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Date published: May 13, 2026
The latest boxing betting tips from expert analysts. 100% free boxing tips for all of the major fights throughout the year taking place in the various divisions.
Fan favourite Dave Allen (25-8-2, 20 KOs) fights in front of his home crowd at Doncaster Rovers FC’s Keepmoat stadium this Saturday night, May 16, live on DAZN.
‘The White Rhino’ takes on 6’6” giant Filip Hrgovic (19-1, 14 KOs) from Croatia for the vacant IBF Inter-Continental heavyweight title over 10 rounds.
The 34-year-old Brit’s 36th contest follows on from two weekends of brilliant British bouts, starting with the firefight between Conah Walker and Sam Eggington in Birmingham, followed up by the back-and-forth drama delivered by Fabio Wardley and Daniel Dubois in Manchester last weekend. It’s now on Allen to produce another big performance to keep the flag flying high for British boxing.
But as a 6-1 underdog, it’s a tall order… literally.
Allen has lost three from his last seven, including the terrible decision he received against Johnny Fisher in their first fight in 2024, which he corrected five months later with a fifth-round stoppage.
He bravely took on another giant in Arslanbek Makhmudov last October, losing as wide as 109-117 on one judge’s card in Sheffield.
He got straight back into the mix in February when he blasted away an overmatched Karim Berredjem in under a minute, who had absolutely no business being in the ring with him.
Allen has mostly lost to world-level boxers, such as Dillian Whyte, Luis Ortiz, Tony Yoka, David Price, Frazer Clarke. He has managed to beat some decent opposition like Lucas Browne and Nick Webb, and arguably defeated Fisher twice in a row. However, he cannot seem to overcome any boxers above a certain level. He can match them during periods of the fight with flashy combinations, but there’s a ceiling to his skillset.
The Croatian ‘Animal’ Hrgovic is set to be yet another opponent who is a level above, a stretch too far. The 33-year-old from Zagreb has only been beaten once by Daniel Dubois, who was getting outboxed for most of the fight until he turned the tables in the seventh round to win by eighth-round stoppage in June 2014.
Since then, the ambitious Hrgovic has not wasted anytime getting back on top by beating Joe Joyce and David Adeleye in 2025, both by unanimous decision.
Ranked in the top 10 with all four major governing bodies, this is yet another mountain for Allen to climb, but will he reach the summit or fall? Let’s find out.
Hrgovic hasn’t scored a knockout in almost two-and-a-half years, and I think he will be wanting to add an elusive stoppage to his record. But Allen is tough, too tough for his own good, and he’s only got 10 rounds to get it done.
Despite being the home fighter, I don’t believe Allen has quite got what it takes to defeat Hrgovic, either by points or by KO. Filip is too tall, rangy, clever, quick and accurate, experienced and powerful.
That said, in heavyweight boxing, anything can happen, and it only takes one punch. Those two cliches will be ever-present for Allen throughout the contest. Both David Adeleye and Daniel Dubois showed how easy the colossal Croatian is to hit, but they also proved his tough chin and heart in the process.
Adeleye and Joyce were unable to stop Hrgovic even after landing cleanly, and Dubois couldn’t put him down either. He can keep going through pain, cuts, bruises, fatigue and adversity to come through to the other side with his hand raised high.
I think Allen is tough enough to reach the final bell, but not quite good enough to get the win, but I can see him landing some great shots with that fantastic technique of his, especially when so much pride is at stake in front of his home support.
If Hrgovic does what we all know he is capable of then he could dish out some serious punishment to stop the home fighter. His right hand is valuable weapon and he is so accurate with it. Allen will have been drilled by Jamie Moore all about that punch, but it won’t fail to land regardless of their best preparations.
I trust Allen to give it a good go, like he always does, and to land some eyecatching shots, but over the course of 10 rounds, I can only see Hrgovic emerging as the winner. I hope to see Allen go the distance, but there’s a strong chance too much will land and cause unnecessary punishment. Jamie Moore is a very compassionate coach and will have that towel in hand, ready. He will give Dave a fair shot at stunning the world and satisfying his voracious fans, but if he absorbs too much damage, he will be pulled out by his corner, most likely in the second half of the contest.
I will be rooting for ‘our Dave’ to pull of the upset, but I am solemnly picking the favourite to win this.
Prediction: Hrgovic to win
Extra Tip: Hrgovic by KO/TKO 6-10
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
 | Betfred | Visit |
 | Bet365 | Visit |
 | Betfair | Visit |
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