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Olympiacos
Sparta PragueOlympiacos are genuinely flying right now. Five wins on the spin across all competitions, four clean sheets in that run, and a result at the Velodrome that turned a few heads across Europe. Imanol Alguacil has this group organised, confident, and very hard to score against. Sparta Prague are no slouches either, mind you. Brian Priske has built something solid in Prague, a side that has kept five clean sheets in their last seven games and arrived in Athens having gone unbeaten in their last four away from home. Two teams with genuine belief heading into this one. That is what makes it so interesting.
This is not a group of two mid-table sides going through the motions. Both clubs are unbeaten in the Europa League so far this season, separated by just two points in the league phase table, and both with something to prove. Expect it to be tight, competitive, and probably decided by the smallest of margins.
The game takes place at the Stadio Georgios Karaiskakis in Piraeus, a ground with real atmosphere on European nights, as part of the Europa League league phase. Olympiacos sit tenth in the standings with six points, while Sparta Prague are just behind them in eleventh with four points. A win for either side would make a significant statement about their ambitions in this competition.
Neither manager looks likely to make wholesale changes given the form both squads are in. Olympiacos have a settled and trusted XI that got the job done at Marseille, and Alguacil has little reason to tinker. Sparta Prague similarly appear to have a clear idea of their best setup under Priske. No significant injury concerns have emerged for either side ahead of this fixture.
Alguacil is expected to go again with Roman Yaremchuk leading the line, supported by Chiquinho operating just behind as an attacking midfielder. Santiago Hezze, who scored the winner at the Velodrome, drops into a double pivot alongside Gustavo Puerta, which is where his real influence on the team is felt. At the back, Panagiotis Retsos and Lorenzo Pirola looked outstanding in France and will be tasked with shutting Sparta out here.
Olympiacos: Ortega; Saliakas, Retsos, Pirola, Onyemaechi; Puerta, Hezze; Silva, Chiquinho, Martins; Yaremchuk
For Priske, Jonatan Braut Brunes leads the attack with Ebrima Singhateh and Matej Jurasek providing width on either side. In the engine room, Andy Irving and Sivert Mannsverk are expected to start, shielding a centre-back pairing of Adam Sevinsky and Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal.
Sparta Prague: Surovcik; Suchomel, Sevinsky, Guddal, Vitalyos; Irving, Mannsverk; Jurasek, Sochurek, Singhateh; Brunes
Olympiacos are in the form of their lives right now. Six consecutive victories across all competitions would be impressive for any club, but what makes it even more remarkable is the defensive record that underpins it. Four clean sheets and just one goal conceded during that run tells you everything about how well organised Alguacil has his side. They beat Marseille away from home in the Europa League, a result that demands serious respect regardless of where either club sits in the pecking order. At the Karaiskakis this season, they have won four, drawn one, and lost one across six home games, though scoring only seven goals at home is something the gaffer will want to address.
Sparta Prague have also been in strong form, winning five of their last seven games before back to back draws slowed their momentum slightly. The most recent of those came against Lillestrom in the Europa League, where a 92nd minute equaliser from Thomas Lehne Olsen denied them what looked like a deserved three points. Still, five clean sheets in their last seven games is a number that commands respect. Priske has clearly set his team up to be hard to beat, and away from home they have been particularly impressive, going unbeaten in their last four road trips and winning three of them, including a convincing 4-1 victory over Ararat Armenia in the Europa League earlier this season.
The contrast is subtle but important. Olympiacos carry more goal threat and are on an upward curve, while Sparta Prague are grinding out results from a defensive base. That could make for a cagey opening before Olympiacos eventually find their rhythm in front of their own supporters.
These two clubs do not have an extensive history of meetings, which makes it difficult to draw firm conclusions from past encounters. What we do know is that this is a match between two sides who have serious Europa League pedigree, with Olympiacos having won the Conference League just two seasons ago, beating the likes of Aston Villa along the way. That experience of navigating knockout European football at high stakes is something that could prove crucial in a tight game like this one.
At the Karaiskakis, Olympiacos have the advantage of a partisan crowd and a pitch they know well. European nights at that ground carry real intensity, and the home support can genuinely lift the players when the game is in the balance.
Two defensively disciplined sides, both with genuine quality, but Olympiacos at home on a European night feels like the right angle here. Their form is superior right now, their defensive record is outstanding, and they have already proven they can win away at a hostile ground this season. The value is in backing the home side to win without it being a cricket score, while the clean sheet market is also genuinely tempting given what we have seen from both defences recently.
Roman Yaremchuk is the tip here. The Ukrainian striker is operating as the focal point of an Olympiacos attack that has clicked into gear over recent weeks, and with service coming from creative players like Chiquinho behind him, he should get chances. He leads the line well, holds the ball up effectively, and in a home European game where Olympiacos will be looking to press and dominate, he is well placed to get on the scoresheet first.
With two defensively minded sides meeting in a competitive Europa League fixture, there is likely to be a physical edge to this game, particularly in midfield where both teams press hard. Expect the referee to be kept busy. Over three and a half cards looks a reasonable call given the stakes and the intensity that European knockout football tends to generate, especially when two unbeaten sides are scrapping for points in the league phase.
Olympiacos like to get forward and wide, and Sparta Prague will defend deep at times under pressure at the Karaiskakis. That combination tends to generate a decent volume of corners for the home side, and with Sparta also capable of threatening on the break and winning set pieces of their own, over nine and a half corners in this game looks like a solid shout.
Both defences have been exceptional recently and neither side is in the habit of putting three or four past anyone. Olympiacos scored just seven goals in six home games this season, and Sparta Prague have kept five clean sheets in seven outings. This feels like a game that lands under two and a half goals. A tight, competitive European fixture where both sets of defenders earn their wages is the most likely outcome here.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Olympiacos to Win |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals |
| First Goalscorer | Roman Yaremchuk |
A home win in a tight, low scoring game decided by a Yaremchuk strike fits perfectly with the form and defensive quality both sides have shown heading into this fixture.
Olympiacos to win 2-1. The home side’s form is the best it has been in years, their defensive structure is excellent, and the Karaiskakis on a European night is a genuinely difficult place for any visiting team to come and get a result. Sparta Prague will make it hard, they always do, and they will probably pinch a goal at some point given the quality they carry in attack. But Alguacil has this Olympiacos side well drilled and mentally tough, and backing down in front of their own supporters on a night like this is not something this group does.
Sparta arrived in Athens unbeaten in the Europa League but heading home with their first defeat of the campaign feels like the most likely outcome. Olympiacos are the real deal this season, and Thursday is the perfect chance to prove it.