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There’s something that much sweeter about a game in which a team comes from behind to win. It puts fans through all the emotions and if that winning goal comes in the last few minutes, well it’s pure ecstasy.
That’s the same for the to win from behind market too and it’s one of our absolute favourites here at Which Bookie.
Not only can you boost your odds compared to betting on the match result market, it also makes for a much more enjoyable game if it comes off. However, it isn’t an easy market to get right and below you’ll find all you need to know before you place this type of wager.
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To win from behind is an intriguing betting market that is a match result market and a bet on the winner of a game but with one notable difference, they have to have come from behind.
That means at some stage of the game they must have been losing and then go on to win by the final whistle.
For example, if you were to bet on Liverpool versus Arsenal in a To Win From Behind bet and you wished to back the home side, there are a couple of iterations on how this could happen.
The team you bet on can go behind at any stage of the game but they must go on to win the game in order for you to win your bet.
You’ll find the market on most football fixtures these days and all our most recommended bookmakers will have odds on this market.
Our top bookies are highlighted below, while you can find out more about them by visiting our bookmakers review page.
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There are plenty of things you should take note of when betting on to win from behind as it isn’t a market that is as simple and straightforward as the match result market.
Among the key things to consider include:
In order for your To Win From Behind bet to stand a chance of coming in, your team needs to first go behind. Should you team go three goals ahead then it’s unlikely that will happen and your bet could be all but over relatively early on in the game. Therefore, you may wish to consider whether placing an in-play bet is a better option.
For example, instead of placing a pre-match To Win From Behind bet, you could wait to see if the team you are looking to back go behind first. If they do, you can simply place an in-play bet on them to win the match. The odds on your team to win at this time will be greater than pre-match as they are a goal behind and so it’s likely that you’ll get a good return.
Using the above strategy, it’s more than likely that the odds for your in-play ‘To Win’ bet will be less than if you were to place a pre-match ‘To Win From Behind’ bet but there is also a lot less risk involved as you have essentially eliminated the part of the bet which requires your team to fall behind in the match.
With football statistics now being recorded for everything from team goals to how many metres a player covers on average in a game, there is a wealth of information online that you can use to your advantage when it comes to betting. This also applies to To Win From Behind bets as you should easily be able to find which teams fall behind most often and then go on to win the match. Even if you can’t find these stats, simply look back at the fixtures for the current season for the team your thinking of backing and look for the games which they have won. Then take a look to see in how many of those matches they were losing at some point in the game. If it is relatively often, they could be a good choice for a To Win From Behind bet.
As with any bet that you place, it’s vital that you do your research into the team which you are backing. As well as looking at past results, you should also look into the squad and starting lineup which will be playing in the match you’re betting on.
In order for your To Win From Behind bet to have a chance of coming in, your team must score a minimum of two goals. This is because they must go behind first and then go on to win the match. However, if the opposition scores two goals, your team must score a minimum of three. Therefore, you only want to be betting on teams which regularly score two or more goals in their matches.
The official lineups for most football matches are released around 1 hour before kick-off. It’s recommended that you wait until the lineups are announced before placing your bet as if the starting XI are missing key players who regularly score goals, they’ll be less likely to come back and win the game should they fall behind.
Players on the bench often have a huge impact on To Win From Behind bets. For example, if a team concedes, what is the most likely action of a manager?
To make a substitution!
When a team goes behind, the manager is likely to make a change in the hope of getting a goal back. Therefore, if the team that you are betting on have strong players on the bench, they’re a lot more likely to come from behinds and win the game. However, if the bench is weak, where are the goals going to come from?
The opposition is a key factor in deciding which matches to place To Win From Behind bets on.
There is no magic formula to this factor but many prefer to bet on the favourites to win from behind in the hope that the underdogs aim to push hard early to get an early goal and then sit back and try to hang on for a narrow win.
Of course, you could bet on the underdog in a football match but if they go behind against a strong team, it’s unlikely that they will win the match. However, the odds will reflect these chances.
Cup matches are popular for To Win From Behind bets. This is because they generally produce more goals than league matches. Therefore, To Win From Behind bets stand a better chance of coming in.
Also, teams are less likely to play for the draw in cup matches which means underdogs regularly go out ‘all guns blazing’ to try and win the match. This means that you often see teams go behind but then go on to win in Cup matches. However, this point does depend on another factor. For example, if the underdog is playing away from home, they may be likely to play for a draw in order to force a reply at their own stadium. This is only applicable when the game is replayed and not when it goes to extra time or panalties.
As cup matches generally produce more big upsets than league matches, there may be value in backing the underdog rather than the favourite.
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The advantage of To Win From Behind bets compared to just betting on the Match Winner is that you are offered bigger odds as instead of just winning the match, your team must also be in a losing position at some point in the game. Therefore, an additional event must happen for your bet to come in which is reflected in the odds.
For example, the Match Winner odds for the match between Fulham and Chelsea at Paddy Power are shown below.
Now, compare these to the odds for the ‘To Come From Behind’ market and you’ll see that the Match Winner odds are significantly lower.
Instead of backing Chelsea to win at odds of 1.44, you can get odds of 8.0 for them to come from behind and win.
Whereas the advantage of Come From Behind bets are the better odds, the disadvantage is that they’re less likely to come in compared to simply betting on the match winner.
However, this is where your knowledge comes in and why it is vitally important that you do your research into the teams, past results, statistics and all other factors we have mentioned in this article. By doing so, you may be able to find value in your bets and increase your chances of winning and ending up in profit.
To Win From Behind bets are most common on football matches with many bookmakers offering this market for most matches in the major leagues taking place around the world. However, To Come From Behind And Win bets can also be placed on other sports. As these bets are less common on sports other than football, you may find that not all bookmakers offer this market on the sports listed below but it’s not uncommon to be able to place To Win From Behind bets on: