Tunisia vs Libya Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Tunisia

vs

Libya

KickoffFriday 13 November 2026, 4:00pm

VenueStade Olympique de Radès

CompetitionAfrican Cup of Nations Qualifying

There is something genuinely compelling about two North African sides who desperately need a win meeting each other at exactly the right moment. Tunisia versus Libya is not a glamour fixture on the global calendar, but within the context of AFCON qualifying, this one carries serious weight. Both teams are already feeling the pressure after failing to win their opening two games, and a loss here could effectively end their qualification hopes before the final matchday even arrives. That kind of desperation tends to produce fascinating football, and this fixture has all the ingredients.

Tunisia are the big story here, and not for flattering reasons. The Eagles of Carthage have qualified for each of the last 17 Africa Cup of Nations tournaments, the longest active streak of any nation on the continent. That record is now genuinely under threat, and facing a Libya side that has nothing to lose makes this an uncomfortable evening for the hosts.

Tunisia vs Libya Match Details

The game takes place at Stade Taieb Mehiri in Tunisia, with both sides competing in Group H of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign. It is the third matchday of the qualifying rounds, and critically, these two sides face each other again in Tripoli shortly after, meaning this double header could define the entire trajectory of both nations’ AFCON ambitions.

Team News

Tunisia are dealing with a cluster of notable absentees that will test Moin Chaabani’s squad depth at the worst possible time.

• Elias Achouri is ruled out through injury
• Ellyes Skhiri is unavailable through injury
• Hannibal Mejbri misses out through injury
• Hazem Mastouri is fit and in fine form, having scored three goals across his last two international appearances including a brace against Botswana
• Ferjan Sassi is one cap away from equalling Radhi Jaidi’s all time Tunisia record of 105 appearances, which adds a significant subplot to the evening

Libya head into the game without any reported major injury concerns, though Youssouph Dabo will be weighing up how to unlock a Tunisia defence that, for all its struggles, still has experience throughout. Ezzeddine Al Mariami has been directly involved in each of Libya’s last three goals and is the visitor’s most dangerous attacking outlet. Keep an eye on Osama Al Shreimy too, the 25 year old who plays his club football in Tunisia for Club Africain and will be desperate to put in a performance against his adopted home nation.

Predicted Lineups

Chaabani looks set to go with a 4231 shape, with Mastouri leading the line after his recent goalscoring run makes him undroppable. Sassi should start in midfield, with Laidouni alongside him providing the engine. The absences of Skhiri and Hannibal Mejbri hurt the creative depth, but there is still enough quality in this squad to function against Libya.

Tunisia: Dahmen; Nasraoui, Arous, Talbi, Maaloul; Ltaief, Sassi, Laidouni; Gharbi, Ben Slimane; Mastouri

Libya look set to operate with a narrow midfield behind Al Mariami, with Dabo likely prioritising defensive compactness before looking to hit on the break. Al Shreimy’s local knowledge could be a subtle advantage.

Libya: Al Tihar; Jaddour, Al Suwaee, Youssef, Salama; Al Hbeishi, Al Shalui; Elhouni, Al Gsheim, Issa; Al Mariami

Recent Form

Tunisia’s current run is extraordinary, and not in a good way. Moin Chaabani’s side are now winless in eight consecutive matches, and they have conceded in each of their last seven outings. For a nation that has qualified for 17 straight AFCON tournaments, this is territory they simply do not recognise. The draws against Uganda and Botswana in qualifying were not spirited points on the road against tough opponents. They were dropped points at home against sides Tunisia would historically be expected to beat with something to spare. The confidence in this squad looks shot, and that matters enormously in tight, low margin international football.

Libya are not in great shape either, but their recent trajectory is slightly more encouraging in terms of spirit if not results. The comeback from two goals down to draw with Botswana showed character, and their display in Uganda suggested they can compete. The problem is they have just one win from their last 13 AFCON qualifiers, which tells you everything about their ability to actually close out games when it matters. Dabo replaced Aliou Cisse in the dugout looking to spark a reaction, and while there are signs of a more organised setup, the wins are simply not coming.

Crucially for this fixture, Tunisia have conceded the opening goal in six of their last seven matches. If Libya can get their noses in front, the psychological pressure on the hosts would be enormous given the weight of expectation and the record on the line.

Head-to-Head Record

Tunisia hold a commanding record in recent meetings between these two sides. The hosts have won each of the last four encounters, all of which came in AFCON qualifying, so the competitive context is familiar. That kind of dominance over a direct rival carries genuine psychological weight, and Tunisia will be leaning on that history to steady nerves that are clearly fraying right now.

Libya have not beaten Tunisia in recent memory in competitive football, and doing so away from home while sitting at the foot of the group would rank as one of their biggest results in years. The head to head clearly favours the hosts, but Libya’s improved defensive structure under Dabo means this will not be a straightforward evening for Tunisia.

Key Stats

• Tunisia are winless in eight matches and have conceded in each of their last seven games
• The hosts have conceded the opening goal in six of their last seven matches, making Libya’s direct running and Al Mariami’s threat extremely relevant
• Libya have won just one of their last 13 AFCON qualifiers, suggesting they can compete but struggle to convert performances into points
• Mastouri has scored three goals in his last two international appearances, making him the standout attacking threat in this fixture

Tunisia vs Libya Betting Tips

Both sides have been defensively leaky and are under pressure to perform, which creates an interesting set of markets. Tunisia’s home record over Libya is hard to ignore entirely, but the hosts’ current form means backing them blindly would be unwise. The value here sits in the nuances rather than a straightforward result market.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes looks the right call here. Tunisia have conceded in seven consecutive games and Libya carry a genuine attacking threat through Al Mariami. With the hosts also struggling for clean sheets at the other end, goals at both ends feels likely rather than just possible.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 corners is appealing. Tunisia will be pushing for a win at home with the pressure of their qualifying record behind them, which should see them getting bodies forward and winning corners regularly. Libya will look to defend deep and hit on the break, but when they do get forward they tend to work the wide areas.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Hazem Mastouri is the standout pick. Three goals in his last two internationals including a brace against Botswana puts him in serious form, and as Tunisia’s focal point up front with the backing of a home crowd desperate for something to cheer, he has every reason to be involved early.

Correct Score Prediction

A 2-1 home win feels right. Tunisia have enough quality to edge this in front of their own supporters despite the poor recent form, but Libya’s attacking threat through Al Mariami and the hosts’ habit of conceding means a comfortable clean sheet looks unlikely.

Cards Prediction

Over 3.5 cards looks worth considering. The stakes are high for both sides with AFCON qualification on the line, there is genuine needle in North African derbies, and teams under pressure tend to make rash challenges when things are not going their way. Neither side can afford to lose, which should sharpen tackles and test the referee’s patience.

Bet Builder Tip

Mastouri’s red hot form combined with an open game where both keepers are likely to be beaten and Tunisia press hard for the win makes these three picks complement each other nicely.

Final Match Prediction

Tunisia are going through a genuinely difficult period, but home advantage against a side they have beaten in each of the last four meetings still tips the balance in their favour. The Eagles of Carthage have too much riding on this one, with 17 consecutive AFCON appearances at stake, and that kind of historic pressure can focus minds as much as it can paralyse them. Mastouri is in brilliant form, Sassi chasing history adds extra motivation, and playing in front of their own supporters should provide some comfort.

Libya will make this uncomfortable and Al Mariami gives them a real threat on the break, but Dabo’s side have shown repeatedly that they can compete without converting that competition into wins. Tunisia to edge it 2-1, with goals at both ends and an evening that feels every bit as tense as the qualifying situation demands.

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