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Date published: October 26, 2026
Borussia Dortmund
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund have quietly been building something at Signal Iduna Park this season. Five home games, four wins and a draw, eleven goals scored and just four conceded. That is fortress football, and it could not come at a better time with Werder Bremen rolling into town for a DFB-Pokal second round tie that has genuine edge to it given both clubs are sitting in the top half of the Bundesliga table right now.
Bremen are no pushovers either. They have not lost in six outings and they showed real grit to hold Dortmund to a 2-2 draw at this exact ground just a few weeks ago in the league. But their cup record away from home tells a different story, and BVB under Niko Kovac look like a side that knows how to win ugly when they need to. This one has all the ingredients for a proper cup tie.
This DFB-Pokal second round tie takes place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, one of four all-Bundesliga matchups in this round of the competition. With both clubs currently sitting in the top six of the league, the cup draw has thrown together two sides with genuine ambitions this season, making this far more than a routine midweek knockout fixture.
Dortmund are missing a couple of attacking options but otherwise look well stocked, while Bremen head into this one with their forward line stretched by injury. Here is how things stand for both sides.
Kovac will rotate given this is a cup tie, but he cannot strip the side bare with Bayern breathing down their necks in the Bundesliga. Expect Waldemar Anton to anchor the defence alongside Romeo Ritter, with Bellingham and Chukwuemeka stepping back into midfield after their cameos at the weekend. Nwaneri gets his chance to stake a claim higher up the pitch with the senior attacking options unavailable.
For Bremen, Thioune does not have much wiggle room upfront. Niclas Fullkrug leads the line as he almost always does, with Marco Grull and Mitchell Weiser given the job of supporting him in behind. Mick Schmetgens could come into the back line, and if Lynen is passed fit then he slots straight back into the engine room of the midfield.
Dortmund go into this on the back of back-to-back wins, the latest being a 1-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt at the weekend. They are level with Bayern Munich at the top of the Bundesliga on 17 points, though two draws in their last three league games suggests they are not exactly running away with it. The cup gives them a chance to build confidence in a different competition, and Kovac will want to keep the momentum ticking over rather than use this as a glorified training exercise.
At Signal Iduna Park the numbers are genuinely impressive. Eleven goals in five home games while conceding just four times and keeping three clean sheets. That is not just a good run, that is a team that is hard to beat on their own patch regardless of who the opposition sends out. The home crowd at Signal Iduna Park has always had a unique energy, and in a knockout cup tie it can feel like a 12th man.
Bremen’s recent form reads better than you might expect given their away record. Six unbeaten in all competitions, winning three of those. But dig a little deeper and you find that before their win at Mainz on Saturday, they were winless in three consecutive away fixtures. Two of their three goals against Mainz came from the penalty spot, which raises a small flag about how clinical they actually are from open play when they travel. That matters when you are heading to a ground as well-organised as Dortmund have been lately.
The recent head to head makes interesting reading. Bremen have not beaten Dortmund in eight attempts, losing four of those meetings. Yet they just held BVB to a 2-2 draw at Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga earlier this month, which shows they are capable of causing problems even if they cannot quite get over the line to win. That draw will give Thioune’s squad a degree of belief heading into this one.
The cup context changes things though. Dortmund at home in a knockout competition, desperate to end a five-year wait for the DFB-Pokal, against a side that has failed to get past the second round in four of their last five appearances in the competition. The psychological ledger firmly favours the hosts when it really counts.
The overall angle here is pretty clear. Dortmund at home, in form, defensively tight and with a real incentive to progress in the cup. Bremen will give them something to think about, as they always seem to, but the layers of evidence pointing toward a home win are hard to argue against. Here is where the value looks strongest across the specific markets.
Yes is the call here. Fullkrug is the kind of centre forward who tends to find a way to contribute regardless of the quality around him, and Bremen created enough against Dortmund in their league meeting to suggest they will not go quietly. With BVB having conceded in their home games this season despite their solid overall record, backing both sides to get on the scoresheet feels reasonable.
Maximilian Beier is the pick here. He is sharp, he presses with intelligence and he has a knack for being in the right place in and around the box. With Dortmund likely to get forward early and put Bremen under pressure from the off, Beier feels like the man most likely to get on the end of something before the half hour mark.
Over 2.5 goals looks the right side of the line. Dortmund have been scoring freely at home all season and Bremen are a side that tend to commit men forward even when they are chasing a game. A slow, cagey cup tie feels unlikely given the personalities involved and the fact that Dortmund will want to make a statement here rather than simply grind through extra time.
Dortmund 2-1 Bremen feels like the most natural landing spot. The hosts have enough quality and home advantage to control the game, but Bremen’s character means they are unlikely to simply roll over and accept a shutout. A goal for the visitors and two for the hosts mirrors both the form trend and the head to head pattern from their recent league encounter.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Borussia Dortmund to Win |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Over/Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
All three selections point in the same direction, a Dortmund win in a game that produces goals at both ends, which gives this combination real coherence rather than just stacking picks for the sake of it.
Dortmund are the team to be on here. They are at home, they have momentum, their defensive numbers are genuinely impressive this season and they have a point to prove in a cup competition they have not won since 2021. Kovac will not let his side sleepwalk through this one with a Bundesliga title race running alongside it.
Bremen deserve credit for their resilience and for what they managed in the league fixture here earlier this month. But their cup record, their away form prior to the Mainz game and the weight of eight consecutive failures to beat BVB all stack up against them. Dortmund win this 2-1 and march into the next round.
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