Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Newcastle United

vs

Everton

KickoffMonday 2 November 2026, 8:00pm

VenueSt James Park

CompetitionEnglish Premier League

Newcastle have been a curious beast this season. Dangerous enough going forward to beat Crystal Palace 2-0 away from home, yet leaky enough at the back to sit among the worst defensive records in the top half of the Premier League. Fourteen goals conceded in eight league games tells you everything you need to know about the kind of house Matthias Jaissle is trying to build at St James’ Park, and the foundations are still shaky enough to give Everton genuine hope here.

What makes this one even more intriguing is the context. These two sides met in the EFL Cup just days ago, with David Moyes watching his Toffees tear Newcastle apart in a 25-minute spell that turned a cagey game into a 3-1 romp. Now Everton roll back up the A1 for a Premier League reckoning, and the question is whether that cup result tells us anything useful about what is coming, or whether it is just noise from a competition where neither manager was fielding their strongest hand.

Newcastle United vs Everton Match Details

This Premier League fixture takes place at St James’ Park and closes out gameweek nine of the 2026-27 season. It is a rematch of the midweek EFL Cup fourth round tie, adding an extra layer of needle to what is already a decent north of England rivalry. Newcastle are at home, but the atmosphere of a Monday night fixture under the lights at St James’ tends to bring its own pressure, especially when results have been inconsistent.

Team News

Jaissle has a few selection concerns to navigate after a busy week, while Moyes has a disciplinary distraction hanging over his squad heading into the game.

• Will Osula picked up an ankle problem during the cup tie and his availability is uncertain
• Lewis Miley is a doubt through a muscle complaint
• Matias Fernandez-Pardo is battling illness and may not be ready
• Ewen Jaouen is out with a hamstring injury
• Tino Livramento remains sidelined with a knee problem
• Jack Grealish has been left out of Everton’s squad for a breach of club discipline and there is no guarantee he returns to the matchday group here
• Jarrad Branthwaite is expected to come through concussion protocols in time to play, which would put either Merlin Rohl or Jake O’Brien under pressure for their starting spot

Predicted Lineups

If Osula is ruled out, Yoane Wissa looks like the natural replacement up top for Newcastle. Joelinton should come back into the engine room after being rotated in midweek, giving the Magpies more physicality in the middle of the park. Jacob Ramsey is likely the one to drop out as a result. Harvey Barnes keeps his place on the left despite being substituted in the cup, and Joe Murphy holds down the right flank role.

Newcastle United (predicted): Hornicek; Dedic, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Joelinton, Gonzalez; Murphy, Willock, Barnes; Wissa

For Everton, Branthwaite’s return is the big news in defence. Tyler Dibling is pushing for a Premier League start after impressing in the cup, and with Brennan Johnson yet to convince in the wide role, Moyes may well hand Dibling the nod. Hackney and Garner both played the full 90 in midweek and scored, so Moyes will want that energy in the middle again. Thierno Barry leads the line after his cup goal.

Everton (predicted): Pickford; Rohl, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Hackney, Garner; Dibling, Dewsbury-Hall, George; Barry

Recent Form

Newcastle’s season has been a study in inconsistency. Three wins from eight Premier League games, a second cup exit already on the books, and a defensive record that would embarrass sides sitting mid-table rather than in the top half. Only Chelsea have shipped more goals among the top 10 sides in the division. The 2-0 win at Palace last week steadied the ship briefly, but losing 3-1 in the cup just days later chips away at whatever confidence was built on that trip south.

What is particularly alarming for Jaissle is the home record. Only one Premier League home game out of four has ended in a win, and Newcastle are yet to keep a clean sheet at St James’ Park in any competition this season. Eight goals conceded at home across five games is not a record that inspires much confidence ahead of a Monday night fixture. The crowd will be expectant, the pressure will be on, and the back four has been consistently exposed throughout the campaign.

Everton’s form is a different kind of rollercoaster. They were genuinely impressive in the early weeks of the season, going unbeaten in six league games and looking well organised under Moyes. But back-to-back Premier League defeats without scoring a single goal has dimmed some of that optimism. The loss to Arsenal showed a side that can be got at from wide areas and set pieces, and their away form in the league is something of a concern too, with three draws and a defeat from four road trips so far. The cup win over Newcastle was welcome, but Moyes will know that three Premier League points on Monday would mean considerably more.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history between these two sides has shifted noticeably in Everton’s favour over recent years. The Toffees have won three of their last four meetings against Newcastle, with the Magpies only managing one victory in their last seven attempts against this particular opponent. That sole win was an emphatic 4-1 thumping at the Hill Dickinson Stadium back in November 2025, which gave Newcastle fans something to cling to but does not change the broader pattern.

The cup win on Thursday night reinforced Everton’s recent edge, and while you can never read too much into cup ties played with rotated squads, the Toffees clearly do not fear coming up against this Newcastle side. Moyes knows how to set his team up against Jaissle’s men, and that tactical familiarity matters in a quick turnaround fixture like this one.

Key Stats

• Newcastle have conceded 14 Premier League goals in eight games, the joint worst record among the top 10 sides in the division
• Everton are yet to win away in the Premier League this season, picking up three draws and one defeat from four road trips
• Newcastle have scored at least two goals in four of their five home games across all competitions this season, suggesting they carry a genuine attacking threat at St James’ Park even if the defence is struggling

Newcastle United vs Everton Betting Tips

This is a game where the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides open up some interesting angles in the goals markets. Newcastle are genuinely threat going forward at home but they cannot keep it tight at the back, and while Everton have gone quiet in front of goal recently in the league, their cup performance showed they can still hurt sides when the opportunity presents itself. The head-to-head context and the quick turnaround make this one of those fixtures where the draw has real appeal, but there are profitable angles in the specifics too.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes, both teams to score looks appealing here. Newcastle have not kept a clean sheet at St James’ Park all season across any competition, and Everton have shown they can find the net against this defence. Meanwhile, Newcastle’s attacking output at home has been decent, with goals in almost every home game. BTTS yes feels like a solid call.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Thierno Barry is worth a look as first goalscorer. He grabbed a goal in the cup win over Newcastle midweek, he leads the line for Everton, and he will be full of confidence coming into this one. With Newcastle’s defence likely to offer spaces in behind, Barry’s pace and directness gives him a genuine chance of getting on the scoresheet early.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Over 2.5 goals looks well supported by the evidence. Newcastle have leaked goals for fun at home, Everton showed they can score freely against these opponents, and neither side looks particularly solid at the back right now. A tight, cagey 0-0 or 1-0 simply does not fit the profile of either team heading into this fixture.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 corners makes sense in a game where both sides are likely to push forward and create wide play. Newcastle tend to get bodies into attacking positions at St James’ Park, and Everton’s wide players under Moyes are encouraged to drive at defenders and get crosses in. A high corners count feels natural for this kind of fixture.

Cards Prediction

With the extra needle of a cup defeat just days ago and both managers eager to make a point, there is every chance of some feistiness creeping in here. Over 3.5 cards is worth considering. These sides have met in back-to-back competitive fixtures within a week, there will be frustrations on the Newcastle side in particular, and Monday night fixtures often carry an intensity that pushes the card count up.

Bet Builder Tip

These three picks complement each other neatly, with a goal-heavy game and Barry opening the scoring sitting comfortably within the same narrative of a free-scoring, defensively open fixture.

Final Match Prediction

The cup result is tempting to lean on, but Moyes will know that his side’s league away form needs addressing and that a point from this trip is almost certainly the realistic ceiling given the context. Newcastle, for all their defensive fragility, carry enough of an attacking punch at home to threaten any side, and the crowd will be demanding a response after the midweek humiliation.

A 1-1 draw feels like the most honest call here. Newcastle find the net but cannot hold firm at the back, Everton take something from a game in which they showed just days ago they can hurt this particular opponent, and both managers head into the international break with mixed feelings. Newcastle United 1-1 Everton.

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