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Norwich City
WatfordFive straight defeats will test any manager’s nerve, but Philippe Clement at least had the presence of mind to steady the ship at Charlton last weekend. A 3-1 win on the road is not nothing, especially when the five losses before it all came by a single goal. That fine margin between winning and losing has been the story of Norwich’s season so far, and this weekend they get the chance to build something against a Watford side that looks every bit as fragile right now.
What makes this fixture genuinely fascinating is how close together these two clubs are, in the table and in form. Both have managed just one win across their last six Championship outings, and both of those wins came against Charlton. That is either a remarkable coincidence or a sign of just how much both sets of supporters are suffering right now. Something has to give at Carrow Road.
This Championship fixture takes place at Carrow Road, with both clubs scrapping at the wrong end of the second tier table. Norwich sit in 20th, Watford in 21st, separated by a single point. A win here could lift either side clear of the drop zone, which makes this far more than just another midseason game. The pressure in the dugout on both sides is very real.
Neither manager is working with a fully fit squad, and selection calls this weekend could prove decisive in a game this tight.
Clement looks set to keep faith with the shape that delivered at Charlton, with one forced change pushing Oscar Schwartau into a more central attacking position. Makama slots back in on the flank, and beyond that the gaffer will not want to upset what looked like a settled unit for the first time in weeks.
Norwich: Grimshaw; Stacey, Darling, McConville, Chrisene; Wright, Mattsson; Brooks, Schwartau, Makama; Kvistgaarden
Dionisi has more decisions to make in attack, with Vata, Maamma and Doumbia all available and potentially coming into a front line that has badly struggled for creativity on the road this season. Watford line up in a shape that looks solid on paper but has offered little going forward away from home.
Watford: Ravaglia; Diatta, Mlacic, Pollock, Keben, Bola; Kayembe, Bravo; Vata, Maamma; Doumbia
Norwich have been in a difficult place, no question about it. Twelve points from twelve Championship matches is well below what Clement and the club would have mapped out at the start of the campaign. But those five defeats all came by a single goal, which tells you this is a squad that has been competitive in games rather than getting completely turned over week after week. That is a thin silver lining, but it is something to work with. The win at Charlton snapped the losing run and gave Carrow Road something to cling to heading into the weekend.
At home, Norwich have lost their last two by 1-0 scorelines, which is frustrating given that they carry the joint fourth best attacking record in the Championship with 20 goals scored. They are clearly creating chances at Carrow Road, they are just not putting games to bed. If they can combine that attacking output with the defensive resilience that restricted five consecutive opponents to a single goal, they have a real chance of getting something convincing here.
Watford’s form makes equally grim reading. Five defeats in their last six outings, with the only bright spot being that win over Charlton. But what concerns me more than the results is how little they have offered going forward away from home. One point and just two goals across six away Championship fixtures this season is alarming, and a 1-0 defeat at Wolves last weekend saw them offer very little in the final third. The joint worst attacking record in the division is not a label that gets you out of trouble in a relegation dogfight.
These two have faced each other plenty of times over the years, swapping between the Championship and the top flight, and meetings between Norwich and Watford tend to carry that scrappy, competitive edge you expect from two clubs that know each other well. Neither side has dominated this fixture historically, but home advantage has often been the deciding factor, and Carrow Road can be a proper atmosphere when the crowd gets behind the team early.
Given that Norwich have the better of recent form at home in this matchup, and that Watford arrive with a genuinely poor away record this season, history and current form are pointing in the same direction here.
The angle here is pretty clear. Norwich are flawed, no doubt about it, but they have attacking quality and home advantage against a Watford side that simply cannot score on the road. Clement’s side will be desperate to build momentum after snapping that losing run, and the Hornets look like exactly the kind of opponent to help them do it.
With Norwich pushing forward on home turf and Watford likely to sit deep and absorb pressure, expect the Canaries to win a healthy number of set pieces. A high corners total suits the way this game sets up, and I would lean towards over 10 corners in the match.
Norwich 3-1 Watford looks the right call. The Canaries have the attacking firepower to put this to bed, and Watford have shown enough of a pulse in front of goal to nick one on the counter, but a convincing home win feels right here.
With both teams in desperate need of points and the pressure mounting on both managers, this one should have a bit of edge to it. A relegation scrap in the Championship rarely stays polite for long, and I would back over three cards in this fixture.
Over 2.5 goals is the play for me. Norwich have the quality in the final third to find the net, and a Watford side that is chasing the game late on could easily open up and concede. The predicted scoreline supports the over comfortably.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Norwich City to Win |
| Over and Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Cards | Over 3 Cards |
A scrappy but high scoring home win covers all three selections and reflects the pressure and urgency that should define this relegation six pointer.
Norwich City 3-1 Watford is where I am landing. Clement’s side have woken up just in time, and their attacking record suggests they are more than capable of punishing a Watford defence that has been generous on the road. The Hornets will likely nick one, because even the worst attacks have their moments, but I cannot see Dionisi’s side doing enough to get anything from this game.
This is a match that Norwich need to win to drag themselves off the bottom of the table and buy their manager some breathing room. The crowd will get behind them early, the momentum is with them after Charlton, and Watford arrive with an away record that makes them exactly the kind of visitors you want to be facing right now. Back Norwich to win and win well.
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