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Free betting tips for boxing from expert analysts

The latest boxing betting tips from expert analysts. 100% free boxing tips for all of the major fights throughout the year taking place in the various divisions.

Boxing Tips For Today

Arslanbek Makhmudov
Dave Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov
Winner
20/21
Arslanbek Makhmudov
Dave Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov
To Win by KO
4/1

Dave Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov Fight Preview

Likeable Brit Dave Allen (24-7, 19 KOs) takes on fearsome Russian Arslanbek Makhmudov (20-2, 19 KOs) on Saturday, October 11 in Sheffield, headlining a Matchroom Boxing event, broadcast live on DAZN.

Two years ago, Dave Allen was widely considered as finished, but the plucky puncher funded a couple of his own fights in 2024 to keep his dream alive after being stopped by Frazer Clarke during their rough six rounds in 2023, where he was subjected to multiple low blows.

The man from Conisbrough was brought back onto a Matchroom show in December 2024, solely to use as a measuring stick for Eddie Hearn’s rising ‘Romford Bull’, Johnny Fisher, but Allen ripped up the script and gave his friend and sparring partner from Essex a torrid time, dropping him in the fifth round.

When it came to reading Allen’s name out after the final bell, however, two judges got it completely wrong and controversially scored it as a split decision win to Fisher – at 95-94 – but the third reflected the action more realistically at 96-93 to Allen, which the entire arena also agreed with, as Hearn stood watching with a mixture of relief for his Essex heavyweight prospect, coupled with a touch of dismay and disappointment for Allen.

Now 33, Allen turned pro in 2012 and went 10 bouts unbeaten, until he stepped up to fight Dillian Whyte, who he took the distance over 10 rounds in 2016, but barely won a round.

Then, he mistakenly jumped up even further to fight Cuban powerhouse Luis Ortiz and was knocked out in the seventh of eight scheduled rounds.

In his first title fight with Jamaican Lenroy Thomas, he narrowly missed out on the Commonwealth belt, but it was clear to see the level he was settling at. But then, a fourth-round KO win over unbeaten Nick Webb shocked some, especially when it came just one month after a 10th round knockout defeat to Olympic heavyweight champion Tony Yoka.

Then he continued to impress when he KO’d former world champion Lucas Browne in 2019. Going up against David Price straight after was, once again, a step too far for Allen, stopped for a third time in his career.

Four knockout victories followed against tame opposition, fighting just once each year. But, his fight with Frazer Clarke in September 2023 sparked some activity and this will be his sixth bout in just over two years.

But, as per usual, the Yorkie has decided to go big again. He loves a challenge, which is often his undoing.

The six-foot-five powerhouse from Mozdok, Makhmudov, won his first 14 fights via knockout – 10 in the first round. It was the teak-tough Carlos Takam that took him the distance for the first time, in 2022, as Makhmudov won widely on points to pick up the vacant WBC Silver heavyweight title, to add to his NABF and NABA belts.

Then, in December 2023, on the undercard of the mega Riyadh event featuring Bivol-Arthur, Wilder-Parker, Joshua-Wallin; there was a shock, as an overnight star was born. Agit Kabayel dropped the mighty Makhmudov three times before achieving a stunning fourth-round victory.

Then, Makhmudov was stunned again, eight months on in 2024, by Italian Guido Vianello, who stopped him in the dying seconds of the eighth round after a doctor’s inspection of a swollen-shut left eye.

The 36-year-old bounced back from both defeats with early KO wins, but now he travels to the UK to take on the hometown hero in his backyard, who has got into the best shape of his life to give himself the highest chance of victory in front of his passionate, loyal, and inevitably hostile fans.

Dave Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov Prediction

Makhmudov’s last five KOs have all come in rounds one and two – so when he lands, he knocks opponents out. They both have 19 knockouts though, so Allen can bang as well.

Trained by Jamie Moore and Nigel Travers, in-shape Allen has already revealed his gameplan. The local hero has stated his intention to ‘go for it’. He feels so honoured that 8,000 fans have sold out the arena that he plans to give them exactly what they deserve – a fight!

The warrior plans to give it is his all, no sitting back being technical or tactical, he aims to be aggressive and attacking, aiming for that win.

And here’s what’s interesting – both men are powerful, hittable and vulnerable, but one arguably has a bigger heart than the other.

Makhmudov was on the front foot against Kabayel, landing big shots, but as soon as he took a few big ones back, notably the overhand right, he immediately began backing off. Then, he showed vulnerability to the body, so Kabayel targeted the weak spot and managed to drop him three times to win.

So the Russian giant is beatable if Allen is able to land big overhand rights – his favourite, most effective punch – and damaging body shots, which is also an expert at, but the visitor is so powerful with those long limbs, he is bound to land some successful head blows himself, and those punches will be more potent and powerful than Allen’s.

Does Allen have a chance? Absolutely. Will it be able to pull this off and move on to fight Deontay Wilder next? I just can’t say yes with enough confidence.

I can certainly see him being able to win this fight, but I have to side with the bigger, stronger, more dangerous man in Makhmudov.

In the wild, a rhino is more likely to defeat a lion in battle, due to its superior size and weight, but in the ring this weekend, the ‘Lion’ is the favourite to defeat ‘The White Rhino’.

Prediction: Makhmudov to win

Extra Tip: Makhmudov to win by KO

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Free Boxing Betting Tips

Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.

How Much Do The Boxing Tips Cost?

All of the boxing tips currently published on WhichBookie are completely free of charge. Remember to check back regularly and subscribe to our social media channels to be notified of when new free boxing tips are published.

Are Past Tips Archived?

Yes. All tips remain live here on WhichBookie. You can view all past boxing tips here on this page.

Which Bookie Should I Place The Tips With?

If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.

What Stakes Should I Use?

We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.

How Regularly Are Boxing Tips Published?

WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.

Can You Watch Boxing Online?

Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.


How To Bet On Boxing

There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.

Outright / To Win Fight

outright betting on boxing is the easiest way to find a winning betAs with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.

Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.

If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.

Fight Outcome / Method of Victory

This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:

  • By KO (knockout), TKO (tecnhical knockout) or DQ (opponent disqualified).
  • By Decision (on points) or Technical Decision.

So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.

Round Betting

boxing round betting offers the highest oddsThe Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.

Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.

So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.

To Go The Distance

This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.

It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:

  • Are the fighters evenly matched?
  • Do they have a reputation for durability and rarely having been stopped in the past?
  • If there is a favourite, is he/she an aggressive boxer or does he/she prefer to wear their opponent down?
  • How many of their previous fights have gone the distance?

The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.

Total Rounds Over/Under

This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.

For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:

  • If you think the fight will last for 3 rounds or less, you would bet on Under.
  • If you think it will last for 4 rounds or more, you would be on Over.

You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.

Where To Get The Best Odds On Boxing

As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.

We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.

As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.

Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.

Best Bookies For Boxing
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