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Date published: February 3, 2026
The latest boxing betting tips from expert analysts. 100% free boxing tips for all of the major fights throughout the year taking place in the various divisions.
Britain’s current longest-reigning world champion Nick “The Wrecking” Ball (23-0-1, 13 KOs) defends his WBA featherweight title to Brandon “Heartbreaker” Figueroa (26-2-1,19 KOs) in the main event of his Liverpool homecoming on Saturday, February 7, live on DAZN.
The UK just celebrated two new world champions during January, in Dalton Smith and Josh Kelly, and now Nick Ball will be the first Brit to make a world title defence this year, so the pressure is on to keep the success going for British boxing.
“The Wrecking Ball” is unbeaten in five consecutive world championship contests. Firstly, he knocked WBC featherweight champion Rey Vargas from pillar to post in March 2024 in Saudi Arabia, but was left bitterly disappointed when his hand was raised at the same time as the champion’s when the result was declared a draw.
Promoter Frank Warren was left fuming at the judges, but Ball, showing a maturity beyond his 28 years, simply got straight back into the gym with trainer Paul Stevenson to come back to win the WBA featherweight belt in less than three months time.
Rather than wallowing, Ball bounced back to beat undefeated American Raymond Ford via split decision on June 1, 2024, part of the historic 5-0 whitewash on the Queensberry vs Matchroom 5 vs 5 card.
In his last 10 bouts, Ball has won the WBC Silver strap and defended it four times, then came his draw for the WBC belt against Vargas, then he won the WBA belt and defended that three times. This is the second time he is defending a title for a fourth time.
Those numbers are impressive, but his next opponent is a formidable foe who has every chance to rip up the script.
Brandon “The Heartbreaker” Figueroa is a Mexican-American from Texas with boxing in his blood. Both he and his older brother – world lightweight champion Omar Figueroa – have been trained by their father since they were six.
Aged 29, he is a two-weight world champion whose only losses came at the hands of the brilliant Stephen Fulton. Their first meeting in 2021 was a WBA and WBO super-bantamweight unification, which Fulton edged by mixed decision, but Brandon branded it biggest robbery in boxing.
Their rematch in February 2025, up at featherweight, was a clear win for Fulton, however, putting the rivalry to bed. Following the second defeat of his career, Brandon explained to his dad that he needed to move on and is now trained by Manny Robles in California, where their new partnership has yielded one 12-round unanimous decision win over Joet Gonzalez last July.
Ranked WBA and WBO #1, the challenger will present a real threat to Ball’s 21-month reign as world champion, the longest rule of any of the UK’s six world champions, the other five combining a 10-month rule between them).
But Brandon is travelling 5,000 miles to a cold country and an inevitably hostile reception from a partisan crowd on fight night, in a city where the defending champion is a home-grown sporting hero. Brandon likes to break hearts, while Nick simply demolishes anyone standing in his way like a wrecking ball. Ladies and gentlemen, we have a fight!
Switch-hitter Figueroa has height and reach advantages over Ball, but is unlikely to utilise these as he opts to fight in close quarters. He is an awkward, gangly, relentless body puncher with an overwhelmingly high output.
Ball is also a relentless, high volume, pressure fighter, so these two 126-pounders could meet in the middle and remain there for the rest of the 12 championship rounds.
Both boxers break their opponents down over time, the majority of their stoppages occur in the second stages of their contests. Ball’s last three KOs have all come in rounds 10-12, and Figueroa’s recent stoppages struck in rounds 6-10.
Even though Figueroa has around five inches over Ball in height and reach, the Brit can outbox the American at range and up close. Ball is a fantastic fighter on the inside, able to throw punches with the same twists and torque that Mike Tyson was known for. The Liverpudlian likes to lean to the side and whip in powerful uppercuts and hooks from all different angles, and he throws every shot with intention of scoring a knockout.
Ball and Figueroa are not going to have go looking for each other, so I expect to see a high-octane, all-action fight with someone being broken down before the end bell. If these two pressure-fighters lock horns in the centre of the squared circle, then someone’s heart is going to get broken during what is guaranteed to be an intense, brutal, bruising 36 minutes of back and forth.
Figueroa is known as “The Heartbreaker” but that nickname was bestowed upon him by the adoring female fans that followed him to local amateur tournaments, not for his fighting style or skills. Figueroa is going to find it hard to break Ball’s heart, because not only is he aggressive and dangerous, but he can absorb a lot of punishment. He has been shaken up in fights before, but it’s lasted a millisecond before he is back on the front foot again. There’s a reason why he is known as “The Mini Mike Tyson”.
Another heavyweight with the same name – Tyson Fury – famously quipped that God make Nick Ball 5ft 3in for a reason, because “if he were 6ft 5in, we would all be unsafe right now!”
Ball to dominate the many exchanges over the course of the contest to win on points or if there is a lot of engagement and violent exchanges then he could score a late KO in rounds 10-12.
If history repeats itself then Ball’s second stint in a fourth title defence should end in a unanimous decision win.
Prediction: Ball to win
Extra Tip: Ball by KO in rounds 10-12
Bonus Tip: Nick’s Everton Red Triangle teammate and sparring partner, Andrew Cain, to win his WBC bantamweight eliminator against Jair Gonzalez by KO.
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
 | Betfred | Visit |
 | Bet365 | Visit |
 | Betfair | Visit |
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