Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview
Featured OfferBetAhoyBet £10 Get a £10 Free BetClaim Free Bet →Code ALLABOARD10 – Place qualifying bet within…
Watford
Lincoln CityWatford are in a precarious spot right now. Two defeats on the bounce, sitting 21st in the Championship, and only two points clear of the relegation zone. This is not a time for half measures at Vicarage Road. Alessio Dionisi needs a response from his side, and he needs it tonight. A home game against Lincoln City, who are hardly flying themselves, looks like the kind of fixture Watford should be targeting for three points. But football has a habit of being awkward, and nothing about this Hornets side at the moment suggests the points are a given.
Lincoln arrive in Hertfordshire having won just once in their last six league games and coming off a 3-1 home defeat to Birmingham City at the weekend. The Imps have real defensive frailties, 23 goals conceded already makes them one of the leakiest sides in the division, but they did beat Burnley 4-1 not long ago, which tells you they are capable of hurting teams when the mood takes them. This one is tight on paper, whatever the league positions suggest.
This Championship fixture takes place at Vicarage Road, Watford’s home ground in Hertfordshire. Both clubs will be desperate for points for very different reasons, but with similar urgency. Watford need to arrest a slide that is pulling them toward the bottom three, while Lincoln will be hoping a trip to a wobbling home side gives them a chance to climb away from mid-table danger.
Neither manager will have a full squad to choose from, but the key names expected to feature are known for both sides.
Dionisi is likely to stick with what he knows in terms of shape, even if confidence is low after that Norwich collapse. Boadu deserves to keep his place after the brace, and Bravo alongside him gives Watford a front two with pace and movement. The midfield trio of Kayembe, Payero and Kyprianou gives the gaffer some energy and physicality in the middle of the park, which they will need against a Lincoln side that can be direct.
Watford: Ravaglia; Diatta, Mlacic, Pollock, Keben, Zemura; Kayembe, Payero; Kyprianou; Bravo, Boadu
For Lincoln, co-head coach Chris Cohen faces a decision over whether to reward Bayliss for his impact substitute performance with a starting berth. Ladefoged keeps his place up top after recent contributions, and the Imps will look to stay compact and hit on the counter given how open Watford have looked at the back.
Lincoln: Wickens; Coubis; Elerewe, Bradley, Reach; Konak, Bayliss; Hackett, House, Jefferies; Ladefoged
Watford’s form is genuinely alarming. One win from their last five in the Championship, and the manner of their defeats is what will be troubling Dionisi more than anything. Losing 1-0 at Wolves is one thing, that is a tough place to go. But being 2-0 up at Norwich at half-time and then conceding three in 17 minutes after the break is a capitulation that raises serious questions about mental resilience and defensive organisation. The head coach himself admitted he could not explain it, which is not exactly the sort of thing that fills supporters with confidence.
Lincoln are not much better for form, but they at least have that Burnley result to point to as evidence they can perform. Four points from six games is a poor return, and the 3-1 defeat at home to Birmingham showed the defensive frailties that have plagued them all season. Chris Cohen talking about his side getting “a little bit frantic” suggests a team that loses its structure when things get tight. With 23 goals conceded in the Championship already, they are giving up chances at a worrying rate.
The reality is that both of these sides are playing without much confidence right now. Watford at home carries more weight on paper, but when a side is as brittle as the Hornets have looked recently, home advantage only goes so far. The crowd can turn quickly when things are not going to plan, and that adds its own pressure on the players.
These two clubs do not meet all that regularly at this level, but when they have crossed paths in the Championship the games have tended to be close affairs without a huge amount of goals. Lincoln have punched above their weight in some of these encounters, showing that the gap in resources does not always translate onto the pitch. Watford’s home record against the Imps has been decent overall, but given current form, historical advantage feels less relevant than what both squads are bringing into this week.
Two sides low on confidence, both carrying defensive concerns, and both desperate for something from this game. The attacking quality is there on the Watford side in particular, but the defensive frailties of both teams point toward goals at either end. The smart angle here is less about who wins and more about how the game unfolds in terms of goals and structure.
Yes. Lincoln have shown they can find the net even when their overall performance is below par, and Watford’s back line has been exposed badly in their last two games. Ladefoged in form and a Hornets defence that collapsed spectacularly at Norwich makes BTTS a genuinely appealing call here.
1-1. Neither side is convincing enough right now to push on and win this comfortably, and a share of the spoils feels like the most likely outcome. Watford nick one through Boadu, Lincoln respond through Ladefoged or Bayliss, and both managers come away frustrated but not devastated.
Over 2.5 goals. The defensive records of both sides make it hard to back under. Lincoln are shipping goals for fun, Watford are not much better at the back, and there is enough attacking quality on both sides to suggest the game does not end as a dour 0-0 or a tight 1-0.
Over 9.5 corners. Watford are likely to push forward looking for the win at home, which means plenty of wide play and deliveries into the box. Lincoln will look to absorb and hit, and that kind of game tends to produce a healthy corners count from both directions as the match ebbs and flows.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 |
| Total Corners | Over 9.5 |
All three picks are rooted in the same logic: two defensively vulnerable sides going at each other in a game both desperately want something from, which points toward an open, contested affair with goals and plenty of set piece situations.
Watford need this win badly, and playing at Vicarage Road should give them the platform to get it. But Dionisi’s side have shown a worrying tendency to let games slip away from them, and Lincoln are not without threat, particularly through Ladefoged and the energy Bayliss can bring from midfield. The Hornets should have enough to take the lead through Boadu, who looks sharp, but holding onto it is another matter entirely.
A draw feels like the honest prediction. Both sides grab a goal, neither manages to push on and find a winner, and the Vicarage Road faithful are left frustrated once again. Watford 1-1 Lincoln City.
£5 FREE AT VERSUS!
No Deposit Needed
Get £5 completely free to use on a trade at VERSUS! No deposit. No card. Just enter your email address to get instant access to the offer.