Shabaz “The Maverick” Masoud (14-0, 4 KOs) and Peter McGrail (12-1, 6 KOs) clash for the vacant European super-bantamweight title in Monte Carlo on December 6, live on DAZN.
The Brits will headline the Matchroom Boxing event that not only pits two of the UK’s best super-bantams against each other, but also two of the country’s best trainers too.
“The Maverick” is trained by Ben Davison, while McGrail has been guided by Paul Stevenson over amateur and pro for many years at the Everton Red Triangle.
Masoud’s career-best win came against Liam Davies in November last year. He defeated Davies via split decision to tear up his opponent’s 16-0 unbeaten record and to also rip the IBO world super-bantamweight title away from him.
Masoud was quicker and sharper than the champion, countering with reflexive, rapid shots that Davies couldn’t get out the way off. Davies was on the front foot trying to use his size and strength to bully Shabaz and close him down, but the challenger was too intelligent, mobile, accurate and clinical for him.
McGrail has beaten the likes of Marc Leach, Brad Foster, Rhys Edwards and Ionut Baluta over his last four bouts.
The 29-year-old Liverpudlian is known as “The Scouse Lomachenko” for his technical, stylish boxing skills and fantastic footwork. Watching McGrail can be described as watching poetry in motion. His fluid movement, clever tricks and boxing IQ are a joy to watch.
However, the Tokyo 2020 Olympian is the underdog going into this fight. Perhaps it’s because he hasn’t quite fought up at this level yet, his recent opposition have been ex-British champions that had lost at least three fights before their meeting.
As an amateur, Pete fought at the pinnacle of the sport, winning gold at the 2018 Commonwealth Games, as well as two bronze medals in the World Championships. When it comes to the highest levels of the sport, he is no stranger.
This is set to be a very technical, close, clever chess match, with two of the best operators in the super-bantamweight division about to produce a fantastic advert for British boxing. The highest of skill and acumen is going to be on display; a fight for the boxing purists.
Both southpaws are extremely sharp, technical, elusive, fast, intelligent, calculated, fleet-footed, mobile, fluid, nimble, neat, adept and agile. It’s easier to make a list of things they can’t do, as it wouldn’t take long to write.
It’s quite clear from their stats that neither one has considerable power, although McGrail has stopped half of his victims. But when you watch their shots land cleanly, it will make you grimace. Their speed is remarkable, but it takes these 122-pounders an accumulation of punishment over time to secure their stoppages.
In this fight, McGrail will likely be the one to take the front foot, known for being a pressure-fighter and volume puncher. Masoud is often content to sit on the back foot, backing up in small steps and shuffles, looking to land counter punches when the openings present.
This fight could be decided by who does the best work on the inside. If Masoud backs up and counters, like he did against Davies, then he could score points at ringside if he’s able to find gaps and capitalise quickly, which he has proven to do in the past. If McGrail can close his man down and land his shots while exiting cleanly, then he could win the long game, but whoever comes out on top of the inside game could be the one to get their nose ahead.
McGrail can be susceptible to cuts, especially over his right eye. Any cut will cause a hindrance to any fighter, but if this occurs early, then it could really spell danger for the Merseysider. As two southpaws, it’s possible they could clash awkwardly at times.
This fight is exactly as the odds suggest, with the champion Masoud the slight favourite. As McGrail may be the one coming forward and opening up, it could suit Masoud’s style, but he won’t be the same as Liam Davies, who managed to win 115-113 on one scorecard. McGrail should be more calculated and successful with his work.
I think this could go the distance, unless there’s an early cut sustained. I’m going to edge with Masoud winning on points, possibly via split decision, as I think there will only be a round or two in it.
Prediction: Masoud to win on points
Extra Tip: The fight to end in a draw
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
![]() | Betfred | Visit |
![]() | Bet365 | Visit |
![]() | Betfair | Visit |