ground, where the Canarini have just made history by recording four consecutive top flight wins for the first time ever. This is a ninth round Serie A meeting between a promoted side riding a remarkable wave and a Torino outfit that is still trying to find consistency under their new manager.
Frosinone have been fortunate on the injury front given how heavily they have rotated through the squad this season, though there are a couple of things worth flagging heading into this one.
Alvini has a decision to make about how much he rotates after a hectic week, but the core of what makes Frosinone tick is likely to stay in place. Raimondo leads the line with Romano Schmid, Giorgi Kvernadze and Fares Ghedjemis providing the energy and creativity around him. The system is front foot and relentless, and even when Alvini does make changes the intensity rarely drops.
Torino are expected to line up with Che Adams and Giovanni Simeone as a front two, which on paper looks like a genuinely dangerous partnership. Both have scored twice in their last three games and Adams in particular grabbed the opener in midweek before his side capitulated. Without Mandragora anchoring things in the middle, Abate will need his other central options to step up considerably.
Where do you even start with Frosinone. A 4-4 draw with Atalanta was followed up by a 5-1 hammering of Lecce, and this after a run that has seen them match Juventus’s 17 point tally from the same stage back in 2007. Alvini’s side have only been beaten by Napoli and Juventus in nine rounds, which tells you everything about how they are competing. Their only real vulnerability is that the squad has been used heavily and Thursday night matches followed by Sunday fixtures are not ideal for anyone.
Torino’s story is one of genuine improvement under Abate mixed with the odd alarming wobble. The three consecutive league wins they put together recently were their best Serie A streak in seven years, and for a club that had a grim 2025 to 2026 season that is meaningful progress. But losing from a winning position in the 81st minute to Como is the kind of thing that makes you question whether the foundations are truly solid or whether the team still has a tendency to switch off at the worst moments.
The contrasting midweek experiences are fascinating context here. Frosinone had the harder workload playing on Thursday, but they did it with the kind of confidence that carries you through. Torino had extra rest but will be carrying the psychological weight of that late collapse. Games like this often hinge on which side shows up with their head right.
The recent head to head record is firmly in Torino’s favour at the top flight level, with the Granata winning three and losing none of the last five Serie A meetings between the two clubs. That is a significant pattern and one that Abate will be quietly pointing to during preparation. Frosinone’s supporters can at least take some comfort from the fact that the Canarini did knock Torino out of the Coppa Italia three years ago, so they are not without a reference point for getting the better of this opponent.
The caveat is that this Frosinone side feels genuinely different from any previous version. Playing at Stadio Stirpe right now is a very different experience from the relatively low key occasion it used to be, and that home environment counts for something.
This fixture has goals written all over it. Both sides have been finding the net freely, both have questions at the back, and there is enough quality on the pitch to suggest a tight, cagey affair is not really on the cards. Frosinone’s electric home form and Torino’s attacking options up front with Adams and Simeone make this look very much like a game where both ends are going to be busy.
With Frosinone’s high tempo pressing game pushing teams back and Torino likely to respond through the wide areas, expect plenty of set piece situations. Both sides get forward in numbers and neither is set up to sit deep and absorb, so a high corners count feels like a natural outcome. Over ten corners looks like a reasonable shout in a game with this much energy.
Antonio Raimondo at a generous price is the obvious pick here. Eight Serie A goals already, leading the golden boot standings, and playing at home where he just scored in the 5-1 win over Lecce. He is clinical, he is in ridiculous form, and Frosinone’s whole attack is built to get him into positions. He is the standout first goalscorer candidate in this fixture.
A 2-2 draw feels like the most natural landing spot for a game with this many attacking variables. Frosinone have the firepower and the home advantage, but Torino have Adams and Simeone up top and have shown they can score against good sides. The Granata’s recent habit of conceding late suggests they may not hold a lead if they get one, and Frosinone have already shown they can fight back. Both teams to score in a share of the points has a logic to it.
Frosinone’s aggressive pressing style tends to generate friction and late tackles as opponents get frustrated, and Torino will be coming here with a point to prove after their midweek collapse. The combination of high intensity football and some competitive needle in midfield suggests there will be cards here. Over three bookings in the match is worth considering given how both sides commit to the press and the tackle.
Both teams to score is a strong yes here. Frosinone have been leaking as well as scoring, as that 4-4 draw with Atalanta showed, and Torino have Adams and Simeone in form up front. The hosts’ backline has not been impenetrable even during this brilliant run, and Toro have enough quality to hurt them. BTTS yes is one of the more confident calls in this preview.
Over 2.5 goals is the call and it barely needs much justification given the context. Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine games, Torino just shipped three in under ten minutes against Como, and this is a fixture between two teams who are not set up to grind out 1-0 results. The recent meetings and the current form of both attacks point clearly towards goals.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over |
| First Goalscorer | Antonio Raimondo |
Raimondo scoring in a high scoring game where both sides find the net is exactly the kind of bet builder that tells a coherent story rather than just combining random picks.
Frosinone are one of the stories of the Serie A season so far and this home fixture should give them every chance to keep the momentum going. They have the firepower, the crowd behind them, and a genuine belief that runs through every player in Alvini’s squad. But Torino are not a soft touch, Abate’s side have been improving, and Adams alongside Simeone is a front two that can punish any defensive lapse.
The extra rest Torino have had compared to their hosts matters at the margins, and their head to head record at this level is worth remembering. A 2-2 draw feels right for a fixture with this much attacking quality on both sides and this many reasons to expect both goalkeepers to be picking the ball out of their nets at some point during the afternoon.
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